50
3Di pilot application in Taiwan Geert Prinsen (Deltares) Jhih-Cyuan Shen (NTUT-TaipeiTech) Yung-Chia Hsu (NCTU-DPWE) October 28, 2015

DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di pilot application in Taiwan

Geert Prinsen (Deltares)

Jhih-Cyuan Shen (NTUT-TaipeiTech)

Yung-Chia Hsu (NCTU-DPWE)

October 28, 2015

Page 2: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Content

What is 3Di?

Flood modeling

In the cloud

Interactive

Fast and accurate

FEWS Taiwan

3Di pilots in Taiwan

Meifu

Sanyei

3Di and FEWS - possible use cases 3Di and FEWS

Page 3: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

What is 3Di?

Modeling the outdoor space and its water systems

• Propagation of floods / disaster management

• Spatial Planning

• Stakeholder participation

• Communication

Page 4: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

What is 3Di?

“State of the Art” hydraulic modeling

Comprises a number of innovative, interrelated developments

• Interactive calculations

• Calculation in the cloud

• Accurate and fast

• Realistic visualization

Page 5: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

High resolution data Details make the difference

elevation, land use etc.

Page 6: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Lidar and visualisation

Page 7: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Realistic visualisation

Page 8: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Next Generation: Computation in the Cloud

Vinyl records Compact Discs MP3

Your music models available

at any device

at any time

Page 9: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Next Generation: Computation in the Cloud

Your models available

at any device

at any time

Engineers in the office

(computer)

Decision makers during a meeting

(touch table)

Disaster response teams in the field

(tablet, smartphone)

Page 10: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Next Generation: Sharing ideas and knowledge

Engineers team up with urban planners to interactively design better life environment

Water is one of the spatial structures in spatial planning

Page 11: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Next generation: 3Di

Imagine what you would do when your models are:

− Readily available on any device (pc, tablet, smartphone)

− Fast, accurate and visual enough to use in discussions with

decision makers, urban planners, …

− Interactive and adjustable on the spot (stop-change-start) e.g.

during a meeting

− Reproducible

Page 12: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di: Law of Physics

North Sea

Petten

Page 13: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Sub-grid method: compute flow friction on DEM-pixels, but fast flood predictions on coarse grids.

Quad tree technique : enables local grid refinements by recursively subdividing cells into four quadrants

Digital Elevation Model as sub-grid

3Di: Sub-grid and Quad tree technique

Page 14: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di: Law of Physics

Professor Dr. Ir. Guus Stelling

“The world is rapidly being pixelized”

“First we had models but no data, now it is the other way around”

Page 15: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di is essentially three innovations

Main concepts 3Di

• Better and much faster with sub-grid and quad tree technique (10-1000x faster than conventional schemes), using detailed pixelized data.

• Make live changes to your model (interactive stop-change-start), see effect of measures directly.

• Realistic visualization • good communication tool.

Page 16: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

The development of FEWS-Taiwan - since 2003

26 Rivers:RR+CF

Page 17: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Rainfall Gauges to Grid Display

Accumulated precipitation is 1346 mm in 2 days

Page 18: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Data sources in FEWS-Taiwan

Real time data stations

• Rain gauge: 744

• Water level: 209

• Reservoirs : 11

• Radar: 6-1

( 1 lost in 2015 Typhoon Soudelor )

• Tide : 38

Image from : http://img1.cna.com.tw/www/WebPhotos/Chart/20150810/31221615.jpg

Page 19: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Urban flooding more and more important

Image from: Google Earth

Page 20: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di case study: MeiFu, Taiwan; Typhoon Saola

Typhoon Saola

In MeiFu 500 mm rainfall in 4 days

Upstream almost 2000 mm

Page 21: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

MeiFu: 3Di model using High resolution 1x1m DEM

DEM: 1x1 m, ~27.8 million grid pixels, ~17m difference in elevation over 11km

26 observation locations for a post-disaster maximum flood depth survey

Page 22: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

MeiFu: SOBEK 1D2D model using 10x10 and 20x20m DEM

Page 23: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

MeiFu: Examples of 3Di calculation grid

Page 24: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

MeiFu: Satellite image

Satellite image of the flood taken on August 2, 17:51PM (GMT+8hr)

Page 25: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

MeiFu: Satellite image combined with SOBEK results

SOBEK 1D2D flood extent on top of satellite image

Page 26: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

MeiFu: Satellite image

Satellite image of the flood taken on August 2, 17:51PM (GMT+8hr)

Page 27: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

MeiFu: Satellite image combined with 3Di results

3Di flood extent on top of satellite image

Page 28: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di live site

Page 29: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di pilot: Sanyei area in Tainan, southern Taiwan

Page 30: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

About 250 mm of rain in 13 hours

Page 31: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Some pictures

Page 32: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Land use Infiltration capacity

Page 33: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Friction Boundary condition

Page 34: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

3Di DEM preparation

- 2D calculations only, no 1D elements included in the model

- Burned-in canals, sewer pipes

- 10x10m DEM and 1x1m DEM

Page 35: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Detailed comparison of flooded area SOBEK – 3Di 國道一號

1

3

2

1 1

SOBEK 3Di

2 2

SOBEK 3Di

3 3

SOBEK 3Di

Page 36: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Comparison of results

Grid Option

minimum cell

size ( )

Maximum nr

of levels

(lmax)

Number of

computational

elements

Simulation

solution

time (s)

Grid 1 (10x10m DEM based) 40 3 2437 157

Grid 2 (10x10m DEM based) 20 4 3454 254

Grid 3 (10x10m DEM based) 10 5 5644 501

Grid 4 (10x10m DEM based) 5 6 10358 1375

Grid 5 (1x1m DEM based) 40 3 2461 180

Grid 6 (1x1m DEM based) 20 4 3499 281

Grid 7 (1x1m DEM based) 10 5 5750 568

Grid 8 (1x1m DEM based) 5 6 10553 1395

SOBEK (10x10 m grid) 428519 68771

Conclusion: Good preparation of the DEM and proper modelling of 1D elements is important!

Page 37: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

How We Want to Use 3Di in FEWS-Taiwan

In The Design Case:

• WRA start 3rd Taiwan Flood Risk map project

6 hour(mm) 12 hour(mm) 24 hour (mm) Return period

(year)

Rainfall

Design

50, 100, 150,

200, 250, 300,

350, 400, 450,

500

100, 150, 200,

250, 300, 350,

400, 450, 500,

550

150, 200, 250,

300, 350, 400,

450, 500, 550,

600

2, 5, 10, 25, 50,

100, 200, 500

Boundary

source

Sewer system, Drainage system

flood control facilities (Dam, flood pond and pumping station ),

Wave volume, storm surge

DEM ≤ 40m ( 5m , 10m , 20m )

Project Model is based on SOBEK model

Page 38: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

How We Want to Use 3Di in FEWS-Taiwan

In the real event case

• Typhoon and/or Monsoon Event

Observation Forecasting

Rainfall

source

Radar Rainfall

Gauge Rainfall

NWP (WRF Ensemble ,

STMAS, ETQPFS)

Boundary

source

Sewer system, Drainage system

Flood control facilities (Dam, flood pond and pumping

station)

storm surge

DEM ≤ 40m ( 5m , 10m , 20m )

Page 39: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Coupling of 3Di to FEWS

Combine strong points of FEWS with strong points of 3Di

- FEWS: historical (observed) and forecasted timeseries

- FEWS: scheduling of runs, comparison with earlier runs

- FEWS: data validation/analysis

- etc.

- 3Di: fast and accurate computational core

- 3Di: running in the cloud

- 3Di: visualisation

- Etc

- Who is in control?

Page 40: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Standard FEWS – model coupling

Page 41: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 1: FEWS - 3Di stand-alone

- Just like any other computational module under FEWS, use the

general adapter and put the 3Di computational core under FEWS.

- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di

computational core.

- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualize them in FEWS.

Page 42: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 2: FEWS - 3Di in cloud

Is similar to use case 1, ‘only’ 3Di is running in the cloud.

- Run the 3Di cloud model from the FEWS GUI

- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di.

- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualize them in FEWS.

Issues to deal with when 3Di runs in the cloud:

- How does FEWS (or you) know the model is still running?

- How to provide the data to the pre-adapter?

- How to start the adapters and 3Di model? (Web-services, API, .. )

- How to use the interactive features of 3Di running in the cloud?

- How to do immediate real-time visualization in FEWS?

- etc.

Page 43: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 3: FEWS - 3Di stand-alone + measure

Similar to use case 1, but including measures or what-if scenarios

- Run the 3Di cloud model from the FEWS GUI

- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di.

- Provide additional input (measure): update DEM or other model

parameters

- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualize them in FEWS.

Page 44: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 4: FEWS - 3Di cloud + measure

Similar to use case 2, but including measures or what-if scenarios.

(Or, similar to use case 3, but in the cloud instead of stand-alone)

- Run the 3Di cloud model from the FEWS GUI

- Provide input (boundary time series) from FEWS to 3Di.

- Provide additional input (measure): update DEM or update other

3Di model parameters

- Import the results from 3Di in FEWS and visualise them in FEWS.

Page 45: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 5: FEWS - 3Di, stand-alone presentation

- As use case 1 and 3

- Improve presentation of 3Di results in FEWS-displays

Page 46: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 6: FEWS - 3Di Live site presentation

Link 3Di Live site to FEWS Archive (model results)

- 3Di live site for presentation of 3Di model results

- Link 3Di live site to FEWS-Archive to get and show previous

model results

- 3Di Live site extension to be able to distinguish various

scenarios

Page 47: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 7: 3Di Live site with FEWS database

Link 3Di Live site to FEWS Archive (input)

- Live site to do calculations using observed and predicted time

series from FEWS (Archive)

- Read and present 3Di results in 3Di Live site

- Link 3Di live site to FEWS-Archive to get, show and use model

input

Page 48: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Use case 8: FEWS-3DI Cloud + external model

Couple FEWS and 3Di to external models

- Based on adapter from use case 4 (FEWS-3Di cloud and

measure)

- Extend adapter to allow coupled models

- Input data from FEWS

- Presentation in FEWS (like case 1-5) or 3Di live site (7)

Page 49: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

Conclusion

3Di has attractive features:

• fast and accurate flood modelling,

• in the cloud,

• Interactive,

• visualization

How to couple FEWS and 3Di?

• Different use cases, stand-alone vs in the cloud

• Coupling in the cloud has some challenges

• We are thinking about the possible use cases

• We are open for your suggestions!

Page 50: DSD-INT 2015 - 3Di pilot application in Taiwan - Jhih-Cyuan Shen, Geert Prinsen

The End

Thank you.

Questions and discussion