Futuristische demonstratie uit de autosector (Bosch) - Belgian Insurance Conference 2014

RBBN/SOE1 | 25/11/2014 | © N.V. Robert Bosch S.A. 2014. All rights reserved, also regarding any disposal, exploitation, reproduction, editing,

distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.

Future mobility: automated, connected, electric


Belgian Insurance Conference, 25/11/2014

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2

Milestones in automotive




Automotive Technology: an overview

Powertrain systems Safety systems Comfort systems

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Future mobility – automated, connected, electric

Automated mobility

Parking management

Connected mobility

Cloud

Integration of CE world

Electric mobility

Multimodal mobility

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The road towards automated driving

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6

0

500.000

1.000.000

1.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Do nothing

UN Decade of Action

Reduction

casualties

with 50%

Reduction potential: 5 million casualties

50 million injured

30.000 people killed and 1,5 million injured in European

traffic

According to the UN, the number of traffic casualties will

increase to 1,9 million between 2010 and 2020

UN ‘Decade of Action for Road Safety’




How do Belgians experience driving?

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90% of all accidents with injuries

are caused by human failure

More than 60% of the Belgians

indicate they like to drive and have no

problem driving a car they don’t know

But… • Sudden braking manoevres,

finding a parking space and

driving in traffic jams cause stress

• 67% of the Belgians made an

emergency brake in the past 12

months

.

Source: Bosch study on driver assistance systems 2013




Road safety – three parameters

The driver

The vehicle

The condition of the road

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Available safety and driver assistance systems

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1978 1980 1986 1989 1993 1995 2000 2010

Anti-lock Braking

System (ABS)

Airbag control

Traction Control

System (TCS)

Navigation systems

Parking Aid

Electronic Stability

Program (ESP®)

Adaptive Cruise Control

Automatic Emergency

Braking




Available safety systems for motorcycles

Motorcycle ABS Motorcycle Traction Control Motorcycle Stability Control

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New driver assistance systems – examples

Construction Zone Assist Automatic Emergency Braking for Pedestrians

Intersection Assist Traffic Jam Assist

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Euro NCAP for safer cars

Euro NCAP organizes crash and performance tests and provides motoring

consumers with a realistic and independent assessment of the safety of cars

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Most important functions for Belgian drivers

Source: Bosch study on driver assistance systems 2013

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Q: Which assistance system would be the most important to you personally, and

which would be the least important? Are you personally interested in this system?

Advanced Emergency Braking Pedestrian

Blindspot detection

Evasion Assist

Advanced Emergency Braking Interurban

Advanced Emergency Braking City




AEB-Inter-Urban

AEB-Vulnerable

Road Users

AEB-City

Accident situation in the EU1)

100% 28%

20%

18%

14%

9% 4%

8%

Turns

into/

Crosses

Collision

with/

between …

Fixed

object /

Leaving

carriageway

Parked/

Moving

ahead or

waiting

Pedestrian Oncoming

vehicle

Moving

laterally

in same

direction

Another

kind e.g.

animal

2010

1) Source: IRTAD 2003, Interpolation to 2010 using national statistics;

accidents with injuries and fatalities

2) 22% out of ~5 Mio. accidents w/ damage only; Bosch Accident

Research Analysis 2009, AZT/Bosch database 2004-’07

350.000 accidents with injuries and fatalities will be addressed by one of the AEB systems

Considering accidents with property damage only e.g. additional 1.100.000 accidents2)

are addressed in Germany.

ESP®

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Automated driving

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Automated and connected – social benefits

Gain in

productivity

Democratization

of mobility

Fewer traffic jams and less waiting time at intersections and lights

80% improvement in traffic throughput1

Higher

fuel efficiency

Reduced

congestion

Reduction in global road fatalities

90% of car accidents caused by human error4

Synchronized traffic flow

23 to 39% improvement in highway fuel economy2

Time in transit becomes more productive

56 minutes per day freed up for other uses (US)3

Over-65 segment growing 50% faster than overall population

Allow a variety of age ranges to be mobile

Improved

safety

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Automated driving – already on public roads

Prototypes driving on public freeways in Germany and USA

· Bosch: first vehicles on German freeways since early 2013

· Tests in real traffic conditions accelerate the development of new functions

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Prerequisites for automated driving – overview

HMI and driver distraction

surround sensing

quality of map data

system architecture

safety and security

map data

legislation

highly robust

in all use cases

always precise

and up-to-date

redundancies for sensing, ECUs, and

actuation required (fail operational)

protection against technical

failure and deliberate attacks

global standards

and clear liability

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Driver assistance – degree of automation

Increasing

comfort,

safety,

and

efficiency

Highly

automated

Fully

automated

Supervised by driver Reduced driver supervision

Cu

sto

mer

ben

efi

t

Automation level Integrated

cruise assist Park assist

Partly

automated

Highway

pilot

Auto pilot

Highway

assist

Automated driving starts with highway driving and parking functions

· Step-by-step approach – for technological and psychological reasons

· Survey: 57% in favor of automated driving as long as it can be switched off1

1 Source: Bosch survey 2013 - Belgium

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Development steps – automated parking

Automatic / remote

park assist

Partially automated

longitudinal and

lateral guidance

Driver supervises

(from outside vehicle)

Robust environment

recognition (possibly

camera)

Deg

ree o

f a

uto

ma

tion

Series production > 2018

Auto

park pilot

Valet parking

Automated steering,

driver applies gas and

brake

Steering and braking

partly automated

Driver applies gas

Park steering

control

Park maneuver

control

Ultrasonic sensors

Ultrasonic sensors + cameras

Highly automated

longitudinal and

lateral guidance

No supervision by

driver

Robust environment

recognition necessary

Strict safety

requirements

Connected vehicle

drives autonomously

into parking space

Robust environment

recognition + maps

necessary

Strictest safety

requirements

C2x communication

2015 2018

Ultrasonic sensors + cameras + map

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Automated parking – valet parking

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Development steps – automated driving

Partially automated

longitudinal and

lateral guidance

Lane change after

driver confirmation

Supervision of sur-

rounding traffic (next

lane, ahead, behind)

Deg

ree o

f a

uto

ma

tion

Series production

Highway pilot

Auto pilot

Only longitudinal or

lateral control

Partially automated

longitudinal and

lateral guidance in

driving lane

Speed range

0-130 kph

ACC/lane

keeping support

Integrated

cruise assist

Single sensor

Sensor-data fusion

Highly automated

longitudinal and

lateral guidance with

lane changing

Reliable environment

recognition, including

in complex driving

situations

No permanent

supervision by driver

Door-to-door

commuting (e.g. to

work) in urban traffic

Strictest safety

requirements

No supervision by

driver

Sensor-data fusion + map

Highway assist

> 2025 2018 2020 2017

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A connected car is a better car

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Bosch user experience

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Everyone & Everything connected

1 billion

2 billion

5 billion

6.593 billion devices in 2015

0.062 billion vehicles

0.019 billion in telemedicine

0.070 billion in security

0.120 billion smart meters

0.260 billion TVs

0.625 billion tablets

3.000 billion mobile phones

1.498 billion laptops

0.895 billion desktops

0.044 billion servers

3 billion

4 billion

Devices connected People connected

World population

People connected to the internet

1995 2005 2015

1995 2005 2015

5.7bn

0,7%

6.5bn

15%

7.3bn

75%

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Internet of Things and Services – MEMS1

1micro-electro-mechanical-systems

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MEMS1 Applications

Mobile Home Entertainment Imaging Sport & Fitness

Augmented Reality Home Appliances Industrial & Logistics Sport & Fitness Smart Sensors

1micro-electro-mechanical-systems

MEMS1 make it possible for modern electrical appliances to “feel” and “hear ”.

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Connected car – 3 objectives

Objective 1

Making the internet part of

the car

Objective 2

Making the car part of the

internet

Objective 3


internet of things

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Objective 1


the car

Objective 2


internet

Objective 3


internet of things

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mySPIN

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Objective 1


the car

Objective 2


internet

Objective 3


internet of things

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Connected mobility – cloud and car2x

The automotive cloud will be an integral part of the vehicle architecture

· Car2x concepts include local danger warning and driver assistance functions

Automotive

cloud

Benefits:

Improved road safety

and new services

Car2x

concept

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Connected car – car2x

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Backend

Intelligent Fleet Management

As a truly international

company, Bosch understands

the multifaceted networking of

hardware, software, and even

people. You get everything

you need for your fleet

management, all from a single

source!

Internet

M2M

via

GSM

Data Recording Data

Transfer Data Processing and Management

Theft

Protection

Asset / Claims

Management

Reporting /

Control

Telematics Data (e.g., Mileage,

Error Reports, ...)

Maintenance

Call Center

Master Data

(Vehicle, Driver)

CCU Premium (incl. GSM / GPS)

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Objective 1


the car

Objective 2


internet

Objective 3


internet of things

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Connected infrastructure – eMobility Solution

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Connected eBike – Nyon

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Connected city – Monaco 3.0

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Contact data

Alexander Vancolen

Tel.: +32 2 525 52 11

Mobile: +32 473 55 95 71

E-mail: [email protected]

Presentations & Public Speaking

Futuristische demonstratie uit de autosector (Bosch) - Belgian Insurance Conference 2014