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Class 18: Midterm Confirmations Cryptocurrency Cabal cs4501 Fall 2015 David Evans and Samee Zahur University of Virginia

Midterm Confirmations

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Page 1: Midterm Confirmations

Class 18:Midterm

Confirmations

Cryptocurrency Cabalcs4501 Fall 2015

David Evans and Samee ZahurUniversity of Virginia

Page 2: Midterm Confirmations

Plan for Today

Midterm Discussion

1

Schedule Update:PS3 is due Sunday, November 8(There is no PS4)Project Pre-Proposal: Friday, November 13Project Update: Monday, November 23Last class: Monday, December 7

Page 3: Midterm Confirmations

12

18 18 18

2726

2322

9

7

10

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Midterm Summary

2

Nu

mb

er a

nsw

erin

g w

ell (

ou

t o

f 3

0)

Threshold of “bitcoin expert”qualification ~ 85

Page 4: Midterm Confirmations

Confirmations

3

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How long is the expected wait for the first confirmation?

4

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5

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Poisson Process

6

Bitcoin mining is memoryless:

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https://www.quandl.com/data/BCHAIN/ATRCT-Bitcoin-Average-Transaction-Confirmation-Time

Project idea?How can average transaction confirmation time be less than Poisson rate?

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Can we gain confidence without confirmations?

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“Pre-confirmations”?

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How do buyer and seller interact in a bitcoin transaction?

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“Third-party intermediary”

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12

18 18 18

2726

2322

9

7

10

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1220

Nu

mb

er a

nsw

erin

g w

ell (

ou

t o

f 3

0)

Threshold of “bitcoin expert”qualification ~ 85

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12

18 18 18

2726

2322

9

7

10

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1221

Nu

mb

er a

nsw

erin

g w

ell (

ou

t o

f 3

0)

Threshold of “bitcoin expert”qualification ~ 85

If you didn’t reach “expert” qualification on the Midterm because of poor answer to questions 1-4, you can improve your score by finding incorrect statements in the Blockchain Report Josh mentioned, and restating them correctly (and clearly).

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Transaction Scripts

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Transaction Scripts

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Charge

Upcoming office hours:

Now: 3:30-4:30pm (Samee, Rice 442)

Tomorrow: 2:30-3:30pm (Dave, Rice 507)

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