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GINA LUCARELLI, CD4SD WORKSHOP OCTOBER 15, 2012
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POST 2015 & SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT : CAPACITY FOR WHAT?GINA LUCARELLI, CD4SD WORKSHOP OCTOBER 15, 2012
Capacity to ______?
1. Risky Projections on MDGs 2.0
2. The MDG format: what can we learn?
3. Cracking the integration challenge: synergies
and structures and structures
4. Integrated investment choices
5. Getting Political without getting impossible
6. Intrusive..or Conducive? State and the Market
Working Group on Sustainable Development Goals
Objective:
Tasked to develop a proposal for the
Members:
Working Group comprised of 30
representatives nominated by Member
States (September 2012)
Tasked to develop a proposal for the
Sustainable Development Goals
Output:
A report to the UNGA containing a
proposal for sustainable development
goals (between Sep 2013/14)
SG's High-level Panel of Eminent Persons on the post-2015 UN development agenda
Co-Chair: Co-Chair: Co-Chair:
• Mandate: MDG+10 Summit
• Output: SG will deliver a report to UNGA by the 2nd quarter of 2013
• Input: Work based on report of UN System Task Team
• Work to be informed by Rio+20 and UNDG's consultations
Co-Chair:
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono
President of Indonesia
Co-Chair:
Ellen Johnson Sirleaf
President of Liberia
Co-Chair:
David Cameron
Prime Minister of the UK
Benin Brazil China Colombia Cuba France Germany Japan
Jordan Kenya India Latvia MexicoNetherla
ndsNigeria
Russian
Fed
South
Africa
Rep
KoreaSweden
Timor-
LesteTurkey USA Yemen Ex Officio
CEO
Unilever
Risky Projections: What will MDG 2.0
look like ?
• Correcting the
Environment
omission
• Quality of Education
• Non-communicable
Environmental sustainability
• Non-communicable
diseases?
• Inequality?
• Governance
Human rights
Equality
Sustainability
Peace and Security
Inclusive social development
Inclusive economic
development
Universal Goals? Good for
Human development. Good for
MICs
Simple Beauty
Gave operational meaning to
human development
Results based format
MDG Weaknesses
Aggregate bias undermined
subnational inequities
Revealed lack of reliable
baseline across countries
MDG Strengths
Results based format
improved policy monitoring
and accountability
Global targets tailored to
national realities worked best
Emphasized financial gaps
over institution building
Didn’t consider synergies
and tradeoffs
Integration (1): Synergy sound bites
Better Health 1/5 diseases in
Europe can be
prevented by
reducing pollution.
Fiscally
sound:
1 trillion in
subsidies for oil,
coal and gas.
1 trillion needed
for a green
Social
Inclusion
Economic
Prosperity
Yes there will be Job
Loss…but 85% of carbon emissions
employ 12% of Europe.
for a green
economy
Environmental
Protection
Integration (2): Structures: from lava
lamp to puzzle
Inter-
sectoral
committee
on _____
Effort to get
_____ into
the Medium
Term
Expenditure
Framework
National
Strategy on
________
Framework
Increase
public
awareness
by
measuring
_______.
Municipal
Pilot on
________
• Life
expectancy
• Math &
Literacy
• Infant
Investment choices: Prisons or pensions?
Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level
• Infant
mortality
• Homicides
• Imprisonment
www.equalitytrust.org.uk
More for Finance Ministers: fossil fuel subsidies
Intelligent policy…even when it’s
political
Where is the
Resistance
Versus the
Injustice?
Removing Fossil Fuel Subsidies…not impossible
1. Estimate how much is spent.
2. Determine who is hurt most by its removal
3. Have a plan for how to phase out: most harmful first,
what are acceptable trade offs?
4. Do it gradually and substitute
Conducive States for a Green Economy
• Pulling the state out of where it doesn’t belong
• Injecting state efforts to
o Target support to the poorest
o Reduce inequality
o Investing in R and D until green is profitableo Investing in R and D until green is profitable
• Ready to remove administrative barriers
• Deal with people as consumers, citizens..co-creators?
To “do” sustainable development, governments
need a longer term perspective…where does this
come from?
WANTED….Capacities for Post MDG
frontier
• Achieve results without
clinging to silos
• Holistic investment
• Build constituencies and
accountability
• Take out the political
sting and get on with it.