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What's the current state of cloud and DevOps? How are we doing (maturity wise) with it, and why would we even care. Yup, that's this presentation. Presented March 6th, 2014 at the Ansible Meetup in Austin, Texas. Abstract: We all know that cloud is a big deal, and cloud-native production cultures like DevOps are increasing in interest and maturity. Wide-spread market-adoption of all this cloud fun is slowly creaking out beyond the hoodie-festooned set, a trend we rabidly follow at 451 Research. This short talk with provide a brief baseline of where we are with cloud and DevOps as seen through the analyst lens of end-user surveys, market observations, and plane old screw-ball analyst-think. It wraps up with a "so what?" to motivate folks to chase that "software is eating the world" unicorn dream.
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The Cloud^H^H^H^H^HDevOps Milieu circa March 2014
@cote !
h<p://bit.ly/DevOpsMilieu20140306
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• IT research, advisory, professional services, datacenter cer6fica6on, and events
• One company with 3 opera6ng divisions
• Global focus
• 200+ staff, 100+ analysts • 1,300+ client organiza6ons: enterprises,
vendors, service providers, and investment firms
• 7,500+ individual subscribers • Reach 16,000 end-‐users annually
http://451research.com/ - @451research
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Michael Coté Research Director, Infrastructure SoNware @cote – hQp://cote.io – +1-‐512-‐795-‐4307 [email protected] !
Responsible for systems management, applica6on development, cloud soNware, and misc. “infrastructure soNware” agenda
Worked Dell in corporate strategy & M&A, as an analyst for 6+ years at RedMonk, soNware developer for 10+ years
Source: Google define search, March 4th, 2014.
Source: "Market Monitor: Cloud Computing Overview Report 2013," 451 Research, August 2013.
$2.90&&$4.50&&
$6.20&&$8.20&&
$10.20&&
$1.40&&
$2.20&&
$3.20&&
$4.20&&
$5.30&&
$1.40&&
$1.90&&
$2.50&&
$3.20&&
$3.90&&
$5.70&&
$8.60&&
$11.90&&
$15.60&&
$19.40&&
$0&&
$2&&
$4&&
$6&&
$8&&
$10&&
$12&&
$14&&
$16&&
$18&&
$20&&
2012& 2013& 2014& 2015& 2016&
Infrastructure&Public&Cloud&Forecast&($bn)&
IaaS& PaaS& ISaaS&
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Source: "Market Monitor: Cloud-enabling Technologies Overview Report 2013," 451 Research, August 2013.
$6.97&& $8.48&& $9.97&& $11.41&& $12.76&&
$3.36&&
$4.61&&
$5.97&&
$7.49&&
$9.10&&
$0.28&&
$0.36&&
$0.47&&
$0.62&&
$0.76&&
$10.61&&
$13.45&&
$16.41&&
$19.52&&
$22.62&&
$0.00&&
$5.00&&
$10.00&&
$15.00&&
$20.00&&
$25.00&&
2012& 2013& 2014& 2015& 2016&
Cloud&Enabling&Technologies&($bn)&
Virtualiza6on& Automa6on&&&Management&& Security&
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Source: A total of 1,137 respondents involved in their company's IT buying decisions participated in the January 8-27 survey, including 470 whose company currently use public cloud. ChangeWave Research is a service of 451 Research, from "Corporate Cloud Computing Trends," 451's ChangeWave, Feb 11, 2014.
17%$ 17%$19%$
22%$ 22%$
29%$32%$
34%$
40%$ 40%$ 39%$ 40%$ 41%$
23%$
29%$32%$
29%$ 29%$ 29%$31%$
0%$
5%$
10%$
15%$
20%$
25%$
30%$
35%$
40%$
45%$
Jan.11$ Apr.11$ Jul.11$ Oct.11$ Jan.12$ Apr.12$ Jul.12$ Oct.12$ Jan.13$ Apr.13$ Jul.13$ Oct.13$ Jan.14$
Corporate(Market:(Public(and(Private(Cloud(Usage((Private(not(tracked(un9l(Jul(2012)(
%$using$public$cloud$ %$using$private$cloud$
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Why are people using cloud?
Source: 451 Research Custom Cloud Study, n=230.
18.7%&
19.6%&
14.8%&
33.9%&
11.3%&
35.7%&
20.9%&
17.8%&
18.3%&
13.9%&
12.6%&
4.3%&
20.4%&
6.1%&
10.4%&
20.4%&
17.0%&
11.3%&
5.7%&
9.6%&
3.5%&
25.2%&
17.8%&
17.4%&
14.3%&
11.3%&
9.1%&
9.1%&
0.0%& 10.0%& 20.0%& 30.0%& 40.0%& 50.0%& 60.0%& 70.0%& 80.0%& 90.0%& 100.0%&
Batch&Compu8ng&Applica8ons&
Collabora8ve&Applica8ons&&
EDbusiness&Hos8ng&&
CustomerDfacing&Enterprise&Applica8ons&
Cloud&Na8ve&Applica8ons&&
BackDoffice&Enterprise&Applica8ons&
Test&and&Development&&
Q.#Where#do#you#currently#host#or#plan#to#host#these#workloads?#
Private&OnDprem& Private&Hosted& Hybrid& Public&
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Sources: @agile_exec, March 5th, 2014. !10
We believe that applica6on development is, indeed, a vital and valuable part of the industry: our theory is that the majority of cloud spending originates with
so=ware developers as the prime movers. Applying the formula 'IT -‐ SaaS = what?' it increasingly seems the case that the 'what?' is custom-‐wri<en soQware for ISVs, SaaS and increasingly companies like Nike and Starbucks that are relying on in-‐house so=ware development for new products such as the Fuelband and mobile payments. Starbucks, for example, is es6mated to have pulled in $1bn in sales from its mobile app. !
While developers are notoriously parsimonious when it comes to paying for tools and middleware, Atlassian's $149m in revenue is testament that companies will pay for developer tools straight out. We also note the bets the venture community is placing on developer-‐oriented companies like those coming from the post-‐seed round, pre-‐A round firm Heavybit. !
-‐ Me! “Atlassian bundles ALM components around the popular git version control system,” 451 Research, March 4th, 2014
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Business Drivers (Where the money comes from)
Source: “2Q 2014 Corporate IT Spending Trends,“ 451 ChangeWave, n=1,481.
“Looking further ahead to 2nd half 2014, there are also encouraging signs. A total of 17% think their IT budget will be greater than the 1st half of 2014, and 19% believe it will be less – which is an 8-pt improvement from previously.”
Transforma6on is afoot
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Legacy…
New…
Not seen here: white-collar toolchains Sources:451 HCTS NA 2013 conference; Chris Dancy.
So… DevOps, anyone?
Source:451 DevOps Study, Winter 2014. n=201 DevOps-minded individuals.
Daily&8%&
Weekly&22%&
Monthly&&18%&
Quarterly&12%&Semi8Annually&
4%&
Annually&4%&
On&demand&31%&
Other&1%&
How$o%en$do$you$deploy$to$produc0on?$
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Source:451 DevOps Study, Winter 2014. n=201 DevOps-minded individuals.
59%$
54%$
50%$
46%$
40%$
20%$
12%$
16%$
0%$
17%$
20%$
15%$
14%$
15%$
50%$
14%$
19%$
19%$
14%$
15%$
0%$
23%$
21%$
46%$
0%$ 10%$ 20%$ 30%$ 40%$ 50%$ 60%$ 70%$ 80%$ 90%$ 100%$
Tes0ng$
Performance$Monitoring$and$Log$Mgmt$
Other$
Release$management$
Configura0on$management$&$automa0on$
Topology/Architecture$
What%tools%are%you%using?%
Currently$Use$ Plan$to$use$in$next$6$months$ Plan$to$evaluate$in$next$5$months$ No$plans$to$use$or$evaluate$
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Source:451 DevOps Study, Winter 2014. n=201 DevOps-minded individuals.
Custom'wri+en'build'scripts'38%'
Golden'Images'24%'
Third'party'install'programs'20%'
AutomaAon'tools'16%'
Other'2%'
When%designing%and%wri-ng%your%so1ware,%how%do%you%model%and%specify%how%the%applica-on%should%be%deployed?%
Source:451 DevOps Study, Winter 2014. n=201 DevOps-minded individuals.
22.22%$
25.93%$
18.52%$
38.89%$
28.70%$
Feature$creep$(new$requirements$are$added$inside$each$cycle,$lengthening$the$
Ame$to$release)$
An$inefficient$process:$HandHoff$from$development$to$test,$to$security$etc.$
Lack$of$tools$or$inefficient$tools$for$Release$management,$Log$management,$
etc.$
Human$resource$constraints$(can't$hire$enough$skilled$people$so$we$
boQleneck$on$those$we$have)$
Number$and$complexity$of$environments$–$Cloud,$OnHpremises,$Virtual$and$
Physical$$
What%is%holding%you%back%from%reducing%release%cycles?%
There’s plenty of opportunity out there, and clearly room for improvement.
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Good luck out there!