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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Belgian Insurance Conference, 25/11/2014
1
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
2
Milestones in automotive
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Automotive Technology: an overview
Powertrain systems Safety systems Comfort systems
3
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Future mobility – automated, connected, electric
Automated mobility
Parking management
Connected mobility
Cloud
Integration of CE world
Electric mobility
Multimodal mobility
4
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
The road towards automated driving
5
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
6
0
500.000
1.000.000
1.500.000
2.000.000
2.500.000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Do nothing
UN Decade of Action
Reduction
casualties
with 50%
Reduction potential: 5 million casualties
50 million injured
30.000 people killed and 1,5 million injured in European
traffic
According to the UN, the number of traffic casualties will
increase to 1,9 million between 2010 and 2020
UN ‘Decade of Action for Road Safety’
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
How do Belgians experience driving?
7
90% of all accidents with injuries
are caused by human failure
More than 60% of the Belgians
indicate they like to drive and have no
problem driving a car they don’t know
But… • Sudden braking manoevres,
finding a parking space and
driving in traffic jams cause stress
• 67% of the Belgians made an
emergency brake in the past 12
months
.
Source: Bosch study on driver assistance systems 2013
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Road safety – three parameters
The driver
The vehicle
The condition of the road
8
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Available safety and driver assistance systems
9
1978 1980 1986 1989 1993 1995 2000 2010
Anti-lock Braking
System (ABS)
Airbag control
Traction Control
System (TCS)
Navigation systems
Parking Aid
Electronic Stability
Program (ESP®)
Adaptive Cruise Control
Automatic Emergency
Braking
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Available safety systems for motorcycles
Motorcycle ABS Motorcycle Traction Control Motorcycle Stability Control
10
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
New driver assistance systems – examples
Construction Zone Assist Automatic Emergency Braking for Pedestrians
Intersection Assist Traffic Jam Assist
11
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Euro NCAP for safer cars
Euro NCAP organizes crash and performance tests and provides motoring
consumers with a realistic and independent assessment of the safety of cars
12
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Most important functions for Belgian drivers
Source: Bosch study on driver assistance systems 2013
13
Q: Which assistance system would be the most important to you personally, and
which would be the least important? Are you personally interested in this system?
Advanced Emergency Braking Pedestrian
Blindspot detection
Evasion Assist
Advanced Emergency Braking Interurban
Advanced Emergency Braking City
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
AEB-Inter-Urban
AEB-Vulnerable
Road Users
AEB-City
Accident situation in the EU1)
100% 28%
20%
18%
14%
9% 4%
8%
Turns
into/
Crosses
Collision
with/
between …
Fixed
object /
Leaving
carriageway
Parked/
Moving
ahead or
waiting
Pedestrian Oncoming
vehicle
Moving
laterally
in same
direction
Another
kind e.g.
animal
2010
1) Source: IRTAD 2003, Interpolation to 2010 using national statistics;
accidents with injuries and fatalities
2) 22% out of ~5 Mio. accidents w/ damage only; Bosch Accident
Research Analysis 2009, AZT/Bosch database 2004-’07
350.000 accidents with injuries and fatalities will be addressed by one of the AEB systems
Considering accidents with property damage only e.g. additional 1.100.000 accidents2)
are addressed in Germany.
ESP®
14
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Automated driving
15
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Automated and connected – social benefits
Gain in
productivity
Democratization
of mobility
Fewer traffic jams and less waiting time at intersections and lights
80% improvement in traffic throughput1
Higher
fuel efficiency
Reduced
congestion
Reduction in global road fatalities
90% of car accidents caused by human error4
Synchronized traffic flow
23 to 39% improvement in highway fuel economy2
Time in transit becomes more productive
56 minutes per day freed up for other uses (US)3
Over-65 segment growing 50% faster than overall population
Allow a variety of age ranges to be mobile
Improved
safety
16
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Automated driving – already on public roads
Prototypes driving on public freeways in Germany and USA
· Bosch: first vehicles on German freeways since early 2013
· Tests in real traffic conditions accelerate the development of new functions
17
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Prerequisites for automated driving – overview
HMI and driver distraction
surround sensing
quality of map data
system architecture
safety and security
map data
legislation
highly robust
in all use cases
always precise
and up-to-date
redundancies for sensing, ECUs, and
actuation required (fail operational)
protection against technical
failure and deliberate attacks
global standards
and clear liability
18
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Driver assistance – degree of automation
Increasing
comfort,
safety,
and
efficiency
Highly
automated
Fully
automated
Supervised by driver Reduced driver supervision
Cu
sto
mer
ben
efi
t
Automation level Integrated
cruise assist Park assist
Partly
automated
Highway
pilot
Auto pilot
Highway
assist
Automated driving starts with highway driving and parking functions
· Step-by-step approach – for technological and psychological reasons
· Survey: 57% in favor of automated driving as long as it can be switched off1
1 Source: Bosch survey 2013 - Belgium
19
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Development steps – automated parking
Automatic / remote
park assist
Partially automated
longitudinal and
lateral guidance
Driver supervises
(from outside vehicle)
Robust environment
recognition (possibly
camera)
Deg
ree o
f a
uto
ma
tion
Series production > 2018
Auto
park pilot
Valet parking
Automated steering,
driver applies gas and
brake
Steering and braking
partly automated
Driver applies gas
Park steering
control
Park maneuver
control
Ultrasonic sensors
Ultrasonic sensors + cameras
Highly automated
longitudinal and
lateral guidance
No supervision by
driver
Robust environment
recognition necessary
Strict safety
requirements
Connected vehicle
drives autonomously
into parking space
Robust environment
recognition + maps
necessary
Strictest safety
requirements
C2x communication
2015 2018
Ultrasonic sensors + cameras + map
20
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Automated parking – valet parking
21
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Development steps – automated driving
Partially automated
longitudinal and
lateral guidance
Lane change after
driver confirmation
Supervision of sur-
rounding traffic (next
lane, ahead, behind)
Deg
ree o
f a
uto
ma
tion
Series production
Highway pilot
Auto pilot
Only longitudinal or
lateral control
Partially automated
longitudinal and
lateral guidance in
driving lane
Speed range
0-130 kph
ACC/lane
keeping support
Integrated
cruise assist
Single sensor
Sensor-data fusion
Highly automated
longitudinal and
lateral guidance with
lane changing
Reliable environment
recognition, including
in complex driving
situations
No permanent
supervision by driver
Door-to-door
commuting (e.g. to
work) in urban traffic
Strictest safety
requirements
No supervision by
driver
Sensor-data fusion + map
Highway assist
> 2025 2018 2020 2017
22
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
A connected car is a better car
23
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Bosch user experience
24
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Everyone & Everything connected
1 billion
2 billion
5 billion
6.593 billion devices in 2015
0.062 billion vehicles
0.019 billion in telemedicine
0.070 billion in security
0.120 billion smart meters
0.260 billion TVs
0.625 billion tablets
3.000 billion mobile phones
1.498 billion laptops
0.895 billion desktops
0.044 billion servers
3 billion
4 billion
Devices connected People connected
World population
People connected to the internet
1995 2005 2015
1995 2005 2015
5.7bn
0,7%
6.5bn
15%
7.3bn
75%
25
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Internet of Things and Services – MEMS1
1micro-electro-mechanical-systems
26
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
MEMS1 Applications
Mobile Home Entertainment Imaging Sport & Fitness
Augmented Reality Home Appliances Industrial & Logistics Sport & Fitness Smart Sensors
1micro-electro-mechanical-systems
MEMS1 make it possible for modern electrical appliances to “feel” and “hear ”.
27
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected car – 3 objectives
Objective 1
Making the internet part of
the car
Objective 2
Making the car part of the
internet
Objective 3
Making the car part of the
internet of things
28
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected car – 3 objectives
Objective 1
Making the internet part of
the car
Objective 2
Making the car part of the
internet
Objective 3
Making the car part of the
internet of things
29
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
mySPIN
30
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected car – 3 objectives
Objective 1
Making the internet part of
the car
Objective 2
Making the car part of the
internet
Objective 3
Making the car part of the
internet of things
31
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected mobility – cloud and car2x
The automotive cloud will be an integral part of the vehicle architecture
· Car2x concepts include local danger warning and driver assistance functions
Automotive
cloud
Benefits:
Improved road safety
and new services
Car2x
concept
32
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Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected car – car2x
33
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Backend
Intelligent Fleet Management
As a truly international
company, Bosch understands
the multifaceted networking of
hardware, software, and even
people. You get everything
you need for your fleet
management, all from a single
source!
Internet
M2M
via
GSM
Data Recording Data
Transfer Data Processing and Management
Theft
Protection
Asset / Claims
Management
Reporting /
Control
Telematics Data (e.g., Mileage,
Error Reports, ...)
Maintenance
Call Center
Master Data
(Vehicle, Driver)
CCU Premium (incl. GSM / GPS)
34
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected car – 3 objectives
Objective 1
Making the internet part of
the car
Objective 2
Making the car part of the
internet
Objective 3
Making the car part of the
internet of things
35
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected infrastructure – eMobility Solution
36
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected eBike – Nyon
37
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
Connected city – Monaco 3.0
38
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distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.
Future mobility: automated, connected, electric
39
Contact data
Alexander Vancolen
Tel.: +32 2 525 52 11
Mobile: +32 473 55 95 71
E-mail: [email protected]