Closing Address Danny Dorling

Equality Trust,First annual conference

London 30 October 2010

'In England, for instance, Londoners are three times more inclined than the residents of the industrial Midlands to believe that 'the economy is on the mend' and that over the next year it will improve. That gap is hardly surprising, considering that it took time for the recession to overflow from London's City banks to the factory floors of the Midlands, and that it will take a similar length of time, if not even longer, to chase it away from the households of jobless factory workers than from the homes of the beneficiaries of lavishly state-subsidized bank dividends and the profits of outfits servicing the rich.‘

Bauman, Z., (2010), 44 Letters from the Liquid Modern World, Letter 34: Is there an end to depression? Cambridge: Polity Press: Page 139 (originally published in La Repubblica delle Donne, 2009)

O u te r

L o n d o nIn n e r

L o n d o n

L e e d s

B i rm in g h a m

B ri s to l

B ra d fo rd

S h e ff i e ld

G la sg o w

C a rd i ff

L ive rp o o l

H u l lB o lto n

M a n c h e s t e r

E d in b u rg h

N e w ca s tle

D e rb yS t o ke

D o v e r

O xf o rd

L u to n

L e ic e s te r

N o t tin g h a m

S w in d o n

R e a d in g

N o rw ic h

M id d le s b ro u g h

S o u th e n d

S u n d e r la n d

S w a n s e a

B la ck p o o l

C a m b r id g e

Ip sw ic hC o v e n try

With Bethan Thomas I’ve been working on a new atlas

with a new map

We use a single new population projection throughout the new atlas, but can draw many different boundaries on that projection as it preserves topology while making area proportion to population and minimising angular distortion.

Here are the major towns and cities by built-up area (‘State of the Cities’ areas).

L

SE

S

NW

W

SW

W Mids

E Mids

NE

Y & H

E

Henley

S Norfolk

Lewes

Mid Beds

Witney

West Ham

NE Hants

S Cambs

Maldon

NE Beds

Reigate

Windsor

Ashford

Dover

Horsham

E Surrey

Brent N

Witham

Hendon

S Suffolk

Newbury

Ilford N

Mole Valley

Ealing N

BuckinghamHerts-mere

SW Herts

Wantage

Beacons-field

SW Beds

NE Herts

Eltham

Broadland

Wealden

Hammer-smith

Putney Dart-ford

E Hants

Woking

NW Cambs

Banbury

SE Cambs

Chichester

W Suffolk

Ilford S

Barking

Richmond ParkWokingham

Vaux-hall

Battersea

Ayles-bury

N Norfolk

NW HantsSpel-thorne

East Ham

Wimbledon

Tooting

Watford

Luton S

NE Cambs

Canter-bury

Croydon N

New Forest E

Arundel & S Downs

Seven-oaks

Hove

Guildford

Isle of Wight

Meon Valley

SW Norfolk

SW Surrey

Thurr-ock

Harlow

Brent Central

East-leigh

Braintree

Croydon S

Bracknell

Maiden-head

Saffron Walden

Enfield N

Harrow E

Totten-ham

S Thanet

Waveney

Esher & Walton

Fareham

Clacton

Castle Point

Mid Norfolk

Edmonton

Gosport

Suffolk Coastal

NW Norfolk

Harrow W

Slough

N Thanet

Huntingdon

Surrey Heath

Alder-shot

Orping-ton

Streat-ham

Twicken-ham

Bexhill & Battle

Winchester

Wycombe

Holborn & St Pancras

Epsom & Ewell

Reading W

Broxbourne

Graves-ham

Ken-sing-ton

Chipping Barnet

Hayes & Harling-ton

Isling-ton N

Crawley

Harwich & N EssexSt Albans

Hitchin & Harpen-den

Mitcham & Morden

Waltham-stow

Beckenham

Epping Forest

Lewis-ham E

Brent-wood & Ongar

Hampstead & Kilburn

New Forest W

Mid Sussex

Tonbridge & Malling

Brentford & Isleworth

Folkestone & Hythe

Welwyn Hatfield

Roch-ester & Strood

Bury St Edmunds

Peterborough

Croydon Central

Reading E

Kingston & Surbiton

Oxford W & Abingdon

Rom-ford

Hastings & Rye

Feltham & Heston

Ealing Central & Acton

Tunbridge Wells

Hornsey & Wood Green

Eastbourne

Milton Keynes N

Dulwich & W Norwood

Stevenage

Havant

Ealing, Southall

Norwich N

Westminster N

Cities of London & Westminster

Milton Keynes S

Ports-mouth N

Central Suffolk & N Ipswich

Hertford & Stortford

Oxford E

Favers-ham & Mid Kent

Hemel Hemp-stead

Great Yarmouth

Norwich S

Enfield, South-gate

Cambridge

Col-chester

Finchley & Golders Green

Bed-ford

Camberwell & Peckham

Poplar & Limehouse

S Basil-don & E Thurrock

Chelsea & Fulham

Runny-mede & Wey-bridge

Basing-stoke

Sutton & Cheam

Uxbridge & S Ruislip

Worthing W

Ipswich

Leyton & Wanstead

Lewis-ham W & Penge

Dagen-ham & Rain-ham

Rayleigh & Wickford

Carshalton & Wallington

Chesham & Amers-ham

Isling-ton S & Finsbury

Sitting-bourne & Sheppey

Old Bexley & Sidcup

Chelms-ford

South-ampton, Test

Hackney S & Shoreditch Rochford &

Southend E

Lewis-ham, Deptford

Erith & Thames-mead

Bethnal Green & Bow

Maidstone & The Weald

Bromley & Chisle-hurst

Bermondsey & Old Southwark

E Worthing & Shoreham

Brighton, Pavilion

Horn-church & Up-minster

Chatham & Aylesford

Luton N

Greenwich & Woolwich

Ports-mouth S Brighton,

Kemptown

Hackney N & Stoke Newington

Basildon & Billericay

Gilling-ham & Rain-ham

South-end W

Romsey & South-ampton N

Ruislip, North-wood & Pinner

South-ampton, Itchen

Bexley-heath & Crayford

Bognor Regis & Little-hampton

Chingford & Woodford Green

Constituenciesnote – approximationsshown by size variation

Tounderstandthese maps

you have to first learn the

geography of Britain anew

But – often one or more countries are missing, and the

latest dates is 2007 or 2008.

Data sources will all be given in the

published atlas(spring 2011)

a list is at the end of these slides.

Here are some examples from the

atlas…

G re a te r L o n d o n

K e n t

A von

S u rre y

S tra th cl yd e

W e s t M id la nd s

Ha n t s

W Y o rk s

L a ncs

Nor f o lk

Ch e s h ire

G re a te r M a n ch e st e r

S W a le s

De rby sh i re

E ss e x Co u n t y

S u ff o lk

D o rs e t

S ta f fs

D ev o n & So m ers e t

Fif e

H e r ts

Ty ne & W e a r

M e rs e ys id eS Y ork s

W ilt s

Hu m b e rs id e

C o rn w a ll

Le ics

L in cs

Cu m b r ia

N Y o rks

N o t ts

W S u s se x

O xf o rd -sh ire

N W a le s

E S u s se x

C le v e la n d

L o th ia n & B o rd e rs

R o y a l B e rks

C a m b s

Mid & W W a le s

W a rk s

B u ck s

Sh ro p -sh ire N o rt h a n t s

G lo u cs

H ere f o rd & W orc e st e r

N o r t h u m b er la n d

C o u n ty D u rh a m & D a r ling t o n

S co t la n d

Is le o f W ig h t

D u m fr i es & G a llo w a y

B e ds & L u t o n

Is le s o f Sc i lly

Children in poverty 2007 (%) 4.5 – 9.910.0 – 19.920.0 – 29.930.0 – 39.940.0 – 49.950.0 – 63.6

2007 children living in poverty (%), local authorities, England & Scotland

From 1899, to 1910, to 1933

To 1945, to 1950 (the pond), 1964

Schools, universities: up, income inequality down – what did Mr

Wilson read?:

No-one owns the truth, or will escape attacks

and ridicule if they question others’ versions of it –

especially effectively

Some deserve ridicule more than others,

But 35 years ago, 7 months (and a few days) events turned on a knife’s edge… and stayed there for 4 more years

There are butterfly effectsThere are butterfly effects

Reduction in main revenue grant allocations 2010-11 (%)-2.0-1.7 – -1.0-0.9 – -0.8-0.7-0.6-0.5 – -0.10.0

Some of our maps

are of change:

2010–2011 reduction in

main revenue

grant allocations (%), local

authorities, England

This is amap of the

future of ‘just’

£6billion cuts

Zoom forward to John Major, John Smith, Tony Blair, ask why everybody who got in Danny Alexander’s way has an unfortunate accident… (joke), to Gordon Brown, to ‘Dave’ Cameron to … Gideon:

Mean self-employed income 2007/08 (£) 11,100 – 14,999 15,000 – 19,999 20,000 – 29,999 30,000 – 39,999 40,000 – 89,200103,000 – 205,000

While:

2007/2008 mean average income

of the self-employed (£),

local authorities, Britain

Mean self-employed income 2007/08 (£) 11,100 – 14,999 15,000 – 19,999 20,000 – 29,999 30,000 – 39,999 40,000 – 89,200103,000 – 205,000

If you want a taste of where the evictions will be in future, then look to the geography of

where they are now and expand on that. ‘Just’ 5 households in every thousand were evicted

from Kensington and Chelseawhen council house rent was £87 a week.

2008 eviction orders rate (‰ households of all tenures), local authorities, England & Wales

Eviction orders rate 2008 (per 1,000 h/holds) 1.0 – 2.4 2.5 – 4.9 5.0 – 7.4 7.5 – 9.910.0 – 16.8No Data

Eviction orders served in Kensington and Chelsea by 1000 households

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

2003–2008 annual count of eviction orders granted, Kensington & Chelsea per 1000 households

These two maps compare general elections some 81 years apart. Ceremonial counties have been coloured by which party gained the most votes. Labour is red,

the Tories blue, the Liberals yellow, Nationalists are green: London’s changed

1929 2010

5,4003,800

3,2002,500

1,8001,600

1,4001,300

1,100900

400

0 2000 4000 6000

South East (England)

London

South West (England)

East of England

North West (England)

West Midlands (England)

Scotland

Yorkshire and The Humber

East Midlands (England)

Wales

North East (England)

Taxpaying estates per 1,000 deaths 2007/08 5.6 – 24.9 25.0 – 49.9 50.0 – 99.9100.0 – 149.9150.0 – 176.1Data suppressed

When it comes to paying off the national debt it is worth considering the distribution of the

national wealth.

If the economy really “were a household”, wouldn’t we ask the richest member for help?

Where do that tiny proportion of people live who are so very rich that they still qualify for

paying inheritance tax? - Here:

2007/8 Inheritance tax paying estates, numbers, regions & countries

Children's emotional heatlth 2009/1043.8 – 49.950.0 – 54.955.0 – 59.960.0 – 62.7

Overall health & wellbeing 2008 (%)63.6 - 69.970 - 74.975 - 79.980 - 84.985 - 89.1

On the right is shown proportion of children who can say yes to two out of these three:'When I’m worried about something I can talk to my mum or dad' 'When I’m worried about something I can talk to my friends' 'When I’m worried about something I can talk to an adult other than my mum or dad'

Adults’ well being is highest in the home counties, but children’s

emotional health appears better in

the North

On the left below) is adult subjective “well-being”

Contrast the map of civic participation in England (left) with that of volunteering

in England and Scotland (right). Society is big in different ways in different places. Asking people slightly different questions gets very different maps

Civic participation 2008 (%) 7.6 – 9.910.0 – 13.914.0 – 16.917.0 – 19.920.0 – 25.7

Volunteering 2008 (%)14.0 – 19.920.0 – 24.925.0 – 29.930.0 – 34.935.0 – 37.4

Road transport CO2 emissions per capita, 2007 (t)0.5 – 0.91.0 – 1.92.0 – 2.93.0 – 4.95.0 – 11.4

Domestic electricity consumption change 2007–08 (kWh/household)-765 – -400-399 – -200-199 – -100 -99 – 0 1 – 30 31 – 150

Across most of the country people have

been consuming less electricity as they have tighten their belts since

2007.

But not everywhere.

In some parts of the country people

contribute five or ten times as much to CO2 pollution simply by how much they drive their cars as compared to those living in other

areas.

Inequality and meatM

eat c

ons

umpt

ion

in k

g p

er

year

per

pe

rso

n

Inequality

Source: www.shef.ac.uk/sasi - see presentations: is more equal more green

Japan

Germany

France

Spain

UK

USA

Inequality and waste

Japan

Germany FranceSpain

UK

USA

Inequality

Singapore

Munic

ipal w

ast

e c

olle

cted (

kg p

er

capit

a

per

year)

Source: www.shef.ac.uk/sasi - see presentations: is more equal more green

You need to be in a good position to get a good view and, see clearly. Its just possible here is just such a place

Under the America,A fraction more unequal than IsrealIn the UK, in 2010.