Horse Racing Method Creation

betting methods get bad publicity because there is so much rubbish being pushed at us. Systems that

promise huge profits but in reality they are just rubbish.

Systems marketers and creators fall into three main types.

1. Cheats: Strong words but I think justified. These are people who have no affinity with horse racing

systems but they have discovered that there are a lot of raving fans who would like to win money on

betting.

They spend all of their time writing the sales letter that will draw in the unsuspecting customer.

They know that however poor the system is that only a tiny number will ask for a refund.

2. Fools: These are people who have found what they believe is a winning method but in reality it turns

out to be just some coincedental wins.

These fools dont understand the problems caused by making a system fit the data available. The thing is

that given any set of data the determined person can find a set of rules that could be applied to that

data that will find enough winners to make a winning system.

Predicting the past is always easier than predicting the future.

3. The Expert: There are of course people who know about researching trends, who realise that a trend

found in one set of data needs to be fully tested on another unique set of data before it can be

considered reliable. If you are to buy a betting system then these are the people you should be

following.

Here's my step by step plan for creating a workable betting system

1. look at lots of past data to locate an indicator of winners. Something that looks to be common to a lot

of successes that could maybe become the basis of a method.

2. Hone that idea by adding known sensible filters, things like days since last run (recent runs indicate

that the horse is likely to fit), course and /or distance winners (have proven they can win in that race

type) etc.

If you have a filter that says the horse must have run between 1 to 4 days ago or 10 to 20 days ago (IE

but not 5 to 9) then you are just making your system fit the data.

3. And this is the critical step. Test your completed system on fresh data. This is how you know you are

on to something worthwhile. But if you then tweak it a bit so it looks good on both sets of data then you

are back-fitting again.

The www.Betting-School.com website is your number one resource for all things related to UK horse

racing and betting. For horse racing systems goto http://www.betting-school.com/horse-racing-system/