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14-17 th of June 2016”
OUTLINE : « Value Chain of climate services »
ü Data gap: in time and space
ü tailoring climate services to beneficiaries needs
ü communication : content, channel and actionable
ü Building a long term partnership : trust + scaling up
Data gap: time and space
STRONG TIME AND SPACE VARIABILITIES : What are we getting : information or noise ?
GHCN Series: 12-20N, 18W-30E
Data
o Satellite data : since 1981 (good climatology) : validation
and calibration
o Extension and Farmers community
o Public private partnership : index insurance, community
radio
DISTRIBUTING RAINGAGE TO LEAD FARMERS
FROM « USER » TO PARTNER
tailored climate services
• Field preparation : • Selecting the crop : • Planting : • Weeding : • Applying fertilizer,
pesticide, … • Harvesting : • Storage :
Finance Technology Heritage Sociology Habits Beliefs Environment Climate/weather
DOCUMENTING FARMERS DECISION SYSTEM : WHAT DECISONS FARMERS are MAKING TO MANAGE
THEIR CROPPING SYSTEM AND WHY ?
WHAT WHY
actionable information
From useful to useable
Ø Numbers : “1mm of rain ?”
Ø Probabilistic form
Ø Technical jargons
Ø Updating climate forecast
Ø Early rain
Ø Optimum planting date
Ø Suitable cultivars
Ø Weeding time
team work : farmers, climatologist, World Vision, Agriculture expert, sociologist
Clim
ate information
Seasonal forecast Weather forecast Nowcasting
Local working Group (Customize Climate information)
Farmers Agriculture
Livestock Local
authority
Extensions services
Forestry Community
radio
Seed growers
Rural radio Text messaging Social gatherings Bulletin
Local Pluri-disciplinary
Working G
roup C
omm
unity
Pest Disease Control
Network of community radios used to disseminate climate inormation
Building longterm partnership :
TRUST
Building on local knowledge: High humidity and high temperatures can explain some of their indicators è “Stronger monsoon” Doing quite the same thing BUT Better observing system More reliable storage capacity (numbers, maps, computers, …)
« When the wind change direction to fetch the rain » = Wind change from harmatan to monsoon during onset
Ø First step : building trust (social dimension : using indigeneous
knowledge) Ø Giving not only useful BUT useable information
(tailored for specific user needs : local language) Ø Long term and multi-stakeholders partnership (each
institution has part of the solution for food security) Ø Communication in easy to use term (easy to understand, can
translate into action and to be evaluated) Ø Dynamic process : need to better understand
farmers decision system (farmers active participation : rain guage,
indigenous knowledge …)
WHAT DID WE LEARN
CHALLENGES
Ø Spatial scale of the forecast … down to farm Ø scaling-up other sites Ø Sustainability : from project to “national” program Ø Thinking wide a whole solution not part of the puzzle :
Ø dry (bad news !) =>give them hope (climate insurance, alternative) Ø wet but there is no extra resources : so what ? (Bank, …)
Offering comprehensive whole package with varieties of partners (engage seed/fertilizer producers, bank, corporation, … ) è « Commotion effect » : Multi partners in the same place they don’t
talk each other but talk to the same farmer. è HOPE : farmers are more now conscious, technology is well
advanced (satellite, ), climate change is a reality,