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There is a phase change approaching is the way human society is organized, flipping from centralized hierarchical organizations chiefly represented by the nation states, towards more efficient, flexible, and resilient forms of decentralized, peer-to-peer structures, the Network Society. What traditionally we thought were functions that could only be organized centrally, from energy production and distribution, manufacturing and food production, finance, education, health are now being radically rethought as the guiding principles behind the technological evolution of innovations such as the Internet are now pervading everything. Not only a novel interpretation of ongoing changes, but also a guiding set of principles to evaluate the degree at which new ideas are well aligned with the these unstoppable developments, the lessons of the Network Society can inform the decisions of individuals, corporations and policymakers to design future-aware action plans navigating times of turbulent change.
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Network SocietyDavid Orban
#login2014 #askDavid
David OrbanCEO, Dotsub
Advisor & Faculty, Singularity University !
@davidorban @dotsub
@singularityu
My Message
Accelerating Technological Change
Disrupts Enterprises,
Impacts The Lives Of Individuals,
And Transforms Society At Large
Unless We Prepare For It,
Our Social Contract
Will Break Down!
Thank You
We Can Go Home Now
1. Change 2. Forward 3. Principles
0. Intro To 2x
..., 0.0625, 0.1250, 0.5000, 1, ...
..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128
1. Change
William GibsonThe future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet
Acceleration
Pyramids
archer10
Feudalism
dicktay2000
Industrial Age
sludgeulper
Network Age
jurvetson
Anthropocene
99%
1% 2%
98%
10.000 BC Today
terrestrial vertebrates in the wild
humans pets
cattle
myfavoritedinosaur.com, LadyofHats, OpenClips
Technology Is Key
If computers could learn, grow and evolve the same way humans can, the world would be a much better place
Geordie Rose
Interaction Design
Internet of Everything
IPv4 ≈IPv6 ≈
Atoms ≈
A Granular World!
Network Evolution
Generation Isotropy Access
Web data knowledge
Web 2.0 applications social
IoT sensors world
Necessary Autonomy
Platform Orders of magnitude
PCs ≈
Mobiles ~ Humans ≈
IoT > 10
Changing Dialog
Generation Bandwidth M2M Index
Industrial apps Kb/s 1%
Realtime Web Mb/s 10%
IoT Networks Gb/s 99%+
M2M index: M2M/M2H, communications among machine in proportion to those with humans
Every object must be smart
Leandro Agrò
Network Society
Old Paradigm
New Paradigm
Unstoppable
Photovoltaics - Ecat?
joyseyshowaa
3D hydroponics - Plantlab
plantlab
3D Printing - Makerbot
makerbot
Trendhunter
Stanford University AI Course
Start of the Stanford AI Class
P2P Currency - Bitcoin
sylvar
familymwr
2. Forward
Kay Koplovitz, Founder USA Networks“A billion people to have their own voice to contribute
to the dialog of the 21st Century, that is very empowering!”
It has the broadest emotional bandwidth
90% of Global Traffic by 2015
Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2010-2015
Video Discovery
“shield of red shadows”
Video Discovery次に何が起こるかなんてさっぱりわからない
I have no idea what will happen next
Viral Geographies
Explosive spreading
in Czech, and French
for a video in German
Czech French French
Reaching of Full Potential
Future Of Empathy
3. PrinciplesSome
Searching
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
A B C
1
2
…
∞
3
… ∞
Solution Search Space
Depth First Search Strategy
A B C
1
2
3
4
5
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
… ∞
Breadth First Search Strategy
A B C D E
1
2
3
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
…
∞
David Gelb
Winning strategy – Jiro Ono
A B C
1
2
…
∞
sushi!
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
Michelin 3-star restaurateur in Tokyo, protagonist of the documentary “Jiro Dreams of Sushi”
3
… ∞
cosimoorban
Winning strategy – Richard Saul Wurman
A B … ∞
1
2
design!
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
Architect, designer, author of over 80 books, coined “Information architecture”, and created TED
…
∞
3
C
Trying
The Privilege of Failure
“The formula for success? Double your rate of failure.”
Thomas J. Watson, IBM
“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate, without increasing the cost of our success”
Cory Doctorow
Innovating
Inventing
Questions
Answers
Ignorance
Competitiveness
Innovation
Invention!
Adapting
Adopting
Fantasy
Planet Earth Green Desktop Wallpaper
“The belief that there’s good magic that only does good, and bad magic that only does bad. …”
Kelly Starks
Reality
NASA, Wikimedia
“… Our reality today is like technology based science fiction, which can be used for good or bad:
usually ending up with a mixture of both.” Kelly Starks
Dreams
The Strongest Building Block In The Universe
davidorban.com @davidorban
!
@dotsub @gala_global #login2014