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Key Points : North TX into southern OK into central AR Heavy ice accumulations leading to dangerous travel conditions and possible prolonged power outages NM, TX/OK Panhandles, Northwest/West/Central TX, the rest of OK and AR (outside of ice areas) will see winter weather impacts also but power outages are generally not expected and mostly the impacts will be limited to dangerous travel conditions Temperatures will remain below freezing in many areas that were impacted with ice Thursday – Friday so icy power lines may persist, hampering recovery efforts Another round of winter precipitation for Northern and Central parts of the Region Saturday into Sunday Additional ice accumulations possible over some of same areas impacted Thursday – Friday but overall additional accumulations look relatively light at this time Confidence is low for this forecast period Actual weather should be quiet on Monday but temperatures will remain at/below freezing in many of the previously impacted areas

Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

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Page 1: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

Key Points

: North TX into southern OK into central AR

• Heavy ice accumulations leading to dangerous travel conditions and possible prolonged power outages

• NM, TX/OK Panhandles, Northwest/West/Central TX, the rest of OK and AR (outside of ice areas) will see winter weather impacts also but power outages are generally not expected and mostly the impacts will be limited to dangerous travel conditions

• Temperatures will remain below freezing in many areas that were impacted with ice Thursday – Friday so icy power lines may persist, hampering recovery efforts

• Another round of winter precipitation for Northern and Central parts of the Region Saturday into Sunday

• Additional ice accumulations possible over some of same areas impacted Thursday – Friday but overall additional accumulations look relatively light at this time

• Confidence is low for this forecast period

• Actual weather should be quiet on Monday but temperatures will remain at/below freezing in many of the previously impacted areas

Page 2: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

No Discernible Threat Slight Threat

High Threat Moderate Threat

- Dec 5, 2013 Dec 9, 2013

*Threat levels are based on

FEMA Region 6 criteria.

State or local threat level

criteria may differ.

DAY/ THREAT

THU FRI SAT SUN MON

Severe Storms

Winter Weather

NM, TX/OK Panhandles,

Northwest TX, OK, Northwest AR

v

NM, OK, AR, N/W/C TX,

NW LA E OK, AR

Heavy Rain/Flooding

Fire Weather

North TX, South OK, Central AR

OK, NW/Central TX, OK, AR

Page 3: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

Forecast courtesy of NWS Weather Forecast Office in Albuquerque, NM

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/abq/

Today Mostly cloudy, with snow likely.

South wind 10 to 15 mph. Total

daytime snow accumulation of 1

to 3 inches possible.

Tonight Mostly cloudy with snow, mainly

before 11pm. Southeast wind 5

to 10 mph. New snow

accumulation of less than a half

inch possible.

Friday Mostly sunny. Southwest wind

around 10 mph.

Page 4: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13
Page 5: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

No Discernible Threat

Slight Threat

High Threat

Moderate Threat

Snow and/or sleet to impact travel

in much of this area

Freezing rain to impact travel

in much of this area

Valid: 0800 - 0800 FriThu

Page 6: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

Through Today at 6pm Through Tonight at Midnight

Through Friday at 6am

Page 7: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13
Page 8: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

AM - AM Thu Fri

Page 9: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13
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No Discernible Threat

Slight Threat

High Threat

Moderate Threat

Valid: 0800 - 0800 Fri Sun

Concern for

power outages

from significant

ice accumulation

continues into Friday

Snow/Freezing Rain

travel impacts persist

in AR throughout

the day on Friday

Page 11: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

Friday Saturday

Page 12: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

No Discernible Threat

Slight Threat

High Threat

Moderate Threat

Valid: 0800 - 0800 TueSun

Possible snow/sleet/light freezing

rain continues across a large portion

of FEMA Region 6 Sunday.

Total accumulations are expected to

be light/with minor additional

impacts. Temperatures remain below

freezing through Wednesday,

however, so any ice on surfaces will

likely not melt until mid week.

Page 13: Weather Threat Brief 12-6-13

AM - AM Thu Tue