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CONFIDENTIAL This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from McKinsey & Company. This material was used by McKinsey & Company during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion. Document Date NASSCOM India Leadership Forum February 8, 2007 Web 2.0 Fundamental or Fad? John Hagel, III [email protected] www. johnhagel.com

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Page 1: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

CONFIDENTIAL

This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from McKinsey & Company. This material was used by McKinsey & Company during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion.

Document

DateNASSCOM India Leadership Forum

February 8, 2007

Web 2.0Fundamental or Fad?

John Hagel, III

[email protected]

www. johnhagel.com

Page 2: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20072

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureInformation Technology And The Fashion Industry

Page 3: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20073

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0 – The Hype Escalates

Articles mentioning “Web 2.0”

Jan-

05M

ar-0

5M

ay-0

5Ju

l-05

Sep-

05N

ov-0

5

Jan-

06M

ar-0

6

May

-06

Jul-0

6

Sep-

06

Nov

-06

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0

Page 4: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20074

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0

What is it?

Where’s the money?

What’s required?

Page 5: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20075

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureA Prominent Skeptic

“. . . Web 2.0 is of course a piece of jargon, nobody even knows what it means”

Tim Berners – Lee, 2006

Page 6: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20076

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measure A Prominent Evangelist

“The network as platform”Tim O’Reilly, 2005

Page 7: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20077

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureAnother Prominent Evangelist

“Web 2.0 is people” Ross Mayfield, 2005

Page 8: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20078

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureO’Reilly Again

“ Web 2.0 is the business evolution in the computer industry caused by the move to the internet as platform. Chief among these rules is this: Build applications that harness network effects to get better the more people use them”

Tim O’Reilly, 2006

Page 9: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 20079

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureUnderstandable Reaction

“There’s something happening here, what it is ain’t exactly clear ”

Buffalo Springfield

Page 10: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200710

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0 - My Definition

“An emerging network centric platform

to support

distributed, collaborative and cumulative creation

by its users”

Page 11: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200711

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureThe Contrast

Presentation Participation

Publication Conversation

Aggregationof information

Aggregationof people andfunctionality

Consumption Creation

Web 1.0 Web 2.0

Page 12: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200712

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0 and SOA - Similarities

• Re-conceive software and data as services

• View services as platforms

• Support distributed and cumulative creation

• Built upon foundation of XML

Page 13: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200713

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0 and SOA – Cultural Chasm

SOA evangelists

Web 2.0 technologies arelight-weight “toys” not suitable for “real work”

Primary focus

Connect people

Primary focus

Connect applicationsand databases

Web 2.0 evangelists

Will SOA’s ever do realwork given “bloated”standards and timeconsumed in generatingarchitectural blue prints?

Page 14: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200714

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureTechnology EvolutionFrom Web 1.0 To Web 2.0

AJAX Information Functionality

Emerging Network-CentricPlatform

ForDistributed, Collaborative

and Cumulative Creation byits Users

Web 2.0

XMLIsolation Connectivity

Social Software(Wikis, tags,Video over IP, etc.)

Individual Community

RSS/OPML

Surf Subscribe

ApplicationCreation

PeopleConnection

Page 15: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200715

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0

What is it?

Where’s the money?

What’s required?

Page 16: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200716

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureI.T. Performance Levers – Process vs. Practice

Exception

ExceptionException

Exception

Page 17: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200717

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureThe Shadow Economy – Exception-Handling

Exception HandlingPercentage of Staff Time

Source: IT Outsourcer Data

32%

68%

Exception

HandlingActivities

RoutineProcessActivities

Page 18: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200718

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0 Tools

Identify and locate appropriate experts

Create effective collaborative environments

Mobilize relevant resources and tools

Document exception handling incidents

Provide pattern recognition and analysis tools

Page 19: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200719

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureCompelling Business Case

― Near-term cost savings – more efficient tacit collaboration

― Longer-term innovation platform – pattern recognition

Page 20: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200720

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measure

RetailingDistribution

Centers

Global

Li & Fung – Process Orchestration

10,000 suppliers

48 countries

YarnCutting

Bangladesh

LogisticsLogistics Logistics Logistics Logistics

YarnWeavingTaiwan

YarnSourcing

Korea

YarnDyeing

Thailand

FinalAssembly

Mexico

ZippersJapan

Quality Control

Page 21: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200721

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureImplications For Next Generation Outsourcers/Orchestrators

From

Low cost provisionof generic capacity

Coordination of dispersed service providers and service consumers

Accelerated development and delivery of new I.T. based services

Enhanced visibility for service consumers

Continued reduction of operating inefficiencies

Development of more sophisticated SLA’s and performance measurement systems

To

Flexible configurationof capability

Page 22: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200722

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureFrom In-Out To Out-In: Reverse Architectural Migration

Enterprise

Glass House

DepartmentsEnterpriseEnterprise

Enterprise

Enterprise

Enterprise

Enterprise

Enterprise Enterprise

Work Group

Page 23: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200723

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureContrasting Architectures

In-Out Out-In

Control One control point Autonomousentities

Resources Heterogeneous Heterogeneoussquared

Transactions Fine grainedShort - lived

Coarse grainedLong - lived

Outlook Optimistic Pessimistic

Page 24: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200724

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureNext Wave of Enterprise IT Value Creation

Unmet Business Needs

• Exception handling

• Distributed process networks

• Open innovation

• Supply networks

• Collaboration marketing

New I.T. Architectures

– Combining SOA & Web 2.0

– Outside-In

– Relational

Page 25: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200725

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWeb 2.0Web 2.0

What is it?

Where’s the money?

What’s required?

Page 26: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200726

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureDecision – Making Focus Shifting

Veto

PurchaseDecisions

BusinessBusinessLineLine

ManagersManagers

EnterprisePlatforms

TargetedBusiness/ITInitiatives

CFOCFO

CIOCIO

RiskAverse

RiskTaking

Page 27: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200727

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureWhat Decision Makers Want

• Near – term

• Targeted

• Modest investment

PragmaticPerformanceImprovement

No Regrets

Micro - SalesMega - Sales

“Big Bang”Visions and

Projects

Page 28: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200728

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureThe Sales Challenge

Centralized,Easy To Target

Decision-Makers

Dispersed,Hard To Find

Decision-Makers

Technology SaleHorizontal SaleQualify vs. CompetitionRelationship Selling

Business Sale“Vertical” SaleQualify NeedReference Selling

Page 29: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200729

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureThe Sales Opportunity

– Manage Risk– Support Architectural Migration– Help Develop Business Case

– Help on Near-Term Business Needs– Manage Risk– Keep Informed on New Technologies

CIO/ITManagers

Business LineManagers

Page 30: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

Copyright John Hagel III, 200730

* FootnoteSource: Sources

Unit of measureFundamental or Fad?

― Near-term business impact?

― Longer-term evolution potential?

Page 31: Personal perspectives: Web 2.0

CONFIDENTIAL

This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from McKinsey & Company. This material was used by McKinsey & Company during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion.

Document

DateNASSCOM India Leadership Forum

February 8, 2007

Web 2.0Fundamental or Fad?

John Hagel, III

[email protected]

www. johnhagel.com