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Building Inclusive Labour Markets in Kazakhstan A Focus on Youth, Older Workers, and People with Disabilities Stefano Scarpetta, Director for Employment, Labour, and Social Affairs Astana, July 13 th 2017

Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

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Page 1: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Building Inclusive Labour Markets in Kazakhstan A Focus on Youth, Older Workers, and People with Disabilities

Stefano Scarpetta,

Director for Employment, Labour, and Social Affairs

Astana, July 13th 2017

Page 2: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

1. The Key Labour Market Challenges

2. Investing in Kazakhstani Youth

3. Working longer with age: Strengthening the Labour Market Outcomes of Older Workers

4. Breaking Down Labour Market Barriers for People with Disabilities

Outline of the presentation

2

Page 3: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

1. THE KEY LABOUR MARKET CHALLENGES

3

Page 4: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Kazakhstan is doing well with regards to job quantity

01020304050607080

Italy

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key

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onia

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outh

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ica

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na

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ekis

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Pak

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yrgy

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azak

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n

Inactivity rate

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and

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itzer

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ico

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ublic

Slo

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olan

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nce

Bel

gium

Spa

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urke

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reec

e

Chi

naR

ussi

an F

eder

atio

nIn

done

sia

Bra

zil

Indi

aS

outh

Afr

ica

Kaz

akhs

tan

Aze

rbai

jan

Kyr

gyzs

tan

Afg

hani

stan

Pak

ista

nU

zbek

ista

nT

ajik

ista

n

Employment rate

BRIICS OECD Central Asia

4

Source: OECD calculations based on the labour force survey; OECD stat database; ILO database.

Page 5: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

But informality and self-employment are hampering job quality

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Indi

a

Indo

nesi

a

Mex

ico

Col

ombi

a

Tur

key

Sou

th A

fric

a

Arg

entin

a

Cos

ta R

ica

Bra

zil

Kaz

akhs

tan

Urb

an C

hina

Chi

le

Rus

sia

Share of workers who are informal or self-employed

Informal Self-employed

%

What does informality and self-employment entail? … No protection by labour contracts … Little training or career advancement … Poor social security protection ... Lower wages

0

5

10

15

20

25

Lessthan 20

20 to 40 40 to 60 60 to 80 80 to100

100 to150

Over 150

%

Share of employees by income (in thousand KZT)

Self-employed and informal employees

Formal employees

20% of self-employed and informal employees earn less than the Minimum Wage

5 Source: OECD calculations based on the labour force survey; OECD (2016), Employment Outlook; OECD (2016), Multi-Dimensional Review of Kazakhstan.

Page 6: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Some groups are lagging behind: #1 disadvantaged youth

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Men

Wom

en

Prim

ary

or b

elow

Sec

onda

ry

Ter

tiary

Akm

ola

Akt

obe

Alm

aty

Alm

aty

city

Ast

ana

city

Aty

rau

Eas

t Kaz

akhs

tan

Kar

agan

da

Kos

tana

y

Kyz

ylor

da

Man

gyst

au

Nor

th K

azak

hsta

n

Pav

loda

r

Sou

th K

azak

hsta

n

Wes

t Kaz

akhs

tan

Jam

byl

Gender Education Region

Youth NEET rates by socio-demographic characteristics

Percentage of youth (ages 15-29)

6 Source: OECD calculations based on the Labour Force Survey

Page 7: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Activity status of older people

Some groups are lagging behind: #2 older workers

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

50 55 60 65 70

MenInactive & not in education Unemployed

Informal Self-employed

Employed Education or training

50 55 60 65 70

Women

Inactive & not in education Unemployed

Informal Self-employed

Employed Education or training

Reti

rem

en

t ag

e =

58

Reti

rem

en

t ag

e =

63

7

Source: OECD calculations based on the Labour Force Survey

Page 8: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Some groups are lagging behind: #3 people with disabilities

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Sw

eden

Ger

man

y

Den

mar

k

Luxe

mbo

urg

Fin

land

Fra

nce

Net

herla

nds

Aus

tria

Slo

vaki

a

Slo

veni

a

Est

onia

OE

CD

-EU

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom Ita

ly

Por

tuga

l

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Bel

gium

Pol

and

Spa

in

Hun

gary

Gre

ece

Kaz

akhs

tan

% Employment rate of people with disabilities

Source: Agency of Statistics of the RK; Eurostat. 8

Page 9: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

2. INVESTING IN KAZAKHSTANI YOUTH

9

Page 10: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

10

Youth: Key recommendations

Strengthening the role of Public Employment Services

Investing further in Active Labour Market Policies

Providing more adequate income support

Investing in the skills of youth

Reshaping family policies

Page 11: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Strengthening the role of the Public Employment Service

67

%

9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Bel

gium

Fin

land

Fra

nce

Spa

inP

ortu

gal

Slo

veni

aD

enm

ark

Ger

man

yP

olan

dO

EC

D-E

urop

eIc

elan

dLu

xem

bour

gS

wed

enH

unga

ryG

reec

eS

witz

erla

ndA

ustr

iaIta

lyE

ston

iaN

ethe

rland

sU

nite

d K

ingd

omK

azak

hsta

n

Registration with PES Percentage of youth unemployed

Source: OECD calculations based on the information received by the Ministry of Healthcare

and Social Development of RK.

Poor targeting: 70% have VET or

university

Why is registration low ?

Many jobseekers doubt PES can help

Low generosity of benefits

Registration does not entail access to certain benefits

Vacancy bank has few and low-quality job openings

Page 12: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Investing further in Active Labour Market Policies

0.27

00.20.40.60.8

11.21.41.6

Den

mar

kS

wed

enF

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eLu

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ustr

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gium

Por

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witz

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erm

any

Italy

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aK

orea

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akhs

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ece

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ch R

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ck R

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rael

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onia

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nU

nite

d S

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alia

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leU

nite

d K

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omM

exic

o

OECD average = 0.4

Expenditures on ALMPs (% of GDP)

What additional challenges ?

Impact evaluation studies are lacking

Weak targeting

to people most in need

Funding skewed towards poorest regions

4.3

05

10152025303540

Hun

gary

Fra

nce

Italy

Por

tuga

l

Spa

in

Bel

gium

Aus

tria

OE

CD

-Eur

ope

Luxe

mbo

urg

Ger

man

y

Irel

and

Slo

vaki

a

Fin

land

Sw

eden

Kaz

akhs

tan

Den

mar

k

Pol

and

Slo

veni

a

Gre

ece

Nor

way

Net

herla

nds

Est

onia

<25 Total

% Participation in ALMPs (% of labour force)

Source: OECD calculations based on the information received by the Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development of RK; OECD stat.

OECD average = 9.8

Page 13: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Providing more adequate income support

64 % 10.5 months

31% 6 months

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0

20

40

60

80

100

Bel

gium

Isra

elS

love

nia

Den

mar

kLu

xem

…S

pain

Icel

and

Net

her…

Por

tuga

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witz

e…Ita

lyJa

pan

Fra

nce

Hun

gary

Nor

way

Cze

ch…

Can

ada

OE

CD

Sw

eden

Slo

vak…

Uni

ted…

Fin

land

Ger

man

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hile

Aus

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eaE

ston

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urke

yIr

elan

dP

olan

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eN

ew…

Kaz

ak…

Aus

tral

iaU

nite

d…

Months

Percentage of previous net

earnings

Net replacement rate (NRR)

Maximum benefit duration (right-side scale)

Unemployment Benefits

Other income support ?

Severance pay (only 1 monthly wage)

Unemployment

assistance (inexistent)

Source: OECD calculations based on the information received by the Ministry of

Healthcare and Social Development of RK; OECD Tax and Benefit database.

8 %

0

10

20

30

40

50

Net

herla

nds

Icel

and

Irel

and

Luxe

mbo

urg

Den

mar

kB

elgi

umJa

pan

Spa

inA

ustr

iaN

ew Z

eala

ndA

ustr

alia

Fra

nce

Isra

elS

love

nia

Por

tuga

lG

erm

any

Fin

land

Sw

itzer

land

Can

ada

Kor

eaU

nite

d…P

olan

dN

orw

ayS

wed

enC

zech

…S

lova

k…H

unga

ryE

ston

iaLa

tvia

Kaz

akhs

tan

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Chi

le

%

OECD average = 25.9 %

Social Assistance Benefits Net income value in % of median incomes

Ineffective take-up: poorest regions have the lowest coverage

Rush it to poorly-

matched, subsistence-

level jobs?

Coverage: 2 % of unemployed youth

Page 14: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Investing in the skills of youth

Key labour market indicators for youth (15-28) by level of education

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Labour force participation rate Employment-to-population ratio Unemployment rate (right-sidescale)

Basic secondary education General secondary education

Secondary vocational education Higher education

Source: ILO (2015), Jobs and Skills for Youth: Review of Policies for Youth Employment of Kazakhstan, International Labour Organization.

Page 15: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Reshaping family policies

Encouraging fathers to take child-related leave

o There is no leave for exclusive use of fathers o No financial incentives for fathers to take parental leave (women earn 68% of men’s

wages)

Facilitating access to good-quality childcare

o Only 8.5% of children 0-2 enrol in childcare (OECD 33%) o Regional and wealth disparities: long waiting lists; private care 2/3 times as

expensive

Strengthening the income support available to parents

o Family cash benefits are inadequate (low generosity; not adjusted by n. children; no

benefits for sole parents) o Red tape (many families who are entitled do not apply)

Page 16: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

3. WORKING LONGER WITH AGE:

STRENGTHENING THE LABOUR MARKET OUTCOMES OF

OLDER WORKERS

16

Page 17: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

17

Older Workers: Key Recommendations

Strengthening the employability of older workers

Making work rewarding for older workers older workers

Encouraging employers to hire and retain older workers

Page 18: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Ensure that lifelong learning policies encourage continuous upgrading of skills over the working life

18

Strengthening the employability of older workers

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Eas

t Asi

a &

Pac

ific

OE

CD

Latin

Am

eric

a &

Car

ibbe

an

Hig

h in

com

e no

nOE

CD

All

Cou

ntrie

s

Eas

tern

Eur

ope

& C

entr

al…

Sub

-Sah

aran

Afr

ica

Sou

th A

sia

Mid

dle

Eas

t & N

orth

Afr

ica

Chi

na (

2012

)

Rus

sian

Fed

erat

ion

(201

2)

Bra

zil (

2009

)

Sou

th A

fric

a (2

007)

Indi

a (2

014)

Kaz

akhs

tan

(201

3)

Indo

nesi

a (2

009)

Irel

and

(200

5)

Sw

eden

(20

14)

Chi

le (

2010

)

Cze

ch R

epub

lic (

2013

)

Spa

in (

2005

)

Mex

ico

(201

0)

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

(20

13)

Slo

veni

a (2

013)

Ger

man

y (2

005)

Est

onia

(20

13)

Pol

and

(201

3)

Por

tuga

l (20

05)

Tur

key

(201

3)

Gre

ece

(200

5)

Isra

el (

2013

)

Hun

gary

(20

13)

Percent of firms offering formal training

OECD BRIICS and

Kazakhstan

World region

Source: World Bank Entreprise Survey.

Page 19: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

(1) Ensure that adequate old-age pensions are provided to the elderly

Making work rewarding for older workers (1)

63

44

.9

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

IND

(58

)T

UR

(65

)N

LD (

67)

AU

T (

65)

HU

N (

65)

PR

T (

66)

ES

P (

65)

LUX

(60

)A

RG

(65

)R

US

(60

)S

VK

(67

)C

HN

(60

)IT

A (

67)

ISL

(67)

BR

A (

55)

ISR

(67

)F

RA

(63

)D

NK

(67

)S

AU

(45

)C

ZE

(68

)S

WE

(65

)F

IN (

65)

OE

CD

34B

EL

(65)

NO

R (

67)

ES

T (

65)

AU

S (

67)

SV

N (

60)

GR

C (

62)

PO

L (6

7)D

EU

(65

)C

HE

(65

)K

OR

(65

)K

AZ

(63

)U

SA

(67

)N

ZL

(65)

CA

N (

67)

IRL

(68)

JPN

(65

)G

BR

(68

)C

HL

(65)

ME

X (

65)

IDN

(55

)Z

AF

(60

)

Net replacement rates at retirement age, projections 2057

19 Note: data refer to people previously earning average wages.

Source: OECD calculations based on the OECD Pension Models.

Low life expectancy

Underdeveloped financial services

Informality

Misinformation

Coverage is low Why

Page 20: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

(2) Enhance incentives to work beyond retirement age for those still able to work

Making work rewarding for older workers (2)

Only 13% of pensioners work, 50% of them do so informally. Why

1. Few possibilities to work part-time (after retirement, only 5% of dependent employees work part-time).

2. Partial or deferred withdrawal is not possible by law.

3. Kazakhstani Pension System provides weak financial incentives to work past retirement.

Page 21: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Continue efforts to better align wages to productivity and qualifications, rather than seniority

Change employers’ perceptions of older workers and address discrimination in employment on the basis of age

Continue efforts to ease employment protection legislation around older workers, but combine them with adequate income support and activation measures

Encouraging employers to hire and retain older workers

21

Page 22: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

4. BREAKING DOWN LABOUR MARKET BARRIERS FOR

PEOPLE WITH DISABILITIES (PWD)

22

Page 23: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

23

People with Disabilities: Key Recommendations

Averting old stereotypes and strengthening anti-discrimination law

Supporting activation-oriented assessments of PWD

Making more effective use of employment quotas

Page 24: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Averting old stereotypes and strengthening anti-discrimination law

24

Promote a “people first” language o Legislation on disability policy often uses the word “invalid”, rather than

“person with disability”

o Differentiations by categories of clients (such as, “the blind”; “the deaf”) still existent

Ensure that decisions based on the ground of disability be taken following a concerted approach o Firm can discriminate on the ground of disability (when there is a need to protect (i) the health

of the PWD (ii) and/or the safety of others).

o Burden of the proof is on the employers.

Page 25: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Supporting activation-oriented assessments of People with Disabilities

Assess work capacity, not disability: o IRP remains strongly focused on the medical diagnosis o 3/5 members of the Medical and Social Expert (MSE) committee are doctors – the other are

clerical staff o Few PWD receive the social and vocational assessment

Treat each claim for a disability benefit as a request for rehabilitation:

o There is too little focus on the Individual Rehabilitation Plan (IRP) o Only ¼ of PWD have access to an IRP o 1/2 are not even aware of its existence

Consider introducing some flexibility in the system of re-assessments at fixed time intervals:

o Most PWD (95%) are confirmed as disabled after re-assessment o MSE Committees are understaffed o Evaluation procedures tend to be a “box ticking” exercise

Page 26: Building inclusive labour markets in kazakhstan

Key challenge:

Only 1/3 of quota jobs are filled by PWD

Why?

o Quota jobs used to keep existing workers with emerging health problems

o Firms struggle to find PWD with the right qualifications

o Burdensome adjustment costs (e.g. accommodation costs; lawsuits)

Possible areas for improvements:

o Fix quotas realistically in each geographic area/region

o Give priority to people with most severe disability

o Impose levies (rather than fines)

Making more effective use of employment quotas

26