Anna Lucia Colleo

Regione Emilia-Romagna

Budapest, 22 May 2013

POPULATION, MIGRATION AND LABOUR MARKET

EVIDENCE-BASED STRATEGY BUILDING

MAKING MIGRATION WORK FOR DEVELOPMENT POLICY TOOLS FOR STRATEGIC PLANNING IN SEE REGIONS AND CITIES

1. INTRODUCING MMWD

2. MMWD APPROACH AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS

3. DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AND GROWTH

PROSPECTS: UNDERSTANDING

RELATIONSHIPS

MMWD: Strategic project co-funded by the South East

Europe Programme

Website: www.migration4growth.eu

Duration: 30 months (May 2012-October 2014)

Lead partner: Regional Government of Emilia-Romagna

21 Partners: Public administrations supported by technical

partners (statistical offices, universities,

research centres, development agencies).

The International Organization for Migration

is an observer.

To enhance the capacity of public administrations

to anticipate, understand and strategically manage

the implications of current demographic change,

and particularly of migration-related demographic

change,

with a view to actively address critical challenges

for the sustainable growth of SEE territories.

THE ULTIMATE GOAL OF MMWD

Boosting knowledge: improving the harmonization of

comparable information about SEE regions and cities

that are key to understand the prospects for growth and

well-being of SEE regions and cities

Supporting the identification of major territorial

challenges and political priorities, based on comparable

regionalized information on SEE regions and cities

Strengthening local capacity to undertake evidence-

based strategic planning in participating territories

SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES

Support and facilitate transnational dialogue and

exchanges among SEE territories that share common

development challenges and are affected (positively or

negatively) by the identified trends, prospects and/or

policy impacts, with an aim to exploring comparative

advantages and synergy through transnational

cooperation arrangements.

Supporting dissemination and the use of MMWD results

to an audience of policy makers, practitioners, experts,

and SEE communities (public discourse).

SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES

Defining the knowledge base: panel of indicators, data

mapping and analysis of gaps

Turning knowledge into a strategy-making tool: construct

demographic forecasts and impact scenarios until 2020 (i.e.

develop a "reading structure" anticipating territorial

evolutions related to demo change, as a precondition to be

able to steer them towards positive outcomes)

Capacity-building on the use of policy scenarios for the

formulation of development strategies, with migration

recognized as a relevant feature for sustainable growth

ACTIVITIES

From sparse initiatives to integrated policies: improving

governance methods and policy coherence. Pilot

applications of project results

Harmonizing knowledge across SEE: Knowledge Platform on

www.migration4growth.eu

Building a SEE platform for transnational dialogue and

cooperation, to promote more effective regulations of

migration flows across the SEE area

ACTIVITIES: ACTIVITIES

1. INTRODUCING MMWD

2. MMWD APPROACH AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS

3. DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AND GROWTH

PROSPECTS: UNDERSTANDING RELATIONSHIPS

… which also include a trans-national realm

(i.e. part of the non-realized development benefits of migration

for specific territories relate to a lack of articulated agreements

on mobility/migration management and social protection, as

well as limited dialogue, exchange and cooperation among

connected countries)

MAIN TERRITORIAL SCALE: REGIONS (NUTS2)

POLICY SCALE: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES

The development of SEE territories is facing several mega trends

that strongly impact policy choices:

Interaction is growing across SEE territories as well as with

other parts of the world (increasing flows, including migration)

Global economic competition is accelerating, offering more

options for regions but also more challenges to policy-makers

Market forces and the evolution of society in general are

supporting a geographical concentration of activities: cities

are (and compete as) development hubs

The ongoing demographic change is affecting the regions

differently (with labor moving across regions)

AT THIS STAGE, WE ALREADY KNOW THAT …

MMWD was designed in the realm of the Europe 2020

Strategy to support regional strategy-making for smart,

sustainable and inclusive growth

Policy-makers dealing with territorial development are in

need of a future oriented and integrated vision of

development, translating the targets and objectives of

Europe 2020 into policy priorities

Building such vision requires: sound evidence, comparable

regionalized information, mid-term scenarios in order to draw

sustainable and integrated policy responses for their

territories

MMWD APPROACH AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Employment

Human capital

The offer of social services (ensuring the

social infrastructure needed to support

growth policies)

MMWD APPROACH AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Focus on 3 critical (and inter-related) policy realms

MMWD’S ULTIMATE GOAL IS TO SUPPORT

DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY-MAKING FOR SEE REGIONS

AND CITIES.

MMWD’S SPECIFICITY IS THAT IT LOOKS AT

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AS A KEY FEATURE OF

TERRITORIAL DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS

AND IT LOOKS AT MIGRATION AS THE KEY FACTOR IN

TODAY’S POPULATION CHANGES.

DEMO CHANGE AND GROWTH PROSPECTS

The effects of demographic change on living conditions and

growth prospects are both a challenge and an opportunity.

A challenge because demographic trends such as low fertility

rates, ageing, changes in the households’ structures and

population mobility can limit territorial competitiveness and

growth prospects.

An opportunity if such changes are appropriately placed in

regional development strategies, considering the evolutionary

effects of population trends on selected policy areas.

MMWD APPROACH AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS

1. INTRODUCING MMWD

2. MMWD APPROACH AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS

3. DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AND GROWTH

PROSPECTS: UNDERSTANDING RELATIONSHIPS

DEMO CHANGE:

AGE STRUCTURES - MIGRATION

GROWTH:

EMPLOYMENT – HUMAN CAPITAL – SOCIAL SERVICES

INTER-RELATED

AND KEY TO SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

DEFINING DEMO CHANGE AND GROWTH IN MMWD

UNDER MIGRATION, WE SUM UP :

• INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

• IN-COUNTRY MIGRATION (ACROSS REGIONS, RURAL

VS. URBAN AND VICEVERSA)

• LONG-TERM DEMO CHANGE RELATED TO NON-

NATIVE RESIDENTS ON SEE TERRITORIES (FIRST

GENERATIONS VS. RESIDENTS WITH A MIGRATION

BACKGROUND)

DEFINING MIGRATION IN MMWD

QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE CHANGES (BEHAVIOURS)

MIGRATION IS SCRUTINISED IN RELATION TO ITS EFFECTS:

DIFFERENT COMBINATIONS OF

POPULATION TRENDS AND RESOURCES IN DIFFERENT TERRITORIES

DEMO CHANGE AND GROWTH: SEEKING CONNECTIONS

DEMO

CHANGE

MIGRATION

GROWTH

PROSPECTS

SOCIAL

NEEDS

EDUCATION

TRAINING LABOUR

BEHAVIOURS

OF POP

GROUPS

VARY

By migration policies – in relation to demographic and labor

market processes, we may refer to a broad range of policy

areas:

Active management of international labor migration:

Skilled/less skilled; seasonal and circular migration programs;

programs for attracting/attracting back specific categories of

workers; compensation measures for origin countries; the offer of

services to migrants, including vocational training, ...)

HOW CAN DEMOGRAPHIC AND LABOUR MARKET PROCESSES

BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT IN MIGRATION POLICIES?

Local policies to manage local population movements (labor

market and transports, schools, housing, services in general,

…).

The localization of the population on the territory is a driver for

local policies. Rural to urban movements across SEE, with densely

populated areas surrounded by more scarcely populated areas.

This may also imply a drastic change in the age structure of the

population (concentration of elderly in rural areas, for instance),

posing specific development challenges.

HOW CAN DEMOGRAPHIC AND LABOUR MARKET PROCESSES

BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT IN MIGRATION POLICIES?

Migration policies targeting the resident foreign population

(or, for emigration territories, targeting nationals abroad)

Migration policies are often separated from territorial development

policies, and fragmented between labor market, education, and

social inclusion policies – not necessarily referring to a cross-

sector strategy.

HOW CAN DEMOGRAPHIC AND LABOUR MARKET PROCESSES

BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT IN MIGRATION POLICIES?

25

Thank you!

Anna Lucia Colleo

acolleo@regione.emilia-romagna.it annalus@hotmail.com