ABA ICC November 2015

American Bar AssociationNovember 2015

November 2015 © 2015 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.

Methodology and Technical Details

This is the fourth wave of research for an ongoing Ipsos survey: Current fieldwork period: November 16-18, 2015

The previous waves were conducted February 21-24 and December 2-6, 2014 and April 2-6, 2015.

The current survey interviewed a national sample of 1,003 adults The previous waves included 1,005 adults, 1,004, and 1,005 respectively. These slides also contain some data filtered on just those respondents reporting that they

know ‘A great deal’, ‘A fair amount’, or ‘ A little bit’ about the ICC at Q1 (cutting out those who say they know ‘Nothing at all’). This reduced the filtered base size to 349, and is referred to in the data as ‘Aware of ICC’ audience.

─ The first wave included 379 of these respondents─ The second wave included 338 of these respondents─ The third wave included 408 of these respondents.

Weighting then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the U.S. adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe.

Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls because they are based on samples drawn from opt-in online panels, not on random samples that mirror the population within a statistical probability ratio.

All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

2

Knowledge of International Criminal Court

3

1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

7%

8%

21%

63%

Base: All Respondents (n=1,003)

Knowledge of International Criminal Court- TREND

4

1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

4%

8%

28%

60%

7%

8%

21%

64%

2%

9%

30%

59%

7%

8%

21%

63%

Nov-15Apr-15Dec-14Feb-14

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

5Base: All Respondents (n=1,003); All at least aware of ICC (n=349)

29%55%

60%71%

24%40%

52%63%

20%33%

7%14%

9%14%

35%41%

13%20%

44%52%

64%31%

31%15%

41%19%

35%17%

36%15%

Agree Disagree Don't know

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights

and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for

mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy

We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that

support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting

international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC-TREND

6

28%35%

31%29%

60%60%64%

60%24%23%

20%24%

47%48%53%52%

21%20%20%20%

8%6%

7%7%

11%11%

9%9%

37%40%

41%35%

18%16%

14%13%

43%45%47%44%

64%59%

62%64%

29%29%27%

31%39%38%39%41%

34%36%34%35%36%35%34%36%


2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights

and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for

mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy

We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that

support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting

international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass

atrocities

All-Feb 2014All-Dec 2014

All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015


All-April 2015All-Nov 2015All-Feb 2014All-Dec 2014

All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015All-Feb 2014All-Dec 2014

All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015All-Feb 2014All-Dec 2014

All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015

Joining the International Criminal Court

7

The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC

The US should not join the ICC

Don't know

37%

19%

45%

55%

24%

21%

Aware of ICCAll

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

Base: All Respondents (n=1,003); All at least aware of ICC (n=349)

Joining the International Criminal Court - TREND

8

The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC

The US should not join the ICC

Don't know

34%

24%

42%

37%

25%

38%

37%

23%

40%

37%

19%

45%

All-Nov 2015All-April 2015All-Dec 2014All-Feb 2014

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

9

42%

56%

24%

40%

33%

50%

27%

47%

17%

26%

28%

36%

21%

29%

22%

30%

41%

19%

48%

24%

46%

21%

51%

23%

Agree Disagree Don't knowThe US should continue to dedicate

moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally

joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an

area of interest to the ICC

Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation

The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without

becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental

resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and

robustly support all of its work.

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement.

ALLAware of ICC


ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC- TREND

10

44%47%

43%42%

26%28%26%24%28%31%32%33%

22%25%24%27%

19%18%

20%17%

31%30%

31%28%

29%27%26%

21%31%

32%29%22%

37%35%37%

41%43%41%43%

48%43%41%42%

46%47%43%

46%51%


4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement.

The US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting

some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by providing

satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of interest to the ICC


The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without

becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental

resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and

robustly support all of its work.

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015


All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015


All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015


All-April 2015

All-Nov 2015

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC- TREND

11

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement (TREND: AGREE ONLY)

Feb-14

Mar-14

Apr-14

May-14

Jun-14Jul-1

4

Aug-14Se

p-14Oct-

14

Nov-14

Dec-14

Jan-15Fe

b-15

Mar-15

Apr-15

May-15

Jun-15Jul-1

5

Aug-15Se

p-15Oct-

15

Nov-15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

4447

43 42

2628

2624

2831 32 33

2225 24

27

The US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of interest to the ICC


The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and robustly support all of its work

% A

GREE

Immunity and the ICC

12

15%

35%

51%

33%

38%

30%

Aware of ICC

All

Countries who are members of an international court must still give visiting Heads of State

immunity from arrest warrants issued by the international court

An arrest warrant issued by an international court must be followed regardless of any applicable

immunity, and therefore the country should not give immunity to the visiting Head of State

Don't know

5A. The next question focuses on countries that are members of international courts such as the International Criminal Court.

Thinking about the rights often given by countries to a visiting Head of State (such as a visiting President, Prime Minister, King, etc) which of the following comes closest to your views?


Immunity and the ICC

13

5B. In 2009, the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued an arrest warrant for the President of Sudan, Omar al-Bashir for his alleged participation in genocide and other international atrocity crimes in Darfur. In June 2015, President Bashir visited South Africa for an African Union conference. The South African government – a member of the ICC– refused to arrest Bashir citing his immunity while attending an African Union conference. After the conference, President Bashir returned to Sudan.

Which of these statements come closer to your opinion?


45%

11%

44%

59%

17%

25%

Aware of ICC

All

South Africa should have arrested Bashir in accordance with the ICC arrest warrant, regardless

of any applicable immunity

South Africa was right not to arrest Bashir, as any applicable immunity for visiting Heads of State

should take precedent

Don't know

14

Ipsos Contacts

Clifford YoungPresident, US Ipsos Public Affairs 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410Washington, DC 20006Phone: +1 202.420.2016eMail: [email protected]

Julia ClarkSenior Vice President222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4919eMail: [email protected]

Elizabeth BrasharesResearch Manager222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4744eMail: [email protected]

Law

ABA ICC November 2015