Upload
delftsoftwaredays
View
394
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
3Di pilot application in Taiwan
Geert Prinsen (Deltares)
Jhih-Cyuan Shen (NTUT-TaipeiTech)
Yung-Chia Hsu (NCTU-DPWE)
October 28, 2015
Content
What is 3Di?
Flood modeling
In the cloud
Interactive
Fast and accurate
FEWS Taiwan
3Di pilots in Taiwan
Meifu
Sanyei
3Di and FEWS - possible use cases 3Di and FEWS
What is 3Di?
Modeling the outdoor space and its water systems
• Propagation of floods / disaster management
• Spatial Planning
• Stakeholder participation
• Communication
What is 3Di?
“State of the Art” hydraulic modeling
Comprises a number of innovative, interrelated developments
• Interactive calculations
• Calculation in the cloud
• Accurate and fast
• Realistic visualization
High resolution data Details make the difference
elevation, land use etc.
Lidar and visualisation
Realistic visualisation
Next Generation: Computation in the Cloud
Vinyl records Compact Discs MP3
Your music models available
at any device
at any time
Next Generation: Computation in the Cloud
Your models available
at any device
at any time
Engineers in the office
(computer)
Decision makers during a meeting
(touch table)
Disaster response teams in the field
(tablet, smartphone)
Next Generation: Sharing ideas and knowledge
Engineers team up with urban planners to interactively design better life environment
Water is one of the spatial structures in spatial planning
Next generation: 3Di
Imagine what you would do when your models are:
− Readily available on any device (pc, tablet, smartphone)
− Fast, accurate and visual enough to use in discussions with
decision makers, urban planners, …
− Interactive and adjustable on the spot (stop-change-start) e.g.
during a meeting
− Reproducible
3Di: Law of Physics
North Sea
Petten
Sub-grid method: compute flow friction on DEM-pixels, but fast flood predictions on coarse grids.
Quad tree technique : enables local grid refinements by recursively subdividing cells into four quadrants
Digital Elevation Model as sub-grid
3Di: Sub-grid and Quad tree technique
3Di: Law of Physics
Professor Dr. Ir. Guus Stelling
“The world is rapidly being pixelized”
“First we had models but no data, now it is the other way around”
3Di is essentially three innovations
Main concepts 3Di
• Better and much faster with sub-grid and quad tree technique (10-1000x faster than conventional schemes), using detailed pixelized data.
• Make live changes to your model (interactive stop-change-start), see effect of measures directly.
• Realistic visualization • good communication tool.
The development of FEWS-Taiwan - since 2003
26 Rivers:RR+CF
Rainfall Gauges to Grid Display
Accumulated precipitation is 1346 mm in 2 days
Data sources in FEWS-Taiwan
Real time data stations
• Rain gauge: 744
• Water level: 209
• Reservoirs : 11
• Radar: 6-1
( 1 lost in 2015 Typhoon Soudelor )
• Tide : 38
Image from : http://img1.cna.com.tw/www/WebPhotos/Chart/20150810/31221615.jpg
Urban flooding more and more important
Image from: Google Earth
3Di case study: MeiFu, Taiwan; Typhoon Saola
Typhoon Saola
In MeiFu 500 mm rainfall in 4 days
Upstream almost 2000 mm
MeiFu: 3Di model using High resolution 1x1m DEM
DEM: 1x1 m, ~27.8 million grid pixels, ~17m difference in elevation over 11km
26 observation locations for a post-disaster maximum flood depth survey
MeiFu: SOBEK 1D2D model using 10x10 and 20x20m DEM
MeiFu: Examples of 3Di calculation grid
MeiFu: Satellite image
Satellite image of the flood taken on August 2, 17:51PM (GMT+8hr)
MeiFu: Satellite image combined with SOBEK results
SOBEK 1D2D flood extent on top of satellite image
MeiFu: Satellite image
Satellite image of the flood taken on August 2, 17:51PM (GMT+8hr)
MeiFu: Satellite image combined with 3Di results
3Di flood extent on top of satellite image
3Di live site
3Di pilot: Sanyei area in Tainan, southern Taiwan
About 250 mm of rain in 13 hours
Some pictures
Land use Infiltration capacity
Friction Boundary condition
3Di DEM preparation
- 2D calculations only, no 1D elements included in the model
- Burned-in canals, sewer pipes
- 10x10m DEM and 1x1m DEM
Detailed comparison of flooded area SOBEK – 3Di 國道一號
1
3
2
1 1
SOBEK 3Di
2 2
SOBEK 3Di
3 3
SOBEK 3Di
Comparison of results
Grid Option
minimum cell
size ( )
Maximum nr
of levels
(lmax)
Number of
computational
elements
Simulation
solution
time (s)
Grid 1 (10x10m DEM based) 40 3 2437 157
Grid 2 (10x10m DEM based) 20 4 3454 254
Grid 3 (10x10m DEM based) 10 5 5644 501
Grid 4 (10x10m DEM based) 5 6 10358 1375
Grid 5 (1x1m DEM based) 40 3 2461 180
Grid 6 (1x1m DEM based) 20 4 3499 281
Grid 7 (1x1m DEM based) 10 5 5750 568
Grid 8 (1x1m DEM based) 5 6 10553 1395
SOBEK (10x10 m grid) 428519 68771
Conclusion: Good preparation of the DEM and proper modelling of 1D elements is important!
How We Want to Use 3Di in FEWS-Taiwan
In The Design Case:
• WRA start 3rd Taiwan Flood Risk map project
6 hour(mm) 12 hour(mm) 24 hour (mm) Return period
(year)
Rainfall
Design
50, 100, 150,
200, 250, 300,
350, 400, 450,
500
100, 150, 200,
250, 300, 350,
400, 450, 500,
550
150, 200, 250,
300, 350, 400,
450, 500, 550,
600
2, 5, 10, 25, 50,
100, 200, 500
Boundary
source
Sewer system, Drainage system
flood control facilities (Dam, flood pond and pumping station ),
Wave volume, storm surge
DEM ≤ 40m ( 5m , 10m , 20m )
Project Model is based on SOBEK model
How We Want to Use 3Di in FEWS-Taiwan
In the real event case
• Typhoon and/or Monsoon Event
Observation Forecasting
Rainfall
source
Radar Rainfall
Gauge Rainfall
NWP (WRF Ensemble ,
STMAS, ETQPFS)
Boundary
source
Sewer system, Drainage system
Flood control facilities (Dam, flood pond and pumping
station)
storm surge
DEM ≤ 40m ( 5m , 10m , 20m )
Coupling of 3Di to FEWS
Combine strong points of FEWS with strong points of 3Di
- FEWS: historical (observed) and forecasted timeseries
- FEWS: scheduling of runs, comparison with earlier runs
- FEWS: data validation/analysis
- etc.
- 3Di: fast and accurate computational core
- 3Di: running in the cloud
- 3Di: visualisation
- Etc
- Who is in control?
Standard FEWS – model coupling
Use case 1: FEWS - 3Di stand-alone
- Just like any other computational module under FEWS, use the
general adapter and put the 3Di computational core under FEWS.
- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di
computational core.
- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualize them in FEWS.
Use case 2: FEWS - 3Di in cloud
Is similar to use case 1, ‘only’ 3Di is running in the cloud.
- Run the 3Di cloud model from the FEWS GUI
- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di.
- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualize them in FEWS.
Issues to deal with when 3Di runs in the cloud:
- How does FEWS (or you) know the model is still running?
- How to provide the data to the pre-adapter?
- How to start the adapters and 3Di model? (Web-services, API, .. )
- How to use the interactive features of 3Di running in the cloud?
- How to do immediate real-time visualization in FEWS?
- etc.
Use case 3: FEWS - 3Di stand-alone + measure
Similar to use case 1, but including measures or what-if scenarios
- Run the 3Di cloud model from the FEWS GUI
- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di.
- Provide additional input (measure): update DEM or other model
parameters
- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualize them in FEWS.
Use case 4: FEWS - 3Di cloud + measure
Similar to use case 2, but including measures or what-if scenarios.
(Or, similar to use case 3, but in the cloud instead of stand-alone)
- Run the 3Di cloud model from the FEWS GUI
- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di.
- Provide additional input (measure): update DEM or update other
3Di model parameters
- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualise them in FEWS.
Use case 5: FEWS - 3Di, stand-alone presentation
- As use case 1 and 3
- Improve presentation of 3Di results in FEWS-displays
Use case 6: FEWS - 3Di Live site presentation
Link 3Di Live site to FEWS Archive (model results)
- 3Di live site for presentation of 3Di model results
- Link 3Di live site to FEWS-Archive to get and show previous
model results
- 3Di Live site extension to be able to distinguish various
scenarios
Use case 7: 3Di Live site with FEWS database
Link 3Di Live site to FEWS Archive (input)
- Live site to do calculations using observed and predicted time
series from FEWS (Archive)
- Read and present 3Di results in 3Di Live site
- Link 3Di live site to FEWS-Archive to get, show and use model
input
Use case 8: FEWS-3DI Cloud + external model
Couple FEWS and 3Di to external models
- Based on adapter from use case 4 (FEWS-3Di cloud and
measure)
- Extend adapter to allow coupled models
- Input data from FEWS
- Presentation in FEWS (like case 1-5) or 3Di live site (7)
Conclusion
3Di has attractive features:
• fast and accurate flood modelling,
• in the cloud,
• Interactive,
• visualization
How to couple FEWS and 3Di?
• Different use cases, stand-alone vs in the cloud
• Coupling in the cloud has some challenges
• We are thinking about the possible use cases
• We are open for your suggestions!