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EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
/ Aluminium Outlook:Finish Aluminium Days 2016, Gerd Götz
Market insights and Looking ahead
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
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/ Facts and Figures
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Who we are1
Founded in
1981European Aluminium represents the entire value chain of the aluminium industry in Europe
1million +Direct and indirect jobs across Europe’svalue chain
Europe produces
16%of worldwidealuminium, half of which fromrecycled sources
An innovative value chain serving EU key markets
€38 Billion annual turnover
80+members
approx.600 plants
in 30 European countries (EU 28, EFTA and Turkey)
90%of aluminium isrecycled in construction and automotive in Europe
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EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Overview aluminium industry in Europe1
More than 600 aluminiumplants (by installed capacity*)
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* Source : European Aluminium Statistics, April 2015
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Mission
Engage with European decision makers to create a sustainable business climate for the aluminium industry in Europe
Promote aluminium as an innovative and sustainable material for the future of Europe
Be the voice of aluminium in Europe
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EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
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/ Aluminium markets
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Primary aluminium market in the world:Production, consumption and global balance
A balance market for 2016(f) with slightly higher surplus for 2017(f)…
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ktonnes 2014 2015 2016(f) 2017(f)
Production 54 095 57 114 58 967 61 792
Consumption 54 084 56 485 59 108 61 248
Balance / surplus 11 629 ‐141 544
Chinese production:2016 (f): 32 063 kt2017 (f): 34 056 kt
Rest of the world production:
2016 (f): 26 904 kt 2017 (f): 27 736 kt
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Recycling: refining + remelting in EuropeScrap intake statistics
Continuous growth for H1 2016 with differences between sectors…
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7 546 kt
2015 data
Source: European Aluminium, data for EU+EFTA * Casting and wrought alloys
H1 2016: + 2.0% ytd
Total scrap intake (kt)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Q1 1 734 1 727 1 888 1 965 2 006Q2 1 757 1 773 1 900 1 993 2 031Q3 1 594 1 667 1 730 1 774 -Q4 1 596 1 696 1 743 1 813 -
Year 6 681 6 862 7 261 7 546 4 036 Growth
(yoy)2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Q1 - -0,4% 9,3% 4,1% 2,1%Q2 - 0,9% 7,2% 4,9% 1,9%Q3 - 4,5% 3,8% 2,6% -Q4 - 6,3% 2,8% 4,0% -
Year - 2,7% 5,8% 3,9% -
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Flat Rolled Products:shipments to Europe (2000‐2017, '000 tonnes)
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Market Volume
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q1 1152.3 1216.0 1213.9 1252.7 1274.8Q2 1194.4 1238.8 1268.3 1301.7 1323.9Q3 1157.7 1203.7 1258.0 1294.6 1320.6Q4 1084.9 1111.1 1194.4 1202.6 1229.5Year 4589.3 4769.6 4934.6 5051.6 5148.8
Growth (yoy)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q1 3.3% 5.5% ‐0.2% 3.2% 1.8%Q2 4.4% 3.7% 2.4% 2.6% 1.7%Q3 0.9% 4.0% 4.5% 2.9% 2.0%Q4 0.6% 2.4% 7.5% 0.7% 2.2%Year 2.3% 3.9% 3.5% 2.4% 1.9%CARG 10/'00 10/'05 16/'10
1.1% 0.1% 2.9%
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Extrusion & tube shipments in Europe*in ‘000 tonnes
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*EU25+EFTA until 2007, EU27+EFTA from 2008Based on end uses annual data, adjustments for Spain since 2007, historical trends 2001‐2006 using old Spanish end use data
Key figures:Shipments in:• EU+EFTA : 2 949 kt
• Scandinavia: 200 kt
Volumes by end uses in Europe
Main aluminium market in Europe
34%
11%
10%
Scandinavia: 6%
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Extrusion & tube shipments in Europe*forecasts (in %)
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*EU25+EFTA until 2007, EU27+EFTA from 2008Based on end uses annual data, adjustments for Spain since 2007, historical trends 2001‐2006 using old Spanish end use data
Central & Eastern countries: +2.9%
Scandinavia: +1.4%
2016 forecastsTotal Europe: +1.6%
Central & Eastern countries: +1.3%
Scandinavia: +1.6%
2017 forecastsTotal Europe: +1.2%
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Extrusion in EuropeFocus on Finnish trade data
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Total exports in 2015: 11.4 kt (‐9%)• Main partners: SW, DE, DK, ES, NO• 5 countries 90% of exports
Total imports in 2015: 7.6 kt (+8%)• Main partners: SW, DE, DK, IT• 4 countries 71% of imports
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
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/ Working together
EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Being a member means…
… being part of an EU wide industry network• Network opportunities with peer industry colleagues• Receive support in European lobby efforts that benefit our industry
… shaping the future of our industry• Be part of the Sustainability Roadmap to 2025• Influence our strategy and positions
… access to global expertise• Have access to credible industry resources, studies and updates• Keep up to date with European support programmes
… driving the industry agenda• Participating in development and best practices• Get active in working groups and committees
… increasing your visibility• Leveraging our PR activities
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EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Membership benefits
Receive market andpolitical intelligencethrough
Guide our work through
Expand your network by
• Our aluminium statisticsdatabase
• Our weekly recaps on burning topics in the industry and …
• Our members’ database, extranet, meeting calendar and many other resources
• All our publications
• Individual advice
• Having your say on our advocacy work towards the EU institutions, standardization bodies and various stakeholders
• Direct contact with ourexperts
• Direct participation in our horizontal committees, specific working groups and the possibility to become a member of our market groups (packaging, automotive & transport, building)
• Joining an association covering all segments of the sector’s value chain
• Taking part in the industry’s events, including the European Aluminium spring and autumn meetings, the biannual recycling congress, EHS workshop and the Packaging seminar
• Connecting with the International Aluminium Institute (IAI), Eurometaux (the European Non‐Ferrous Metals association) and other multi‐sectorial alliances and national aluminium associations
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EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Examples of our work
Participation of EU Commissioner Karmenu Vella
at the European Aluminium event
Promoting the importance of aluminium industry on the European
level
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EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Examples of our work
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Strategy/Social Media Campaigns/Newsletters
Publications & Brochures
Industry & public stakeholder events
Access to various networks
Market Intelligence
Innovation
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EUROPEAN ALUMINIUM
Avenue de Broqueville 12 ‐ 1150 Brussels, BelgiumPhone +32 2 775 63 63Email gotz@european‐aluminium.euwww.european‐aluminium.eu
/Questions? Contact us!
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