ABA ICC Topline July 2016

American Bar AssociationJuly 2016

April 2016 © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.

Methodology and Technical Details

This is the sixth wave of research for an ongoing Ipsos survey: Current fieldwork period: July 11-12, 2016

The previous waves were conducted February 21-24 and December 2-6, 2014 and April 2-6, November 16-18, 2015 and April 22-25, 2016.

The current survey interviewed a national sample of 1,087 adults The previous waves included 1,005 adults, 1,004, 1,005, 1,003, and 1,006 respectively. These slides also contain some data filtered on just those respondents reporting that they

know ‘A great deal’, ‘A fair amount’, or ‘ A little bit’ about the ICC at Q1 (cutting out those who say they know ‘Nothing at all’). This reduced the filtered base size to 528, and is referred to in the data as ‘Aware of ICC’ audience.

─ The first wave included 379 of these respondents─ The second wave included 338 of these respondents─ The third wave included 408 of these respondents─ The fourth wave included 349 of these respondents─ The fifth wave included 372 of these respondents

Weighting then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the U.S. adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe.

Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls because they are based on samples drawn from opt-in online panels, not on random samples that mirror the population within a statistical probability ratio.

All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. 2

Knowledge of International Criminal Court

3

1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

10%

9%

26%

55%

Base: All Respondents (n=1,087)

Knowledge of International Criminal Court- TREND

4

1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

4%

8%

28%

60%

7%

8%

21%

64%

2%

9%

30%

59%

7%

8%

21%

63%

8%

7%

24%

61%

10%

9%

26%

55%

Jul-16 Apr-16 Nov-15 Apr-15 Dec-14 Feb-14

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

5Base: All Respondents (n=1,087); All at least aware of ICC (n=528)

35%60%

64%77%

28%43%

55%69%

22%31%

7%12%

10%13%

36%40%

14%15%

47%53%

57%27%

26%10%

36%18%

31%16%

32%15%

Agree Disagree Don't know

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights

and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for

mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy

We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that

support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting

international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC- TREND

6

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements (AGREE ONLY)

Feb-14

Apr-14

Jun-14

Aug-14

Oct-14

Dec-14

Feb-15

Apr-15

Jun-15

Aug-15

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-1620

30

40

50

60

70

80

28 35 3129

33 35

6060 64 60

68

64

47 4853 52

57 55

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court - Feb 2014

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities- Feb 2014We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international or-ganizations that support human rights and that hold individuals

% AGREE


7

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements (AGREE ONLY)

Feb-14

Apr-14

Jun-14

Aug-14

Oct-14

Dec-14

Feb-15

Apr-15

Jun-15

Aug-15

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-1610

15

20

25

30

35

40

2423

20

2426 28

21 20 20 20 2022

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy - Feb 2014

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to supporting international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities - Feb 2014

% AGREE

Joining the International Criminal Court

8

The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC

The US should not join the ICC

Don't know

44%

21%

35%

65%

18%

17%

Aware of ICCAll

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

Base: All Respondents (n=1,087); All at least aware of ICC (n=528)

Joining the International Criminal Court - TREND

9

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

101520253035404550

34 37 37 37

44 44

2425 23

19 21 21

42 38 4045

35 35

The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC The US should not join the ICC Don't know

% A

GREE

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

10

49%

63%

32%

44%

37%

53%

32%

51%

19%

21%

30%

37%

27%

29%

27%

26%

32%

15%

38%

19%

36%

18%

41%

22%

Agree Disagree Don't knowThe US should continue to dedicate

moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally

joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an

area of interest to the ICC

Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation

The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without

becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental

resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and

robustly support all of its work.

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement.

ALLAware of ICC


ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC


11

0.44

0.26

0.28

0.22

0.47

0.28

0.31

0.25

0.43

0.26

0.32

0.24

0.42

0.24

0.33

0.27

0.52

0.31

0.37

0.32

0.49

0.32

0.37

0.32

Feb-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Nov-15 Apr-16 Jul-16

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement (AGREE ONLY).

The US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting

some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by

providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of

interest to the ICC


The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without becoming a member by

making all forms of our vast governmental resources available to

support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International

Criminal Court and robustly support all of its work.


12

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement (TREND: AGREE ONLY)

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

4447

43 42

52 49

2628

2624

31

3228

31 32 33

3737

2225 24

27

32 32

The US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of interest to the ICC


The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and robustly support all of its work

% AGREE

Syria and Iraq: US Government Involvement in ICC Investigations

13

21%

48%

31%

23%

61%

16%

Aware of ICCAll

It is not the US government’s job to get involved in these matters, and that we should not do anything

further on this issue

The US government should push diplomatically and politically for the ICC to get involved in investigating

and prosecuting these crimes in Syria and Iraq

Don't know

5A. In March of this year, the U.S. House of Representatives voted unanimously that the Islamic State (ISIS/ISIL) has committed genocide against religious and ethnic minorities in Syria and Iraq. The House resolution also stated that the Islamic State has committed other atrocity crimes, namely crimes against humanity and war crimes. However, in announcing the administration's belief that genocide and other atrocity crimes are occurring in Syria and Iraq, US Secretary of State John Kerry was clear that neither a legislature nor an administration is a judge, prosecutor, or jury and that genocide and other atrocity crimes can only be legally determined by a competent court of law, such as the International Criminal Court. Which of these comes closer to your own opinion?


Syria and Iraq: US Government Involvement in ICC Investigations

14

5B. And do you personally support or oppose the U.S. government providing assistance (including financial assistance) to the International Criminal Court to conduct investigations and prosecutions of atrocity crimes committed in Syria and Iraq?


41%

24%

35%

54%

27%

20%

Aware of ICCAll

Support the US providing assistance and funding to ICC on this matter

Oppose the US providing assistance and funding to ICC on this matter

Don’t know

15

Ipsos Contacts

Clifford YoungPresident, US Ipsos Public Affairs 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410Washington, DC 20006Phone: +1 202.420.2016eMail: [email protected]

Julia ClarkSenior Vice President222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4919eMail: [email protected]

Elizabeth BrasharesAccount Manager222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4744eMail: [email protected]

Law

ABA ICC Topline July 2016