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#inspire14 Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics Greg Bucko Manager, Customer Insights Southern States Cooperative

Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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In 2012, Southern States Cooperative entered into a case study with Alteryx to utilize the new predictive tools available. The goal was simple: utilize predictive analytics to improve the response rate and ROI on a direct mail campaign. A year later Southern States Cooperative has fully integrated predictive modeling into almost every direct mail effort that goes out and the results have been staggering. Response rates have increased from an average of 3% to over 10% after modeling and the ROI averages nearly 200%. In this presentation Greg will walk you through how they use predictive analytics to improve marketing ROI as well as other ways in which Southern States Cooperative understands their customers better with advanced analytical tools made possible through the use of Alteryx. Greg Bucko, Manager of Customer Insights, Southern States Cooperative

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Page 1: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

Greg BuckoManager, Customer InsightsSouthern States Cooperative

Page 2: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Introduction

EvolutionApe Like Approach

Advanced Analytical Approach

Page 3: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Big Data vs. Usable Data

X

Page 4: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Biggest Challenge?

TECHNICAL CULTURAL

Page 5: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Marketing Channels

Social Media

TV

Email

Print

Direct Mail

Happy Customer!

Page 6: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Marketing Channels

Social Media

TV

Email

Print

Direct Mail

How do we improve Return on

Investment?

Happy Customer!

Page 7: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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“The Shotgun Approach”• The budget dictated the size of

the customer list• Sorted by spending and size• Wimpy return on investment

Where We

Were

“The Targeted Approach”• Focus on propensity• Smaller lists• Bigger return

Where We

Wanted to Be

Setting Goals

Page 8: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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How We Got There

Recognized the Need

Worked With Dr. Dan on Case Study

Began the “Buy-in” Process

Page 9: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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How We Got There

Built Our First Model

Analyzed Results

Communicated

Page 10: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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How We Got There

Iterated

Communicated

Iterated

Page 11: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Technical Aspects – Building Modeling Set

Identified customers who responded to past direct mail

Calculated statistics like recency, frequency, and monetary value for customers

Appended Experian household demographic data

Page 12: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Technical Aspects – Modeling

Looked for relationships in the data

Oversampled the responders

Tried different modeling types

Page 13: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Technical Aspects – Scoring

Chose the best model

Scored the database

Sorted by score high to low

Page 14: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Technical Aspects – Analyze Results

Calculate response rate, unique SKUs per transaction, ROI, etc.

REPEAT

Page 15: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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Cultural Aspects

#1 Objection to Overcome:

“Wait…what? We are no longer sending to all of our customers?”

Page 16: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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The Answer…

…is in the results.

Drop 1 Drop 2 Drop 3

Sent To

Drop 1 Drop 2 Drop 3

11% 11%

24%

Response Rate

Page 17: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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The Answer…

…is in the results.

Drop 1 Drop 2 Drop 3

Margins

Drop 1 Drop 2 Drop 3

136% 116%

479%

ROI

We have now applied target modeling to all direct mail over the last year and have seen significant incremental lift.

Page 18: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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In Summary

Usable Data > Big Data

Cultural Change

> Technical Change

Test. Adjust. Scale Up. Show Results. Repeat.

Any Questions?

Page 19: Inspire 2014 – Southern States Cooperative: Improving Marketing ROI with Predictive Analytics

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THANK YOU!