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On May 26, 2010, the MPO presented the major policy initiatives of its 2035 Regional Transportation Plan currently under development. As part of that presentation, the MPO unveiled a draft, long-term regional vision for mass transit. Visit nashvillempo.org for more information.
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Mayor Karl Dean, Chairman
Regional Transportation PlanMajor Policy InitiativesAnnual Convening the Region Summit
War Memorial AuditoriumMay 26, 2010
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Transportation is a Regional Issue
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Transportation is Regional Issue
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Transportation is Regional Issue
WORK in Downtown Nashville, LIVE in…..
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Transportation is Regional Issue
Live in Hendersonville/ Gallatin Area, WORK in…..
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Transportation is Regional Issue
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How will our Region Grow?
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Population Growth, Middle Tennessee
‐
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
1965750,000
20001,450,000
20081,700,000
20352,600,000
Denver Region (2.5 million)
Austin Region, Charlotte Region (1.7 million)
Portland (OR) Region (2.2 million)
Seattle Region (3.3 million)
10-County CRT Region
Other regions (MSA)
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1965 Development Pattern
Properties affected by development in 1965
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2009 Development Pattern
Properties affected by current development
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2035 Development Pattern - Projected
Properties affected by current & future development
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Land Use Model Inputs
Environmental Constraints Land Use Policy
Suitability Analysis Growth Policy
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Today’s Congestion – Volume Based
Nashville
Gallatin
Lebanon
Murfreesboro
Franklin
Clarksville
Columbia
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2035 Congestion, Projected
Nashville
Gallatin
Lebanon
Murfreesboro
Franklin
Clarksville
Columbia
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2035 Congestion, Planned Projects
Nashville
Gallatin
Lebanon
Murfreesboro
Franklin
Clarksville
Columbia
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2035 Congestion, After Projects Built
Nashville
Gallatin
Lebanon
Murfreesboro
Franklin
Clarksville
Columbia
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Growing Issues to Address
Unmanageable Congestion
Longer Travel Times & Trip Lengths
Increasing Energy Consumption / Costs
Declining Air & Water Quality
Aging Population/ Dispersed Families
Worsening Personal Health / Increasing Costs
Lost Habitat / Natural Areas
Unsustainable Costs/ Revenue Sources
Lack of Housing Choice
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Changing Demographics
Households 1960 2000 2025
With Children 48% 33% 28%
Without Children 52% 67% 72%
Single Person 13% 26% 28%
Census for 1960 and 2000, 2025 adapted from Martha Farnsworth Riche, How Changes in the Nation’s Age and Household Structure Will Reshape Housing Demand in the 21st Century, HUD, 2003.
A Sharp Decline in Traditional Family Households
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True Cost of LivingInclusive Monthly Housing Costs
4%
47%
30%
19%
Housing Energy Transportation Remaining Income
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How Should We Invest in Our Future?
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Guiding Principles
Livability ‐MPO plans and programs shall work to enhance the quality of life in the region by supporting initiatives that increase opportunities for affordable housing, education, jobs, recreation, and civic involvement without increasing the burden on citizens to enjoy their community.
Sustainability – MPO plans and programs shall strive to support growth and prosperity without sacrificing the health, environment, natural and socio‐cultural resources, or financial stability of this or future generations.
Prosperity – MPO plans and programs shall contribute to the continued economic well‐being of the greater Nashville area by investing in transportation solutions that increase access to education, jobs, and amenities, reduce the cost of living and doing business, and attract new investment to the region.
Diversity – MPO plans and programs shall recognize the multitude of needs and the variety of perspectives and backgrounds of the people that live and work in the greater Nashville area by promoting a range of transportation choices that are designed with sensitivity to the desired context.
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Regional Goals
Maintain and Preserve the Efficiency, Safety, and Security of the Region’s Existing Transportation Infrastructure;Manage Congestion to Keep People and Goods Moving;Encourage Quality Growth and Sustainable Land DevelopmentPractices;Protect the Region’s Health & Environment;Support the Economic Competitiveness of the Greater Nashville Area;OfferMeaningful Transportation Choices for a Diverse Population including the Aging;Encourage Regional Coordination, Cooperation, & Decision‐Making; andPractice Thoughtful, Transparent Financial Stewardship by Ensuring that Transportation Improvements meet Regional Goals.
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Three Major Policy Initiatives
#1A Bold, New Vision for Mass Transit
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Three Major Policy Initiatives
#2Support for Active Transportation &
Walkable Communities
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Three Major Policy Initiatives
#3Preservation & Enhancement of
Strategic Roadways
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A Bold, New Vision for Mass Transit
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A Bold, New Vision for Mass Transit
FUTURE REGIONAL CORRIDOR SERVICE
FUTURE LOCAL TRANSIT SERVICE
Clarksville
Nashville
Franklin
Murfreesboro
Columbia
Dickson
Gallatin
Lebanon
Springfield
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Rapid Transit Corridors
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A History with InterUrban Rail
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A History with InterUrban Rail
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Rapid Transit Options
HEAVY RAIL TRANSIT LIGHT RAIL TRANSIT
BUS RAPID TRANSIT
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Rapid Rail Transit – Peers
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BUS Rapid Transit – Peers
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Regional Rapid Transit Corridors
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Northeast Corridor Rapid Transit
The Streets at Indian Lake Village
Traditional Office Park
Transit Oriented Development
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Northeast Corridor Rapid Transit
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Denver – Urban/ Suburban Rapid Transit
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Regional Rapid Transit Corridors
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Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
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Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
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Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
existing
proposed
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Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
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Regional Commuter Rail Corridors
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Regional Express Coach Service
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Regional Express Coach Service
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Denver Regional Express Coach
DOWNTOWNDENVER
AIRPORT
BOULDER
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Regional Express Coach Service
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Local Circulators
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Local Circulators
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Local Circulators
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Urban Fixed Route Service
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Frequent, Safe & Comfortable Bus Service
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Frequent, Safe & Comfortable Bus Service
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Frequent, Safe & Comfortable Bus Service
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Return of the Urban Streetcar
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Return of the Urban Streetcar
Year Number Cost in Return onRecent Projects Opened Miles of Cars Millions Economic Development InvestmentKenosha 2000 2 5 $5.2 $150,000,000 2885%Tampa 2002 2.4 11 $53.0 $2,000,000,000 3774%Little Rock (2 phases) 2004-2007 3.4 5 $28.5 $260,000,000 912%Memphis (3 phases) 1993-2006 6.5 20 $24.0 $137,000,000 571%Portland (2 phases) 2003 6 5 $73.0 $2,399,000,000 3286%
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT RESULTS FOR STREETCAR PROJECTS
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Nashville Urban Streetcar
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Broadway / West End Streetcar
Centennial Park
Vanderbilt University
Downtown
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Streetcar @ Riverfront Station
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Streetcar @ Riverfront Station
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Streetcar @ 4th & Broadway
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Streetcar @ 4th & Broadway
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Streetcar @ 4th & Broadway
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Streetcar @ 4th & Broadway
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Streetcar @ Broadway & West End
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Streetcar @ Broadway & West End
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Streetcar @ West End & Acklen Park
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Streetcar @ Broadway & 21st
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Streetcar @ Broadway & 21st
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Urban Fixed Route Service
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Regional Vanpool & Paratransit
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Expanded Vanpool & Paratransit
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A Bold, New Vision for Mass Transit
FUTURE REGIONAL CORRIDOR SERVICE
FUTURE LOCAL TRANSIT SERVICE
Clarksville
Nashville
Franklin
Murfreesboro
Columbia
Dickson
Gallatin
Lebanon
Springfield
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Support for Active Transportation & Walkable
Communities
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Support for Active Transportation
Candidate Projects
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Support for Active Transportation
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Walkable Communities
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Preservation & Enhancement of Strategic Roadway Corridors
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Strategic Roadway Corridors
Candidate Projects
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Strategic Roadway Corridors
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Strategic Roadway Corridors
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What will it Cost and How will we Pay for it?
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Average Costs per Mile
$3 ‐ $30Electric Streetcar
$32 ‐ $604‐Lane Highway
$1 ‐ $15Commuter Rail
$3 ‐ $49Bus Rapid Transit
$45 ‐ $85Light Rail Transit
$139 ‐ $323Heavy Rail Transit
AVG COST / MILE (Million)TRANSPORTATION OPTION
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What do other things cost?
2030 Regional Plan adopted in 2005 = $3.5 BAnnual Payroll for NFL Players = $3.6 BCentral Texas Turnpike around Austin = $3.6 BSan Francisco/Oakland Bridge Replacement = $6.3 BDenver FasTracks System = $6.9 BLas Vegas City Center (mixed‐use) = $11 BBig Dig (Boston) = $14.6 B
TTI Cost of Congestion for Nashville Metro between now and 2035 = $10.6 B
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Funding/ Financing Issues
2035 Plan estimated to provide approx $4.9 B Federal
The cost of NEEDS/ VISION is likely double or triple the anticipated revenues
Lack of dedicated funding for transit to ensure stability and to compete for federal transit funds
Sprawling land development pattern creates unsustainable demand for infrastructure
Declining fuel tax revenues and buying power means fewer projects, slower progress, less benefit
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Gasoline Tax – Primary Revenue Source
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Highway Trust Fund Balance
DEFICIT
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Gasoline Prices, Last 5 Years
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Thinking Beyond the Gas Tax…
Re‐Prioritization of Current Spending
Public Private Partnerships
Tolling & Congestion Pricing
Distance‐Based User Fees
Multi‐Modal District Impact Fees
Alternative, Dedicated Funding for Mass Transit
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Sources of Funding for Transit
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Alternative Growth Strategies
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What’s Next
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2035 Plan Adoption Schedule
May 26th – Regional Summit – Regional Vision and Draft Plan Initiatives
Ongoing public involvement opportunitiesJuly 21st – Full Draft Plan Released with Proposed Project Lists
Continuing public involvement opportunitiesOctober 20th – MPO Plan Public Adoption Hearing
NashvilleMPO.org updated regularlyPartner sites:
CUAMPO.orgTDOT.State.TN.US
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JUNE 17 | 5:30 Reception
Livability. Sustainability. Prosperity. Diversity.
Photo Credits: Nashville MTA, TMA Group, Nashville Civic Design Center, Clarksville Area MPO, Mid Cumberland Human Resource Agency, TDOT, Area Chambers of Commerce, Local Gov’ts, FHWA, FTA, APTA,TranSystems, Parsons Brinkerhoff
