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When resources collide: Towards a theory of coincidence in information spaces Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, Nigel Shadbolt @mluczak | http://sociam.org

When resources collide: Towards a theory of coincidence in information spaces (talk given at #SOCM2015)

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When resources collide: Towards a theory of coincidence in information spaces�Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, Nigel Shadbolt �@mluczak | http://sociam.org �

Does the accumulated information propagation behaviour on the Web form giant purposeful processes?�

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[1] Kleinberg, Jon. "Bursty and hierarchical structure in streams." Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 7.4 (2003): 373-397.�

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Content streams as automata [1] �

“An informational cascade occurs when it is optimal for an individual, having observed the actions of those ahead him, to follow the behavior of the preceding individual without regard to his own information.” [2] �

[3]  

[2] Bikhchandani, Sushil, David Hirshleifer, and Ivo Welch. "A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural change as informational cascades." Journal of political Economy (1992): 992-1026.�[3] Cheng, Justin, et al. "Can cascades be predicted?." Proceedings of the 23rd international conference on World wide web. International World Wide Web Conferences Steering Committee, 2014.�

We can observe situations when online communication does not happen along explicit social ties (especially in critical situations when time to make decisions is rare). Instead of talking explicitly with each other people are broadcasting about the same event or topic.�

Source: United Nations Development Programme, https://goo.gl/Z1uXdV, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 �

System A�

System B�

System C �

Collective action?�

t  

t  

Transcendental �information cascades�

Transcendental �information cascades�

t  

#A  

#A#B  

#A#B#C  

#B#D  

#C  

Building transcendental information cascades�

Zooniverse case study�

40.5%�

Talk

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Classifications �

PH � SG � SW� NN� GZ � CC � PF� SF� AP � WS�

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2  

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6  

4  

10  

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Microposts�

Capturing the unintended action resulting from information sharing activities of human collectives.�

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#transit  

#transit  #eclipsingbinary  

#transit  #eclipsingbinary  KID  10864656  

#eclipsingbinary  #glitch  

KID  10864656  

t  Document stream  

Transcendental Information Cascade  

Emergent informational traces�

Emergent informational traces�

Cascade motifs as an indicator of state?�

Cascade motifs as an indicator of state?�

?�

t   t  

F1  

Fn  

…   …  

C11  

C21  

C22  C23  

t0   t1   t2   t3   t4  t5   t7   t8  t6  

t6  -­‐  t0  

t2  -­‐  t1   t8  -­‐  t2  t4  -­‐  t2  

t7  -­‐  t4  

t5  -­‐  t3  

t1  -­‐  t0  t2  -­‐  t1  

t4  -­‐  t1  

t4  -­‐  t3  t6  -­‐  t5  

t8  -­‐  t6  

t7  -­‐  t4  

t5  -­‐  t4  

t3  -­‐  t2  

Current and future work �

t  

F1  

Fn  

…   …  

C11  

C21  

C22  C23  

Formalising the multiple possible representations of a system at any time and their relationships.��Not all representing purposeful action but reflecting useful informational properties.�

By focusing only on the coincidence of information occurrence, we can capture and analyse emergent collective action across system boundaries and independent from social network contexts.�����Markus Luczak-Roesch �@mluczak�http://markus-luczak.de�

Source: Giulia Forsythe, http://goo.gl/6hpZ0W, CC BY-NC-SA 2.0�

Refer

ence

s�•  Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, Kieron O'Hara, and Nigel

Shadbolt. 2015. Socio-technical Computation. In Proceedings of the 18th ACM Conference Companion on Computer Supported Cooperative Work & Social Computing (CSCW'15 Companion). ACM, New York, NY, USA, 139-142. http://doi.acm.org/10.1145/2685553.2698991 �

•  Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, and Nigel Shadbolt. 2015. When Resources Collide: Towards a Theory of Coincidence in Information Spaces. To appear in WWW’15 Companion, May 18–22, 2015, Florence, Italy. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/2740908.2743973 �