37
Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 5 February 2015

Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 5 February 2015

Page 2: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Highlights for the period Kari Inkinen

Page 3: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Sponda’s Q4 2014

in brief

• Positive development of the

occupancy rate in the last

quarter.

• Cash flow was strong despite

the sales. - The Board’s proposal for dividend is

EUR 0.19/share.

• Property development projects

progressed as planned. - Projects will add to 2015 cash flow.

• Portfolio risk was reduced

through sales. - Upside from the location of the properties

and modernization investments.

3

3

Page 4: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Sponda’s Q4 2014

in brief

• Cash flow from operations of

Certeum was strong, EUR 4.5

million before the non-recurring

start-up costs. - The negative result came from fair

valuation of properties and financing

instruments.

• Properties in Russia are fully let

apart from Ducat II. - Share of the Russian portfolio is only 7%

of the total investment portfolio.

- Macro development in Russia impacted

both on valuation and rental levels.

4

4

Page 5: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Development and modernization investments For the two greenfield projects Sponda expects EUR 10 million development gain in total.

5

Leasable

area

Estimated

completion

Total

investment M€

Pre-let %

Estimated

market rent Eur/m²/month

Greenfield developments

Ilmala office property, Helsinki 18,500

End of

2015 57.0 97 22-24

Lassila office property, Helsinki 4,600 June 2015 10.6 50 22-24

Modernization investments

Porkkalankatu, Helsinki 13,500 April 2015 6.7 87 23-25

Keskuskatu 1b, Helsinki 2,048

September

2015 6.4 62 34-36

Total 38,648 80.7

Page 6: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Sponda Q4 2014: Performance highlights

10-12/14 Change,

% 10-12/13 1-12/14 Change

%

1-12/13

Total revenue, M€ 57.3 (12.2) 65.3 246.7 (6.7) 264.3

Net Operating Income, M€ 40.4 (14.8) 47.4 176.0 (7.8) 190.9

Operating profit, M€ 32.9 (11.5) 29.5 151.7 (0.8) 153.0

Cash flow from

operations/share, €

0.09 (10.0) 0.10 0.37 (7.5) 0.40

Earnings/share, € 0.04 (73.3) 0.15 0.24 (29.4) 0.34

NAV/share, € 4.65 0.2 4.64

EPRA NAV/share, € 5.45 3.0 5.29

Economic occupancy rate, % 87.0 (1.0) 87.9

Dividend/share*) 0.19*) 5.6 0.18

6 *) Board proposal

Page 7: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

2,73

3,88

3,12

3,60

3,42

3,62

0,12

0,15 0,16

0,17 0,18

0,19

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

3,00

3,50

4,00

4,50

0,00

0,05

0,10

0,15

0,20

0,25

0,30

0,35

0,40

0,45

0,50

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Share price at the endof the year

Dividend per share

Dividend

7 *) Board proposal

*)

Page 8: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Risk allocation of Sponda’s portfolio

45%

21%

Espoo total 7.0%

Rest of HMA 14%

Vantaa total 0.5%

Total of the office and shopping centres properties portfolio, EUR 2.6 billion (excl. Russia, Property Development,

Logistics)

8

Oulu 3.0%

Tampere 9.5%

Page 9: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Sponda’s priorities in 2014

Occupancy rate

development

Our target was to keep occupancy rate at the end-of-2013 level. The end-of-2014 occupancy rate was 87.0% which is slightly below the end-of-2013 figure.

Implementing our new strategy

We have disposed non-core assets for EUR 237.2 million and our share of the real estate funds for EUR 77.2 million. One larger office property acquired in Tampere.

Stable cash flow from operations

per share

We aim to maintain our ability to pay stable dividend.

Increased focus in property

development

During 2014, we started four projects: Ilmala and Lassila offices and Ruoholahti and Keskuskatu renovations.

9

Page 10: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Environmental responsibility 2014

Target Result

Energy consumption declines in properties located in Finland (energy consumption

in total).

Total energy

consumption declined

by 1.8%.

Comparable water consumption decreases in properties in Finland. Water consumption

declined by 0.6%.

Recycling of waste stays at the level of 87% (as was in 2013) of all waste. Recycling level is now

96%.

Environmental partnership program expanded from last year to 22 (in 2013, Sponda

had 20 partners).

22 partners currently in

the program.

Environmental certificates obtained for possible new properties and for all major

maintenance investments.

Certificates obtained or

in the process.

10

Page 11: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Sponda’s priorities in 2015

Occupancy rate

development

Our target is to keep occupancy rate at the end-of-2014 level at minimum.

Implementing our strategy

We will continue the non-core property disposals.

Stable cash flow from

operations per share

We aim to maintain our ability to pay stable dividend.

Focus in property

development

During 2015, four large property development projects will be completed. Our target is to start at least one large development project in 2015.

11

Page 12: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Major Trends at the End of 2014 Kari Inkinen

Page 13: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Finnish Market

• According to the Ministry of

Finance, the GDP growth for

2015 is estimated to be 0.9%. - In 2014, the GDP growth is estimated to

be 0.1% due to increase in exports.

• Property transaction volume

increased to EUR 4.2 billion.

International investors

accounted for 35% of all deals

executed in the market.

13 Sources: Catella, Mof F

5,3 %

1,0 %

-8,2 %

3,3 % 2,8 %

-1,5 % -1,2 %

0,1 %

0,9 % 1,3 %

-9,0 %

-7,0 %

-5,0 %

-3,0 %

-1,0 %

1,0 %

3,0 %

5,0 %

7,0 %

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F

GDP - Finland (percentage change)

Page 14: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Office Sector – Finnish Market and

Sponda

Sponda Office

Segment

performance

Occupancy rate was

88.5%¹)

(Q4 2013 : 90.1%).

Like-for-like rents were

down by 3.0%. The

decline was mainly

due to increased

vacancy during the

period.

14 ¹) The reporting of office and retail space in 10 properties were divided into appropriate segments

at the beginning of 2014.

• HMA office market vacancy has

increased from 12.4% to 12.5%.

• Yields in the Helsinki CBD market

continued to compress.

• Office market is very much dependent

on location.

- HMA, CBD and Ruoholahti are still the

desired areas for tenants. Ilmala/Pasila

areas are trending positively.

• The trend in demand is for smaller

space and more flexible leases.

• City of Tampere has limited new

supply, demand for office space

continues to be strong.

Page 15: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Retail Sector – Market and Sponda

Sponda Shopping

Centres

performance

Occupancy rate

was 91.2%¹)

(Q4 2013: 89.0%).

Like-for-like rents were

up by 3.2%. The

improvement was mainly

due to higher occupancy

rate in the segment.

• Pop-up shops were the trend during

Christmas time.

• City centers are preferred locations

for the retailers.

• Rent levels are fairly stable but

especially the upper quartile rents

have come down approx. 20%.

• Consumer confidence in Finland is

still low.

¹) The reporting of office and retail space in 10 properties were divided into appropriate segments

at the beginning of 2014. 15

Page 16: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Logistics Sector – Market and Sponda

Sponda Logistics

Segment

performance

Occupancy rate

was 64.9%

(Q4 2013: 75.2%) ¹).

Like-for-like rents were

down by 11.3% due to

higher vacancy.

¹) Not a l-f-l number as Sponda sold logistics assets for EUR 216.7 million in September 2014.

• With some operators, Finnish

logistics space competes

internationally (for ex. Germany and

Holland).

• The macro development in Russia

has an effect on the logistics space

demand.

• Retail sector in Finland is not

creating similar demand for

warehouses like in the continental

Europe.

16

Page 17: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Russia – Market and Sponda

Russia

Occupancy was 90.4%

(Q4 2013: 96.0%).

Like-for-like rents were

down by 10.7% due to

higher vacancy in the

Ducat II –property and

increased maintenance

costs.

17

• The GDP growth in 2015 will be negative. - The World Bank estimate is -2.9%

• Transaction volume was USD 3.5 billion in 2014

(USD 7 billion in 2013).

• The top rents for prime offices have declined due

to weak demand.

- A-class offices 450-650 (from 750-650) USD/m²/yr.

- B-class offices 275-450 (from 450-400) USD/m²/yr.

7%

Page 18: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Financials Erik Hjelt

Page 19: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

19

M€ 10-12/2014 10-12/2013 1-12/2014 1-12/2013

Total revenue 57.3 65.3 246.7 264.3

Expenses (16.9) (18.0) (70.6) (73.4)

Net operating income 40.4 47.4 176.0 190.9

Profit on sale of inv. properties 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.8

Valuation gain / loss 1.6 (12.7) (0.2) (14.2)

Profit on sale of trading properties 0.1 0.0 2.0 0.0

SGA expenses (5.6) (6.0) (22.1) (23.2)

Share of profit from associated companies (3.5) 0.0 (3.5) 0.0

Other operating income/expenses (0.2) 0.2 (1.2) (1.4)

Operating profit 32.9 29.5 151.7 153.0

Financial income and expenses (11.7) (15.9) (55.9) (59.8)

Profit before taxes 21.3 13.6 95.7 93.2

Taxes from previous and current fin. years (0.1) (1.0) (1.8) (3.8)

Deferred taxes (7.9) (4.9) (20.4) (22.5)

Change of tax base of deferred taxes 0.0 36.3 0.0 36.3

Profit for the period 13.3 44.0 73.6 103.1

Profit & loss statement

Page 20: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

20

M€ 10-12/2014 10-12/2013 1-12/2014 1-12/2013

Changes in yield requirements (Finland) 12.4 0.7 15.7 (5.0)

Changes in yield requirements (Russia) (10.0) 0.0 (10.0) 0.0

Profit/loss from property development projects 3.5 0.0 5.5 2.2

Modernization investments (14.3) (7.8) (42.0) (22.6)

Change in market rents and maintenance costs

(Finland)

13.8 5.9 40.3 22.1

Change in market rents and maintenance costs

(Russia)

(4.2) (6.2) (19.3) (7.1)

Change in exchange rates 0.2 (2.7) 5.9 (5.7)

Investment properties, total 1.5 (10.1) (3.9) (16.1)

Real estate funds 0.1 (5.2) (1.8) (8.8)

Realised gains/losses in re funds 0.0 2.6 5.5 10.7

Group, total 1.6 (12.7) (0.2) (14.2)

Valuation gains/losses

Page 21: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

21

Balance sheet

M€ 31.12.2014 31.12.2013

ASSETS

Investment properties 3,142.1 3,253.3

Other non-current assets 250.9 158.1

Fixed assets & other non-current assets, total 3,393.0 3,411.4

Current assets, total 56.2 60.3

Assets, total 3,449.2 3,471.7

SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND LIABILITIES

Shareholders’ equity, total 1,411.5 1,409.3

Non-current liabilities, total 1,413.6 1,714.8

Current liabilities, total 624.1 347.6

Shareholders’ equity and liabilities, total 3,449.2 3,471.7

Page 22: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

22

Financing

Q4/2014 Q3/2014 Q2/2014 Q1/2014 Q4/2013

Equity ratio, % 41 40 40 40 41

Average interest rate, % 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.2

Hedging, % 76 76 79 78 79

Average loan maturity, yrs 2.1 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.5

Average fixed interest rate period, yrs 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3

Interest cover ratio 3.3x 3.3x 3.2x 3.1x 3.1x

Loan to Value, % 52 55 53 54 53

Covenants at:

Equity ratio, 28%

(long-term ER target: 40%

ICR 1.75x

Page 23: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Loan maturities 31 December 2014

• Interest-bearing debt EUR 1,731.2 million

• Unused financing limits EUR 460 million

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

M€

Bank loans

Syndicated loan limits

Syndicated loans

Bonds

Commercial papers

23

Page 24: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Business Update Kari Inkinen

Page 25: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Like-for-like development in Q4 2014 Like-for-like net rental growth has been calculated from a portfolio that Sponda has held for 2 years excluding acquisitions, disposals

and property development.

25

Like-for-like net rental growth, %

Like-for-like net rental growth, M€

-3,4

0,7

-1,0 -0,9 0,5

0,3

0,0 -1,2

-2,9

1,0

-1,0

-2,2

-4,0

-3,5

-3,0

-2,5

-2,0

-1,5

-1,0

-0,5

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

Office Retail Logistics Russia

Change in turnover Change in maintenance Net change

-2,6 %

1,7 %

-6,2 %

-3,7 %

1,3 % 2,9 %

-0,2 %

-21,1 %

-3,0 %

3,2 %

-11,3 % -10,7 %

-25,0 %

-20,0 %

-15,0 %

-10,0 %

-5,0 %

0,0 %

5,0 %

Office Retail Logistics Russia

Change in turnover Change in maintenance Net change

Page 26: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Economic vacancy rate 2009 –2014

26 *) The reporting of office and retail space in 10 properties were divided into appropriate segments.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

Q4/2009 Q4/2010 Q4/2011 Q4/12 Q4/13 Q4/14

Office 11.5 %*)

Shopping Centres 8.8 %

Logistics 35.1 %

Russia 9.6 %

Total property portfolio 13.0 %

HMA market office vacancy 12.5 %

Page 27: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Lease agreement composition Q4 2014

Lease maturity profile,

% of rental income

Average lease maturity

Note 1: Based on rental income

Tenant breakdown by sector¹

27

0,0 2,0 4,0 6,0 8,0

Total

Russia

Logistics

Shopping centres

Office

Q4 2014

Q4 2013

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Page 28: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Lease agreements in Q4 2014

Pcs M² €/m²/month

(avg)*

New agreements that came into force

during the period

76

28 103

11.30

Agreements that ended during the period 82 11 829 25.00

Agreements that were extended during

the period

43 16 673 16.20

*) Agreements that came into force and ended do not necessarily correlate with same sector or space.

• All lease agreements in Finland are linked to CPI.

• Ten largest tenants account for 30 % of rental income.

28

Page 29: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Investment portfolio development

M€ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Property development

investments

30.5 58.5 47.5 14.0 22.0

Maintenance investments/

Tenant improvements

29.9 50.5 28.4 22.6 42.0

Acquisitions 0.8 150.4 53.1 3.1 65.0

Disposals 57.0 14.1 61.8 33.1 237.2

• We are creating value by property development and active portfolio

management.

• Our aim is to sell non-core assets classified as such either by

location or development potential.

29

Page 30: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Prospects and financial targets

Net operating income

Sponda estimates that the net operating income for 2015 will amount to EUR

158–168 million. The estimate is based on the company’s view of property sales to

be completed and the development of rental operations during the year.

EPRA Earnings

Sponda estimates that company adjusted EPRA Earnings in 2015 will amount to

EUR 95–105 million. This outlook is based on the development of net operating

income and the company’s estimate of the development of financial expenses.

Financial targets

Long-term equity ratio target is 40 %.

Dividend policy is to pay approx. 50 % of the operational cash earnings per share, taking into account of the economic situation and company’s development needs.

30

Page 31: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Pia Arrhenius

Senior Vice President, Corporate

Planning and IR

Tel: +358-20-431 3454

Page 32: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Strategy

Main goals of Sponda’s strategy are to simplify the business as a

whole, to have more focused property portfolio, and to grow profitably.

• To achieve the strategic goals, Sponda is:

- Selling the logistics portfolio;

- Selling the Russian portfolio;

- Selling the properties in Turku; and

- Investing in prime properties in

Helsinki and Tampere.

32

Page 33: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Largest Shareholders 31 December 2014

Major shareholders No. of shares Holding %

1. Oy PALSK Ab 42,163,745 14.89

2. Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company 29,083,070 10.27

3. HC Fastigheter Holding Oy Ab 28,484,310 10.06

4. The State Pension Fund 2,550,000 0.90

5. Folketrygdfondet 2,050,733 0.72

6. Odin Eiendom 901,243 0.32

7. Investment Fund Visio Allocator 800,000 0.28

8. Norvestia Plc 728,517 0.26

9. Odin Eiendom I 590,495 0.21

10. Livränteanstalten Hereditas 540,000 0.19

Nominee-registered shareholders 51.3% of the total

33

Page 34: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Overview of the current reporting segments

Shopping Centres

Logistics

Property

Development

Russia

Office

Real Estate Funds

% of portfolio4

1 853.5 M€

726.0 M€

205.1 M€

133.1 M€

224.4 M€

18.6 M€

(Investments)

6.3%

5.7%

8.3%

n/m

10.2%

Fair value1 Yield requirement2

7%

4%

23%

7%

59%

Notes: 1) Fair value of investment properties as at 31 December 2014.

2) Average valuation yield requirement as at 31 December 2014.

3) Net initial yield of the segment as at 31 December 2014.

4) Share of total fair value of properties as 31 December 2014 .

5.4%

4.7%

4.1%

n/m

6.0%

Net initial yield3

34

Page 35: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

Vacancy 10.5%

Rental level avg 144-180/m²/yr

Yield avg 7.25-8.25%

Vacancy 9.4%

Rental levels 168-216€/m²/yr

Yield avg 6.75-8%

Vacancy 8.6%

Rental levels 156-192/m²/yr

Yield avg 7.25-8.25% Vacancy avg 12.5%

Rental levels 180-378/m²/yr

Yield 5.3-10%

Vacancy avg 16%

Rental levels $450-750/m²/yr

Yield 9-11%

Office market statistics and Sponda’s

holdings Source: Catella Property, Sponda

3%

<1%

10%

80%

<1% 6% 35

Page 36: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

NAV/share and EPRA NAV/share

36

3,09

2,48

3,56

3,88 4,01 4,01

2,82

3,12 3,09 2,95

3,19

3,60 3,68 3,62

3,82

3,42 3,45

3,90

3,58

4,08

3,46 3,55

3,63

3,86 3,82 3,92 3,93

4,06 4,17

4,03

4,12 4,45 4,38 4,43

4,50 4,64

4,49 4,56

4,63 4,65

4,10 4,19

4,27

4,59 4,56 4,66 4,68

4,83 4,77 4,82 4,88 4,84

5,07 5,12 5,22

5,29 5,18

5,31 5,39 5,45

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

5

5,5

6

Closing price

NAV

EPRANAV

Page 37: Sponda Financial Results Year 2014 presentation 050215

EPRA NAV calculation 5.45 €/share

*) Deferred tax relating to fair valuation of property and interest rate derivatives 37

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

1450

1500

1550

1600

Equityattributable to

equity holders ofparent company

Other equityreserve

Fair value offinancial

instruments

Goodwill relatingto deferred tax

liability onproperties

Deferred taxfrom investment

properties*)

Deferred taxfrom shares in

associatedcompanies*)

Capitalizedborrowing cost

Total