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Closing Address Danny Dorling
Equality Trust,First annual conference
London 30 October 2010
'In England, for instance, Londoners are three times more inclined than the residents of the industrial Midlands to believe that 'the economy is on the mend' and that over the next year it will improve. That gap is hardly surprising, considering that it took time for the recession to overflow from London's City banks to the factory floors of the Midlands, and that it will take a similar length of time, if not even longer, to chase it away from the households of jobless factory workers than from the homes of the beneficiaries of lavishly state-subsidized bank dividends and the profits of outfits servicing the rich.‘
Bauman, Z., (2010), 44 Letters from the Liquid Modern World, Letter 34: Is there an end to depression? Cambridge: Polity Press: Page 139 (originally published in La Repubblica delle Donne, 2009)
O u te r
L o n d o nIn n e r
L o n d o n
L e e d s
B i rm in g h a m
B ri s to l
B ra d fo rd
S h e ff i e ld
G la sg o w
C a rd i ff
L ive rp o o l
H u l lB o lto n
M a n c h e s t e r
E d in b u rg h
N e w ca s tle
D e rb yS t o ke
D o v e r
O xf o rd
L u to n
L e ic e s te r
N o t tin g h a m
S w in d o n
R e a d in g
N o rw ic h
M id d le s b ro u g h
S o u th e n d
S u n d e r la n d
S w a n s e a
B la ck p o o l
C a m b r id g e
Ip sw ic hC o v e n try
With Bethan Thomas I’ve been working on a new atlas
with a new map
We use a single new population projection throughout the new atlas, but can draw many different boundaries on that projection as it preserves topology while making area proportion to population and minimising angular distortion.
Here are the major towns and cities by built-up area (‘State of the Cities’ areas).
L
SE
S
NW
W
SW
W Mids
E Mids
NE
Y & H
E
Henley
S Norfolk
Lewes
Mid Beds
Witney
West Ham
NE Hants
S Cambs
Maldon
NE Beds
Reigate
Windsor
Ashford
Dover
Horsham
E Surrey
Brent N
Witham
Hendon
S Suffolk
Newbury
Ilford N
Mole Valley
Ealing N
BuckinghamHerts-mere
SW Herts
Wantage
Beacons-field
SW Beds
NE Herts
Eltham
Broadland
Wealden
Hammer-smith
Putney Dart-ford
E Hants
Woking
NW Cambs
Banbury
SE Cambs
Chichester
W Suffolk
Ilford S
Barking
Richmond ParkWokingham
Vaux-hall
Battersea
Ayles-bury
N Norfolk
NW HantsSpel-thorne
East Ham
Wimbledon
Tooting
Watford
Luton S
NE Cambs
Canter-bury
Croydon N
New Forest E
Arundel & S Downs
Seven-oaks
Hove
Guildford
Isle of Wight
Meon Valley
SW Norfolk
SW Surrey
Thurr-ock
Harlow
Brent Central
East-leigh
Braintree
Croydon S
Bracknell
Maiden-head
Saffron Walden
Enfield N
Harrow E
Totten-ham
S Thanet
Waveney
Esher & Walton
Fareham
Clacton
Castle Point
Mid Norfolk
Edmonton
Gosport
Suffolk Coastal
NW Norfolk
Harrow W
Slough
N Thanet
Huntingdon
Surrey Heath
Alder-shot
Orping-ton
Streat-ham
Twicken-ham
Bexhill & Battle
Winchester
Wycombe
Holborn & St Pancras
Epsom & Ewell
Reading W
Broxbourne
Graves-ham
Ken-sing-ton
Chipping Barnet
Hayes & Harling-ton
Isling-ton N
Crawley
Harwich & N EssexSt Albans
Hitchin & Harpen-den
Mitcham & Morden
Waltham-stow
Beckenham
Epping Forest
Lewis-ham E
Brent-wood & Ongar
Hampstead & Kilburn
New Forest W
Mid Sussex
Tonbridge & Malling
Brentford & Isleworth
Folkestone & Hythe
Welwyn Hatfield
Roch-ester & Strood
Bury St Edmunds
Peterborough
Croydon Central
Reading E
Kingston & Surbiton
Oxford W & Abingdon
Rom-ford
Hastings & Rye
Feltham & Heston
Ealing Central & Acton
Tunbridge Wells
Hornsey & Wood Green
Eastbourne
Milton Keynes N
Dulwich & W Norwood
Stevenage
Havant
Ealing, Southall
Norwich N
Westminster N
Cities of London & Westminster
Milton Keynes S
Ports-mouth N
Central Suffolk & N Ipswich
Hertford & Stortford
Oxford E
Favers-ham & Mid Kent
Hemel Hemp-stead
Great Yarmouth
Norwich S
Enfield, South-gate
Cambridge
Col-chester
Finchley & Golders Green
Bed-ford
Camberwell & Peckham
Poplar & Limehouse
S Basil-don & E Thurrock
Chelsea & Fulham
Runny-mede & Wey-bridge
Basing-stoke
Sutton & Cheam
Uxbridge & S Ruislip
Worthing W
Ipswich
Leyton & Wanstead
Lewis-ham W & Penge
Dagen-ham & Rain-ham
Rayleigh & Wickford
Carshalton & Wallington
Chesham & Amers-ham
Isling-ton S & Finsbury
Sitting-bourne & Sheppey
Old Bexley & Sidcup
Chelms-ford
South-ampton, Test
Hackney S & Shoreditch Rochford &
Southend E
Lewis-ham, Deptford
Erith & Thames-mead
Bethnal Green & Bow
Maidstone & The Weald
Bromley & Chisle-hurst
Bermondsey & Old Southwark
E Worthing & Shoreham
Brighton, Pavilion
Horn-church & Up-minster
Chatham & Aylesford
Luton N
Greenwich & Woolwich
Ports-mouth S Brighton,
Kemptown
Hackney N & Stoke Newington
Basildon & Billericay
Gilling-ham & Rain-ham
South-end W
Romsey & South-ampton N
Ruislip, North-wood & Pinner
South-ampton, Itchen
Bexley-heath & Crayford
Bognor Regis & Little-hampton
Chingford & Woodford Green
Constituenciesnote – approximationsshown by size variation
Tounderstandthese maps
you have to first learn the
geography of Britain anew
But – often one or more countries are missing, and the
latest dates is 2007 or 2008.
Data sources will all be given in the
published atlas(spring 2011)
a list is at the end of these slides.
Here are some examples from the
atlas…
G re a te r L o n d o n
K e n t
A von
S u rre y
S tra th cl yd e
W e s t M id la nd s
Ha n t s
W Y o rk s
L a ncs
Nor f o lk
Ch e s h ire
G re a te r M a n ch e st e r
S W a le s
De rby sh i re
E ss e x Co u n t y
S u ff o lk
D o rs e t
S ta f fs
D ev o n & So m ers e t
Fif e
H e r ts
Ty ne & W e a r
M e rs e ys id eS Y ork s
W ilt s
Hu m b e rs id e
C o rn w a ll
Le ics
L in cs
Cu m b r ia
N Y o rks
N o t ts
W S u s se x
O xf o rd -sh ire
N W a le s
E S u s se x
C le v e la n d
L o th ia n & B o rd e rs
R o y a l B e rks
C a m b s
Mid & W W a le s
W a rk s
B u ck s
Sh ro p -sh ire N o rt h a n t s
G lo u cs
H ere f o rd & W orc e st e r
N o r t h u m b er la n d
C o u n ty D u rh a m & D a r ling t o n
S co t la n d
Is le o f W ig h t
D u m fr i es & G a llo w a y
B e ds & L u t o n
Is le s o f Sc i lly
Children in poverty 2007 (%) 4.5 – 9.910.0 – 19.920.0 – 29.930.0 – 39.940.0 – 49.950.0 – 63.6
2007 children living in poverty (%), local authorities, England & Scotland
From 1899, to 1910, to 1933
To 1945, to 1950 (the pond), 1964
Schools, universities: up, income inequality down – what did Mr
Wilson read?:
No-one owns the truth, or will escape attacks
and ridicule if they question others’ versions of it –
especially effectively
Some deserve ridicule more than others,
But 35 years ago, 7 months (and a few days) events turned on a knife’s edge… and stayed there for 4 more years
There are butterfly effectsThere are butterfly effects
Reduction in main revenue grant allocations 2010-11 (%)-2.0-1.7 – -1.0-0.9 – -0.8-0.7-0.6-0.5 – -0.10.0
Some of our maps
are of change:
2010–2011 reduction in
main revenue
grant allocations (%), local
authorities, England
This is amap of the
future of ‘just’
£6billion cuts
Zoom forward to John Major, John Smith, Tony Blair, ask why everybody who got in Danny Alexander’s way has an unfortunate accident… (joke), to Gordon Brown, to ‘Dave’ Cameron to … Gideon:
Mean self-employed income 2007/08 (£) 11,100 – 14,999 15,000 – 19,999 20,000 – 29,999 30,000 – 39,999 40,000 – 89,200103,000 – 205,000
While:
2007/2008 mean average income
of the self-employed (£),
local authorities, Britain
Mean self-employed income 2007/08 (£) 11,100 – 14,999 15,000 – 19,999 20,000 – 29,999 30,000 – 39,999 40,000 – 89,200103,000 – 205,000
If you want a taste of where the evictions will be in future, then look to the geography of
where they are now and expand on that. ‘Just’ 5 households in every thousand were evicted
from Kensington and Chelseawhen council house rent was £87 a week.
2008 eviction orders rate (‰ households of all tenures), local authorities, England & Wales
Eviction orders rate 2008 (per 1,000 h/holds) 1.0 – 2.4 2.5 – 4.9 5.0 – 7.4 7.5 – 9.910.0 – 16.8No Data
Eviction orders served in Kensington and Chelsea by 1000 households
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
2003–2008 annual count of eviction orders granted, Kensington & Chelsea per 1000 households
These two maps compare general elections some 81 years apart. Ceremonial counties have been coloured by which party gained the most votes. Labour is red,
the Tories blue, the Liberals yellow, Nationalists are green: London’s changed
1929 2010
5,4003,800
3,2002,500
1,8001,600
1,4001,300
1,100900
400
0 2000 4000 6000
South East (England)
London
South West (England)
East of England
North West (England)
West Midlands (England)
Scotland
Yorkshire and The Humber
East Midlands (England)
Wales
North East (England)
Taxpaying estates per 1,000 deaths 2007/08 5.6 – 24.9 25.0 – 49.9 50.0 – 99.9100.0 – 149.9150.0 – 176.1Data suppressed
When it comes to paying off the national debt it is worth considering the distribution of the
national wealth.
If the economy really “were a household”, wouldn’t we ask the richest member for help?
Where do that tiny proportion of people live who are so very rich that they still qualify for
paying inheritance tax? - Here:
2007/8 Inheritance tax paying estates, numbers, regions & countries
Children's emotional heatlth 2009/1043.8 – 49.950.0 – 54.955.0 – 59.960.0 – 62.7
Overall health & wellbeing 2008 (%)63.6 - 69.970 - 74.975 - 79.980 - 84.985 - 89.1
On the right is shown proportion of children who can say yes to two out of these three:'When I’m worried about something I can talk to my mum or dad' 'When I’m worried about something I can talk to my friends' 'When I’m worried about something I can talk to an adult other than my mum or dad'
Adults’ well being is highest in the home counties, but children’s
emotional health appears better in
the North
On the left below) is adult subjective “well-being”
Contrast the map of civic participation in England (left) with that of volunteering
in England and Scotland (right). Society is big in different ways in different places. Asking people slightly different questions gets very different maps
Civic participation 2008 (%) 7.6 – 9.910.0 – 13.914.0 – 16.917.0 – 19.920.0 – 25.7
Volunteering 2008 (%)14.0 – 19.920.0 – 24.925.0 – 29.930.0 – 34.935.0 – 37.4
Road transport CO2 emissions per capita, 2007 (t)0.5 – 0.91.0 – 1.92.0 – 2.93.0 – 4.95.0 – 11.4
Domestic electricity consumption change 2007–08 (kWh/household)-765 – -400-399 – -200-199 – -100 -99 – 0 1 – 30 31 – 150
Across most of the country people have
been consuming less electricity as they have tighten their belts since
2007.
But not everywhere.
In some parts of the country people
contribute five or ten times as much to CO2 pollution simply by how much they drive their cars as compared to those living in other
areas.
Inequality and meatM
eat c
ons
umpt
ion
in k
g p
er
year
per
pe
rso
n
Inequality
Source: www.shef.ac.uk/sasi - see presentations: is more equal more green
Japan
Germany
France
Spain
UK
USA
Inequality and waste
Japan
Germany FranceSpain
UK
USA
Inequality
Singapore
Munic
ipal w
ast
e c
olle
cted (
kg p
er
capit
a
per
year)
Source: www.shef.ac.uk/sasi - see presentations: is more equal more green
You need to be in a good position to get a good view and, see clearly. Its just possible here is just such a place
Under the America,A fraction more unequal than IsrealIn the UK, in 2010.
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