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Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
Chart Discussion: Fri 19-Feb-2016
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ECMWFUS GFS
Verifying Model ForecastsMSL Pressure: Fri 25-Dec-2015
OBSERVED ACCESS
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Seasonal Outlook
Part One
Chart Discussion: Fri 18-Dec-2015
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Sea Surface Temperature AnomaliesEl Niño slowly weakening
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Verification (1989 to 2015) of the accuracy of the BoM’s
Seasonal Climate Outlooks [Rainfall]
QLD
NSW
VIC
NT
SA
WA
TAS
ALL STATES
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Seasonal Outlook Feb ‘16 - Apr ‘16
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
•Above average February to April rainfall favoured in central and
southern Australia, but drier than average in the far north.
•Temperatures more likely to be cooler than average in central regions
but warmer in the far north and far south.
•Climate influences include a record-warm Indian Ocean basin, a
weakening El Niño and warm sea surface temperatures around much of
the Australian coastline, particularly near Tasmania
Seasonal Outlook for Melbourne
… next 30 Days (statistically-based)
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Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Last Week
Part Two
Chart Discussion: Fri-18-December-2015 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Analyses : Sat-13-Feb to Thu-18-Feb
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Southern Hemisphere: Thu-18-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Analysis/Sat Image: Thu-18-Feb-2016
http://www.bom.gov.au
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_update/gsstanim.gif
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Analysis/Sat Image: Fri-19-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Next Week
Part Three
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Verifying Melbourne Forecasts
Max Temp
Based upon: QJRMS Stern & Davidson (2015)
Rainfall Amount
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Jet Streams: Fri 19-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Fri 19-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Jet Streams: Sat 20-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Sat 20-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Jet Streams: Sun 21-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Sun 21-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Jet Streams: Mon 22-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Mon 22-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Jet Streams: Tue 23-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Tue 23-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Jet Streams: Wed 24-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Wed 24-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Thu 25-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Fri 26-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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ECMWFUS GFS
ACCESS
Model ForecastsMSL Pressure: Fri 26-Feb-2016 (+192 HRS)
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Sat 27-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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MSL Pressure: Sun 28-Feb-2016
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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ECMWF & Bureau Forecasts - Week 1
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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Chart Discussion: Fri 19-Feb-2016
Thank You
http://www.weather-climate.com/ChartDiscussion19Feb2016.pdf
Chart Discussion: Fri-19-February-2016 (Harvey Stern)
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