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The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

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Page 1: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review
Page 3: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Results International Global Cyber Security Indices

Note: Based on share prices as at 31st December 2014 Note: Indices weighted by market capitalisation Sources: Capital IQ and Results analysis 2

+41.3%

+20.4%

+13.4%

+37.6%

+2.3%

-11.5%

+22.0%

Q4 2014 Performance

Broadline 3.3%

Endpoint 7.7%

Network 16.8%

Data 18.1%

Monitoring & Analysis 35.6%

Global Security 12.4%

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

Dec 13 Jan 14 Feb 14 Mar 14 Apr 14 May 14 Jun 14 Jul 14 Aug 14 Sep 14 Oct 14 Nov 14 Dec 14

Broadline Endpoint Network Data Monitoring & Analysis Global Security NASDAQ Comp

Page 4: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Cyber Security: Share Price Performance

Note: Share price performance as at 31st December 2014 Sources: Capital IQ and Results analysis

3

Broadline Endpoint Network Data

Monitoring & Analysis

Q4

-20

14

Last

12

Mo

nth

s

9.1%

-10.0%

19.1% 23.9%

-9.6% -10.6%

39.7%

13.5%

-26.2%

21.4%

9.9%

24.9% 24.7%

5.5% 3.3%

72.1%

29.9%

7.7%

41.9%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

8.8%

-9.2%

14.7%

n.a.

20.3%

n.a.

-9.7%

21.8%

-12.7%

60.3%

43.6%

113.3%

22.5%

-4.4%

-27.6%

2.7%

45.4%

-28.2%

63.3%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

140.0%

Page 5: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Company IPO

Date Description Raised

Indicative Price

Range ($)

IPO Price

($)

Increase vs.

range

Day 1

Increase

Current

Increase(1)

Current

EV

EV / Revenue

2014E

EV / EBITDA

2014E

Sep-14 Privileged account

security 86 13.00-15.00 16.00 14.3% 87.1% 147.8% 1,213 13.0 x n.m.

Jun-14 Mobile security and

management 100 8.00-10.00 9.00 0.0% 22.4% 10.7% 703 5.6 x n.m.

Nov-13 Network security and

data storage 64 18.00-21.00 18.00 -7.7% 19.7% 99.1% 1,820 6.7 x 40.8 x

Sep-13 Forensics and

malware protection 304 15.00-17.00 20.00 25.0% 80.0% 57.9% 5,059 11.9 x n.m.

Sep-12 Cloud security and

compliance 91 11.00-13.00 12.00 0.0% 18.0% 214.6% 1,360 10.2 x 48.6 x

Jul-12 Firewalls and network

security 260 38.00-40.00 42.00 7.7% 26.5% 191.8% 10,212 14.5 x n.m.

Apr-12 Communication

security 82 10.00-12.00 13.00 18.2% 8.3% 271.0% 2,056 10.7 x n.m.

Feb-12 Antivirus and anti-

spyware 128 16.00-18.00 16.00 -5.9% -18.8% 23.4% 978 2.6 x 7.1 x

Nov-11 Data centre security 90 14.00-16.00 18.00 20.0% 33.3% 174.6% 1,256 7.7 x n.m.

Cyber Security: Recent IPO Performances

4

Note: Calendarised to December year end; $ millions, except share price data; Multiples capped at 20x EV / Revenue and 50x EV / EBITDA Note: (1) Current increase from IPO price; Market data as of 31st December 2014 Source: Capital IQ

Nasdaq

Nasdaq

Nasdaq

Nasdaq

NYSE

NYSE

NYSE

NYSE

Nasdaq

Page 6: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Cyber Security: Valuation Benchmarks

5

EBITDA Margin 2014E EV / EBITDA 2014E

Revenue Growth (2014-15E) EV / Revenue 2014E

Note: EV = Enterprise Value; Financials calendarised to December year end

Note: Median values reported; exclude negative multiples

Note: See Selected Publicly Traded Companies (Slide 11) for details of companies included in each category

Source: Capital IQ

2.5%

17.9%

14.4%

25.9%

12.3%

15.6%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Broadline Endpoint Network Data Monitoring &

Analysis

Global

Security

33.3%

18.3% 17.6%

-9.3%

12.3%

17.1%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Broadline Endpoint Network Data Monitoring &

Analysis

Global

Security

2.6 x

4.1 x

5.6 x

10.7 x

6.0 x 5.6 x

0.0 x

2.0 x

4.0 x

6.0 x

8.0 x

10.0 x

12.0 x

Broadline Endpoint Network Data Monitoring &

Analysis

Global

Security

7.9 x 8.5 x

18.8 x

n.m.

49.2 x

15.8 x

0.0 x

10.0 x

20.0 x

30.0 x

40.0 x

50.0 x

60.0 x

Broadline Endpoint Network Data Monitoring &

Analysis

Global

Security

Page 7: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Cyber Security: Global M&A Activity

6 Sources: Press Releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket and Results analysis

26 26 26 27

23 23

32

24

15

31

25

22

32

28 28

22

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014

Tota

l D

isc

lose

d D

ea

l V

alu

e (

$m

)

Nu

mb

er

of D

ea

ls

Number of deals Total Disclosed Deal Value

Page 8: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Cyber Security: Selected Deals in 2014

Date Buyer Target EV ($m) EV /

Revenue EV /

EBITDA Company description

Target Location

Dec-14 - - - Cloud, mobile and enterprise security solutions

Dec-14 710 - - Advanced cyberthreat detection and protection

Dec-14 55 - - Password and identity management

Nov-14 200 - - Cloud enterprise security startup

Nov-14 14 - - Adware, spyware, spam and virus protection

Oct-14 35 - - Cloud-based social media security and compliance

Oct-14 233 3.1x(1)

- Network security software

Oct-14 - - - Enterprise mobility security solutions

Sep-14 81 0.7x

10.2x Data security solutions provider

Sep-14 140 4.2x - Mobile antivirus and parental controls

Sep-14 310 3.1x - Privileged account and vulnerability management

Aug-14 300 5.0x - User identity and access management

Aug-14 890 2.6x - Encryption, anti-malware and DRM systems

Aug-14 - - - Data security and memory encryption

Jul-14 - - - Identity and access management

Jul-14 - - - Password encryption, sharing and storage solutions

Jul-14 250 1.8x - Network access control

7

Note: Enterprise value (EV) = transaction value scaled to 100% shareholding plus net debt (includes minority interest) Note: (1) Multiple based on forecast 2014 revenues Financials relate to the companies’ full fiscal year before the transaction took place Sources: Press releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, 451 Research and Results analysis

Page 9: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Cyber Security: Selected Deals in 2014

Date Buyer Target EV ($m) EV /

Revenue EV /

EBITDA Company description

Target Location

Jun-14 - - - Virtual private network (VPN) services

Jun-14 - - - Firewall security management and monitoring

Jun-14 - - - Data encryption and operational diagnostics

May-14 - - - Cloud-based DDoS prevention software

May-14 - - - Dynamic malware analysis and threat detection

May-14 24 - - Automated security incident response solutions

May-14 70 - - Network forensics and big data security analytics

May-14 - - - Vulnerability management and endpoint security

Apr-14 12 - - Encryption-related security software

Mar-14 83 4.9x 14.0x(1)

Data security and computer reuse management solutions

Mar-14 200 - - Threat prevention software for Microsoft-based server environments

Feb-14 - - - Website malware monitoring and artificial intelligence remediation

Feb-14 70 - - Global network security appliances and management solutions

Feb-14 60 - - Visibility and application control for cloud-based applications

Jan-14 1,540 - - Enterprise mobility management and security solutions

Jan-14 - - - Anti-virus, malware protection and account management

Jan-14 844 8.0x - Cyber security incident response platform and threat intelligence

8

Note: Enterprise value (EV) = transaction value scaled to 100% shareholding plus net debt (includes minority interest) Note: (1) Multiple based on 2013 EBIT Financials relate to the companies’ full fiscal year before the transaction took place Sources: Press releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, 451 Research and Results analysis

Page 10: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Cyber Security: Selected Fundraisings in 2014

Date Company Type of round Funds

raised ($m) Investor participation Company description

Company headquarters

Dec-14 Series D 30.0 Bain Capital, Technology Crossover Ventures Security data and analytics

Dec-14 Venture 8.0 KPCB, Allegis Capital, Cowboy Ventures, Data Collective Venture Capital, First Round Capital

Threat intelligence software

Dec-14 Series B 22.0 General Catalyst Partners, Institutional Venture Partner, Google Ventures, Paladin Capital Group

Threat intelligence platform

Nov-14 Series B 50.0 Transamerica Ventures, Delta Partners, Andreesen Horowitz, Deutsche Telekom

Data encryption and protection

Nov-14 Venture 1.5 New York Angels, Harvard Business School Mobile endpoint security platform

Nov-14 Series B 15.0 New Enterprise Associates, Sequoia Capital E-Commerce fraud prevention

Oct-14 Series A 11.0 Javelin Venture Partners, Benhamou Global Ventures, Lakewood & Company

Browser-borne malware isolation and elimination

Oct-14 Series A 3.2 T-Venture, Shortcut Ventures GmbH, Project A Ventures, Holtzbrinck Ventures

Internet connection encryption

Sep-14 Series G 35.0 KKR, Ten Eleven Ventures, DFJ, General Catalyst Partners, SAP Ventures, W Capital, Volition Capital, Triangle Peak Partners, Appian Ventures

Secure cloud identity management

Sep-14 Series F 40.0 Wellington Management, Atlas Ventures, .406 Ventures App intelligence and security verification

Aug-14 Series C 21.0 Columbus Nova Technology Partners, Citi Ventures, Work-Bench Ventures

Data centre security startup

Aug-14 Series B 25.0 New Enterprise Associates, SingTel Innov8, Norwest Venture Partners Cloud security gateway

Aug-14 Series C 25.0 Juniper Networks, Intel Capital, AME Cloud Ventures, IA Ventures, Accel Partners, Khosla Ventures

Automated cyber attack detection

Aug-14 Series F 150.0 T. Rowe Price, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Wellington Management Company, Bezos Expeditions

Mobile security applications

Jul-14 Series A 30.0 Highland Capital Partners Anti-malware and internet security

Jul-14 Series A 6.0 TVC Capital Email and web security

Jul-14 Series B 10.0 Poalim Capital Markets, Jerusalem Venture Partners, General Electric Malware detection and prevention

9

Sources: VentureSource, Capital IQ and Results analysis

Page 11: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Cyber Security: Selected Fundraisings in 2014

Date Company Type of round Funds

raised ($m) Investor participation Company description

Company headquarters

Jun-14 Series A - Environmental Technologies Fund Penetration testing and platform

Jun-14 Venture 90.0 Andreessen Horowitz Enterprise security and systems management

Jun-14 Series A 7.0 C5 Capital Advanced monitoring and log management

Jun-14 Series E 75.0 Altimeter Capital, Janus Capital Group, Khosla Ventures, Greylock Partners, Andreessen Horowitz, Sequoia Capital

Cloud-based identity management

May-14 Series B 22.0 Rho Ventures, FirstMark Capital, Bessemer Venture Partners Password security manager

May-14 Series E 42.0 Samsung Ventures, Fortinet, Docomo Capital Cloud-based identity management

May-14 Series B 25.0 Battery Ventures, Summit Partners Online and mobile threat discovery and software monitoring

Apr-14 Venture 13.0 InterWest Partners, Palomar Ventures, Sigma Partners, Paladin Capital Group, Noro-Moseley Partners, Imlay Investments, Adam Street Partners

Advanced threat protection

Apr-14 Series A 12.0 Tiger Global Management, The Westly Group Predictive endpoint protection platform

Mar-14 Venture 12.0 Brookline Venture Partners, Fairhaven Capital Partners, GE Pension Trust Advanced data loss prevention platform

Mar-14 Series E 20.0 Adams Street Partners, August Capital, Tenaya Capital, U.S. Venture Partners, CM Capital

Context-based security and fraud prevention solutions

Feb-14 Series B 16.5 Lenovo Group, DCM, ONSET Ventures Online security and authentication

Feb-14 Series A 5.0 BRM Group, OPUS Capital Cloud-based and on-premise cyber security solutions

Feb-14 Series C 25.5 Tenaya Capital, Musea Ventures, Shasta Ventures, Meritech Security automation platform

Feb-14 Series C 40.0 Norwest Venture Partners, Sierra Ventures, Kleiner Perkins & Caulfield, Venrock, Google Ventures, Tomorrow Ventures, Allegis Capital

Advanced malware and botnet protection

Jan-14 Series B 18.0 Tenaya Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Andreas Bechtolsheim, SV Angel Cross-platform enterprise mobility security

Jan-14 Series C 16.5 Bessemer Venture Partners, Ascent Venture Partners Cloud data security solutions

10

Sources: VentureSource, Capital IQ and Results analysis

Page 12: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

Price % of 52 Market Total Net Enterprise Revenue Rev. Growth Gross Margin EBITDA Margin

Company (31-Dec-14) Week High Cap Cash Debt Value CY2014 CY14-15 Historical CY2014 CY2015 CY2014 CY2015 CY2014 CY2015

Broadline

Symantec 25.66 96.1% 17,736 3,793 (1,698) 16,038 6,664 0.5% 83.7% 32.0% 34.3% 2.4 x 2.4 x 7.5 x 7.0 x

Trend Micro 27.89 87.9% 3,747 1,044 (1,044) 2,703 951 4.4% 82.1% 34.6% 33.8% 2.8 x 2.7 x 8.2 x 8.1 x

Endpoint

AVG Technologies 19.74 92.5% 1,022 44 (44) 978 370 13.8% 83.1% 37.4% 35.3% 2.6 x 2.3 x 7.1 x 6.6 x

CyberArk 39.65 84.3% 1,382 169 (169) 1,213 94 22.1% 86.3% 17.1% 5.4% 13.0 x 10.6 x n.m. n.m.

F-Secure 2.72 77.6% 429 63 (63) 367 188 2.4% 95.5% 19.6% 22.6% 2.0 x 1.9 x 10.0 x 8.4 x

MobileIron 9.96 76.9% 851 147 (147) 703 125 33.7% 84.4% (39.9%) (30.8%) 5.6 x 4.2 x n.m. n.m.

Network

Barracuda Networks 35.84 80.7% 1,972 157 (152) 1,820 270 16.6% 77.0% 16.6% 20.3% 6.7 x 5.8 x 40.8 x 28.5 x

Check Point Software 78.57 97.2% 15,469 1,240 (1,240) 14,229 1,491 6.6% 88.4% 58.7% 59.0% 9.5 x 9.0 x 16.3 x 15.2 x

Corero Network Security 0.24 59.6% 28 5 (5) 23 9 81.8% 65.1% (77.3%) 0.6% 2.6 x 1.4 x n.m. n.m.

Fortinet 30.66 97.4% 5,326 661 (661) 4,665 757 15.6% 70.7% 18.6% 19.6% 6.2 x 5.3 x 33.2 x 27.1 x

F5 Networks 130.47 95.9% 9,635 645 (645) 8,989 1,790 13.1% 82.7% 32.8% 38.3% 5.0 x 4.4 x 15.3 x 11.6 x

Palo Alto Networks 122.57 95.6% 10,511 771 (300) 10,212 702 36.5% 72.8% 4.0% 18.7% 14.5 x 10.7 x n.m. n.m.

Radware 22.02 96.2% 1,064 138 (138) 927 221 11.9% 81.0% 19.6% 22.5% 4.2 x 3.7 x 21.4 x 16.7 x

Secunet 23.24 80.0% 150 19 (19) 132 92 8.0% 66.6% 10.3% 10.4% 1.4 x 1.3 x 13.9 x 12.8 x

Data

FireEye 31.58 32.4% 5,457 398 (398) 5,059 424 47.2% 70.4% (56.2%) (26.8%) 11.9 x 8.1 x n.m. n.m.

Imperva 49.43 73.6% 1,357 101 (101) 1,256 162 22.8% 78.4% (9.3%) (4.3%) 7.7 x 6.3 x n.m. n.m.

Proofpoint 48.23 95.1% 2,129 233 (72) 2,056 192 25.9% 69.9% 0.4% 0.5% 10.7 x 8.5 x n.m. n.m.

Monitoring & Analysis

Guidance Software 7.25 62.8% 214 16 (16) 198 109 3.9% 66.1% 3.6% 8.1% 1.8 x 1.7 x 49.8 x 21.6 x

Qualys 37.75 92.7% 1,473 113 (113) 1,360 133 20.6% 77.2% 21.0% 21.1% 10.2 x 8.5 x 48.6 x 40.1 x

25th percentile 77.2% 129 7.3% 70.6% 2.0% 3.0% 2.6 x 2.4 x 9.5 x 8.3 x

Median 87.9% 221 15.6% 78.4% 17.1% 19.6% 5.6 x 4.4 x 15.8 x 14.0 x

75th percentile 95.7% 730 24.4% 83.4% 26.5% 28.2% 9.9 x 8.3 x 35.1 x 23.0 x

Operating Metrics Valuation Metrics

Revenue EBITDA

Cyber Security: Selected Publicly Traded Companies

11

Note: Calendarised to December year end; $ millions, except share price data; Multiples capped at 20x EV / Revenue and 50x EV / EBITDA; Net debt includes minority interest Source: Capital IQ

Page 13: The CyberScope - 2014 Market Review

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12

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Director

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