Should intensification remain the core driver of livestock improvement initiatives with the...
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Should intensification remain the core driver of livestock improvement initiatives with the Livestock and Fish Program in its current form, and in some expended form Michael Blummel Livestock and Fish Review and Planning Meeting March 23-25, 2015 Virtual
Should intensification remain the core driver of livestock improvement initiatives with the Livestock and Fish Program
1. Should intensification remain the core driver of livestock
improvement initiatives with the Livestock and Fish Program in its
current form, and in some expended form Michael Blummel Livestock
and Fish Review and Planning Meeting March 23-25, 2015 Virtual
2. Key considerations regards role of intensification Rational
for current CRP: more animal sourced food for and by the poor
Context: Livestock Revolution
3. Current daily meat consumption in different spheres of the
globe and convergent meat1 consumption levels recommended for 2050
based on human health and environmental2 considerations3
Country/category Current consumption Recommended consumption (g/d)1
Developed countries 224 g/d Latin America 147 g/d 90 g/d or 20 g/d
animal protein Developing countries 47 g/d Africa 31g/d Data
modified from McMichael et al. (2007) by Blmmel et al. (2014). 1 A
maximum of 50% red4 meat. ASF equivalents: 45 kg of fish, 60 kg of
eggs and 230 kg of milk5
4. (2005-06) 2020 2020 (fixed LP Milk (million tons) 91.8 172
172 yield/day (kg) 3.6 5.24 6.76 Numbers (000) 69759 89920 * 69759
Metabolizable energy requirements (MJ x 109) Maintenance 1247.64
1608.22 1247.6 Production 573.94 1075.00 1075.00 total 1821.58
2683.22 2326.66 Feed Req.( m tons) 247.50 364.57 315.6 Anandan et
al. 2013 * Calculated based on Compound Aggregated Growth Rate
(CAGR) Livestock revolution: Intensification and feed energy and
biomass requirements
5. Assume: Farmer A: 5 cattle each giving 2 liter milk day
Farmer B: 1 cattle giving 10 liters milk per day Which farmer needs
more feed? Which farmer need more water, produces more GHG Would
similar considerations apply, say to labor? It seems obvious
but.
6. Conclusions Under the assumption of growing demand for ASF
to be met by domestic or regional produce, intensification will be
required because: Natural resource use relative to ASF produce need
to be reduced GHG relative to ASF produce need to be reduced ASF
production needs to be economically and socially attractive Focus
can adjusted be modified if L & F will be charged with taking
on more system and resilience aspects
7. CGIAR is a global partnership that unites organizations
engaged in research for a food secure future. The CGIAR Research
Program on Livestock and Fish aims to increase the productivity of
small-scale livestock and fish systems in sustainable ways, making
meat, milk and fish more available and affordable across the
developing world. CGIAR Research Program on Livestock and Fish
livestockfish.cgiar.org