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Electricity Grid 2.0 Fergus Wheatley B.Sc (eng).

The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

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This is Fergus Wheatly\'s presentation at the it@cork Green IT Conference on November 26, 2008

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Page 1: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Electricity Grid 2.0

Fergus Wheatley B.Sc (eng).

Page 2: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Electricity is difficult to store• Generation and Consumption must always be

matched.• Generators and Transmission lines built to deal

with the PEAK load rather than the AVERAGE load

• This means that we are paying for expensive generators and transmission lines that are only rarely used.

• Difference in Ireland between the night valley and 6 O'clock peak load is about 2000 MW,

• Or 5 modern Gas fired power stations.

Page 3: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Electricity Grid 1.0

• 100 year old concept.– Always match supply to demand– Minimum effort in getting demand to move– Majority of users using fixed tariffs– Old & inefficient plant is still required to meet

peaks in demand. This cost is passed to consumers in the form of higher bills.

– Huge swings in wholesale electricity rates not seen by customers

Page 4: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly
Page 5: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly
Page 6: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Electricity Grid 1.1 (1999)

• New entrants to the wholesale market. • Energia, Aertricity. Bord Gais et al (check

dates)

• Bought Electricity through bilateral agreements and sold on to customers.

• Some analysis of consumer load is done, to settle on an average price for customer.

• Nobody offering a “pass-through” tariff.

Page 7: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Introduction to SEM (Grid 1.2)

• Single Electricity Market• All generators bid, Market operator looks

at all prices and anticipated demand, publishes a dispatch file (Indicative Schedule on half hour basis, with prices)

• Customers CAN use this to plan their electricity usage. However because nearly everybody uses a fixed tariff, nobody really bothers to plan.

Page 8: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Operating the Grid• Eirgrid uses the D-1 file and asks power

stations to turn on & off, dispatching the least expensive stations based on bid price.

• If demand is greater than forecast or if another power station goes off-line, then Eirgrid, dispatches the next least expensive station capable of meeting demand.

• The cost of this power station is now the new pool price. All remaining generators feeding the grid get paid this new pool price.

Page 9: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Wind Power

• Wind farm operators normally bid in at very low rates (€ 2.00 per MWhr)

• This means that wind will always be chosen to run, being the cheapest generators.

• However they will be paid the pool price. (the MWhr cost of the most expensive generator running).

• Wind is referred to as a “PRICE TAKER”, and can significantly effect wholesale prices by blocking out conventional power stations.

Page 10: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Generated.

Highlight line, accept or reject to Grid instructions.

Declare Available MWatts.

Exported to Grid. (i.e. After House load subtracted).

Page 11: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly
Page 12: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Electricity Grid 2.0 (2008/2009)

• The SEM will lead to Grid 2.0

• We’re not there yet.

• Big wholesalers; ESB, Energia, Bord Gais still mostly charging negotiated fixed rates.

• Usage is analysed and wholesaler offers a fixed rate based on demand to date.

• Some incentive to move demand away from expensive periods.

Page 13: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Pass through Pricing

• Pass through pricing offers a SERIOUS incentive to pull demand away from high price events.

• New market entrant VALU has just started offering pass-through pricing.

• Commercial Resistance from existing players, because wholesale margins will be effected.

Page 14: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Matching Demand to Supply?• 40% of electricity generated in 11 years time will be

from renewable sources. To reach this figure there needs to be about 6,000 MW of wind connected to the grid.

• 9% of electricity generated today is from renewable sources from 850MW of wind + about 120MW of hydro.

• Wind is impossible to dispatch, it’s either there or its not. Supply is not flexible, so demand must be. Otherwise there will be significant curtailment of wind.

Page 15: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

System Records

Page 16: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Wind already having an effect

• Wind is already curtailing expensive generation and reducing wholesale prices

• Next graph, reducing prices by about 20% in off-peak periods,

Page 17: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly
Page 18: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Bio Fuels Directive

• EU rules state that 10% of transport fuel must be renewable by 2020.

• Ireland under John Gormley and Eamon Ryan are aiming for about 2-3% veg oil and the balance in charging Electric Vehicle batteries from Wind.

• 10% of cars to be electric by 2020. • Increased demand on the grid. Without

Demand Response more price swings.

Page 19: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Synergy Module

• Technology to assist Demand Response

• Auto-Generation. (Wrongly called embedded generation).

• Helps increase the portion of variable renewable sources of electricity.

• Helps Grid stability

• Reduces the cost of spinning reserve

• Reduces the peak expensive power.

Page 20: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

iLon Smart Server

Page 21: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Demand Response

• Energy Reduction– Autorun Diesel Generators– Heating and Cooling Thermostat Control

• Energy Time Shift– Domestic Heating– EV & PHEV– Refrigeration– Ice Bank Air Conditioning– Water Pumping– Smart Domestic Appliances

• Energy Demand Stimulation (Replace Fossil Fuels)– Swimming Pool Heating (via Heat Pump)– H2 production

Page 22: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly
Page 23: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Screen shot of Synergy Setup

Page 24: The Electric Grid 2.0 - Fergus Wheatly

Summary

• Moving Electricity load helps;– Reduce CO2 by curtailing in inefficient plants

required for peak load.– Saves serious money on utility bills.– Helps with Ireland Inc. fuel security.– Helps grid stability.– Helps increase wind / variable renewable

portion of electricity used.