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Corporate Update May 2016

Ami corporate update may 2016

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Page 1: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Corporate Update May 2016

Page 2: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Forward-Looking Statements

2

Cautionary Statement This presentation contains certain information that constitutes “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” as defined under Canadian and U.S. securities laws. All statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. The words “expect”, “believe”, “anticipate”, “contemplate”, “may”, “could”, “will”, “intend”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “target”, “budget”, “schedule” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this presentation include, without limitation, information as to our strategy, projected gold production from the Young-Davidson, Hemlo – Williams, Eagle River, Fosterville and Stawell mines, which are not owned by the Company, project timelines, the planned 2% net smelter return royalty on future production from the Kemess Underground mine, projected exploration results, resource and reserve estimates, projected production and costs of the Kemess Underground mine, other statements that express our expectations or estimates of future performance, value growth, value creation and shareholder returns, the success of exploration activities, mineral inventory including the Company’s ability to delineate additional resources and reserves as a result of such programs, mineral reserves and mineral resources and anticipated grades, exploration expenditures, costs and timing of any future development, costs and timing of future exploration and the presence of and continuity of metals at Kemess East at modeled grades.

Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of factors and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by management at the time of making such statements, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies. Known and unknown factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Such factors and assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to: changes to current estimates of mineral reserves and resources; fluctuations in the price of gold and copper; changes in foreign exchange rates (particularly the Canadian dollar and U.S. dollar); performance of the Young-Davidson, Hemlo – Williams, Eagle River, Fosterville and Stawell mines, which may impact the future cash flows associated with the Company’s royalty holdings; the impact of inflation; employee relations; litigation; uncertainty with the Company’s ability to secure capital to execute its business plans; the speculative nature of mineral exploration and development, including the risks of obtaining necessary licenses, permits, authorizations and/or approvals from the appropriate regulatory authorities for the Kemess Underground project; contests over title to properties; changes in national and local government legislation in Canada and other jurisdictions in which the Company does or may carry on business in the future; risk of loss due to sabotage and civil disturbances; the impact of global liquidity and credit availability and the values of assets and liabilities based on projected future cash flows; as well as business opportunities that may be pursued by the Company.

Actual results and developments are likely to differ, and may differ materially, from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, including those noted elsewhere in this document, which may prove to be incorrect. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. All of the forward-looking statements made in this presentation are qualified by these cautionary statements. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements or information will prove to be accurate, accordingly, investors should not place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements or information contained herein. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.

Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Measured, Indicated and Inferred Resources This presentation uses the terms "measured", "indicated" and "inferred” resources. We advise investors that while those terms are recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize them. “Inferred resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an inferred resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of inferred mineral resources may not form the basis of feasibility or other economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of measured or indicated mineral resources will ever be converted into mineral reserves. United States investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource exists, or is economically or legally mineable.

Qualified Person as Defined by National Instrument 43-101 John Fitzgerald, Chief Operating Officer for AuRico Metals Inc. has reviewed and approved the scientific and technical information contained within this presentation. Mr. Fitzgerald is a “Qualified Person” as defined by National Instrument 43-101.

Page 3: Ami corporate update   may 2016

3.2 4.0 3.2

Royalty Portfolio Kemess Gold – Copper Project

Young-Davidson ramp-up progressing well

Fosterville reserves 34%

Hemlo reserves 12%

Eagle River reserves 13%

Stawell resources 14%

5.7 to 6.1Koz in 2016 attributable production (per guidance)

… and gold is 20%+ YTD

Positive feasibility update:

Resource update (Moz AuE1):

Delineation of high grade core at Kemess East (upside)

Environmental Assessment Application has been submitted to the BC EAO

AMI: Recent Developments

3

After-tax NPV (5%) C$289M

IRR of 12.6%

P&P M&I Inferred

Page 4: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Capital Structure

TSX Ticker Symbol AMI

Share Price (as of May 2, 2016) C$0.92

Shares Outstanding 133M

Cash (as of Mar. 31, 2016)1 C$11M

Market Capitalization C$122M

Management Team

Chris Richter President & CEO

John Fitzgerald Chief Operating Officer

Chris Rockingham Vice President, Development

David Flahr Director, Finance

Harold Bent Director, Environment

Board of Directors

Richard Colterjohn Scott Perry

John McCluskey Anne Day

Anthony Garson Janice Stairs

Joseph Spiteri Chris Richter

Major Shareholders2

Alamos Gold 11%

Van Eck Associates 10%

Donald Smith & Company 5%

AMI Management & Directors 3%

BlackRock 2%

4

Market Overview

Analyst Coverage & Target Price

National Bank (Adam Melnyk) C$1.20

Macquarie (Michael Siperco) C$1.40

Scotia Capital C$1.30

Mackie Research (Barry Allan) C$1.50

Page 5: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Property Locations

5

All properties located in stable, desirable mining jurisdictions

Development Property

CANADA

AUSTRALIA

KEMESS (100%) British Columbia, Canada

YOUNG-DAVIDSON (1.5% NSR) Ontario, Canada STAWELL (1% NSR)

Victoria, Australia

FOSTERVILLE (2% NSR) Victoria, Australia

Royalty

LEVIATHAN (1% NSR) Victoria, Australia

KEMESS UG (Potential Royalty or Stream) British Columbia, Canada

HEMLO – WILLIAMS (0.25% NSR) Ontario, Canada

HEMLO – DAVID BELL (1.5% NSR) Ontario, Canada

EAGLE RIVER (0.5% NSR) Ontario, Canada

Actively pursuing accretive opportunities to grow royalty portfolio

Producing Royalty

Page 6: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Risk – Reward

Source: S&P Capital IQ Precious Metal Royalty companies include: FNV, OR (since inception), RGLD, SLW, and SSL Gold/Copper Developers include: Augusta, CUU, GUY, Lumina, NCU, NGQ, R, RMC (since inception), RMX, TXG, WRN 6

Goal is to Deliver Superior Shareholder Returns in Any Market

“Bull Market” “Bear Market”

53%

-7%

148%

-25% -40%

0%

40%

80%

120%

160%

2009 - 2011 2011 - 2015

Precious Metal Royalty Companies Gold/Copper Developers

Annualized Returns Through Bull and Bear Markets

"Bear Markets always turn into Bull Markets and you need to be positioned for when they turn.“ – Ross Beaty

Page 7: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Royalty Portfolio Overview

7

Royalty Mineral Inventory (years)1

Royalty EBITDA (C$ M) at Various Gold Prices2

Royalty Value Drivers AuRico

Royalties

Asset Stage

Geographic Location

Core Asset of Operator

High-Quality Operator

Precious Metals

Mine Life

Cost Profile

Scale of Production

Exploration Upside US$

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

$1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600

Kemess UG (dev't stage) Stawell Eagle River Hemlo Fosterville YD

0 5 10 15 20 25

Kemess East(3)

Kemess UG(3)

Stawell

Eagle River

Hemlo

Fosterville

YD

Royalty Mineral Inventory (years)

P&P

M&I

Inferred

Page 8: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Kemess (100% Owned) Overview

8

End Notes required: 1) Production profile for Kemess

Underground Reserves is from the 2012 Feasibility study.

Past Present Future

Kemess South (Production: 1998 – 2011)

C$1 Billion of Infrastructure on Care and Maintenance

Kemess Underground (KUG) & Kemess East (KE)

3Moz of Gold

Produced (at 0.6 g/t)

750Mlbs of Copper Produced (at 0.2%)

KUG Feasibility Update

KE Resource Update

Environmental Application Submission

30,000m drill campaign in 2015 included intersection of 772m at 0.465g/t Au and 0.365% Cu (0.72% CuE)1

(4.6Moz AuE1)

3,215

4,028

3,197

KUG + KE: AuE Ounces ('000)

P&P Indicated Inferred

Page 9: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Kemess UG – Feasibility Study Update

9

• Meaningful production: 238Koz Gold Equivalent (AuE) annually for first 5 years, 207Koz AuE over life of mine (LOM) (12 years)1

• Low cost: All-in Sustaining Costs2 per AuE of US$682/oz for first 5 years, US$718/oz LOM

• Solid economics: • After-tax NPV (5%) of C$289M and IRR of 12.6% assuming $1,250/oz Au, $2.50/lb

Cu, and a C$/US$ of 0.75 • After-tax NPV (5%) becomes C$421M and IRR becomes 15.4% at $3/lb Cu

• Pre-commercial production capital3 of C$603M (US$452M) • Capital reduction opportunity exists by leasing all or a portion of the C$86M in

underground mobile equipment purchases

• Low risk: Project infrastructure is already in place (processing facility, grid power, access road, camp, admin and maintenance facilities, etc.)

• Significant upside: Large (246Mt) of M&I resource (including 107Mt of reserves) situated vertical to the extraction level (of the planned KUG panel cave)

• Potential further upside from Kemess East (including high grade core) – which remains open in several directions

• Location: One of the best mining jurisdictions: British Columbia, Canada

• Advanced: Entering 180-day Environmental Assessment review period in early May

Page 10: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Kemess: Production and Costs

10

Low Cost Mining

Total LOM cash costs of US$639 and AISC of US$718 per AuE

AISC of US$682/oz over first 5 years

Caving initiated in the highest value ore

Low ‘break-even’ in early years allows for rapid debt repayment

Payback period of 3.9 years at base case assumptions

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

-1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Annual Gold Equivalent Production vs. USD AISC

Gold Equivalent Production AISC(USD)

Page 11: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Kemess: Initial Capital

11

Kemess Advantages

C$603M (US$452M) in pre-commercial production capex

“Low risk” capex given infrastructure in place; Proven logistics

87% of capital expenditures are C$ denominated

Capex is heavily weighted to final 2 years prior to commercial prod’n

Opportunity to reduce capex through equipment leasing (C$86M)

Project financing opportunity (marketable clean concentrate)

Page 12: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Reserves and Resources (all categories) of 10.9Moz AuE Property-Wide

Kemess East – High Grade Discovery

12

~51Mt in high grade core of Kemess East with Cu grade 69% higher and Au grade 23% higher than KUG Reserves

K UG K East

K South

Page 13: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Kemess Alternatives

Kemess Advantages

Attractive economics

“2/3rds built” (~C$1B of infrastructure)

“Low risk” capex (mostly UG dev’t)

Proven (‘98 – ’11)

Advanced stage

~55/45 Au/Cu split

BC government very supportive

Fully unencumbered

Clean concentrate

13

Smelter (offtake-linked) Financing

Joint Venture / Earn-in

Project Financing

Royalty / Stream Private Equity

Page 14: Ami corporate update   may 2016

0.75

0.08

0.97

0.37

1.51

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

Royalties Cash Kemess CorporateOutflow

Share Price

Net Asset Value per Share

14

Significant Valuation Opportunity driven by:

1. Royalty multiple expansion / accretive deals

2. Recognition of Kemess value / Kemess Advancement

3. Recognition of Kemess (Embedded) Royalty Opportunity

(C$)

Page 15: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Kemess – Embedded Royalty Value

15

ILLUSTRATIVE NSR (2%)

Assumptions

Gold Price $1,250 per ounce

Copper Price $2.50 per pound

Silver Price $16 per ounce

Foreign Exchange 0.75 USD per CAD

Up to $9M in Annual Cash Flow (KUG Only1)

$45M NAV (KUG Reserves Only1)

Kemess is 100% owned and 100% unencumbered (no royalties or streams)

Presents material “organic” royalty-growth opportunity

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

In-Situ Metal Value (2%)

(C$ ‘000)

Reserves M&I Inferred

KE

KUG

Page 16: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Undervalued…

16

Select Developer “Peer” Valuations (C$ M)

P/NAV vs. Royalty Companies

Source: Peers per CIBC (April 18, 2016) – Analyst consensus

2.3 x

1.4 x 1.4 x 1.3 x 1.3 x 1.0 x

1.4 x

0.9 x 0.6 x

0.0 x

0.5 x

1.0 x

1.5 x

2.0 x

2.5 x

Franco-Nevada Royal Gold Sandstorm Gold Silver Wheaton Osisko Royalties Altius Minerals Average AMI (RoyaltiesOnly)

AMI (Consensus)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

Seabridge Lundin Gold Belo Sun Kaminak Polymet Continental Dalradian Sabina NGEx Victoria Exeter Lydian

Page 17: Ami corporate update   may 2016

… With Excellent Leverage to Gold

17 Source: NBF Estimates (February 19, 2016); NAVPS Leverage shown for a 10% change in Au price

P/NAVPS NAVPS Leverage to Au

Undervalued… with excellent leverage to gold

Page 18: Ami corporate update   may 2016

18

APPENDIX

Page 19: Ami corporate update   may 2016

19

Young-Davidson Royalty

Ramping-Up to be One of the Largest Gold Mines in Canada

Overview

Royalty 1.5% NSR

Location Ontario, Canada

Operator Alamos Gold

Asset Overview Underground mine

2016E Production 170-180 Koz

Mine Life 17+ years

Resource P&P: 3,823Koz M&I: 1,499Koz Inferred: 321Koz

20

17

14 13 13

10 9

7

5 5

Det

ou

r

You

ng-

Dav

idso

n

Mac

assa

Ph

oen

ix

Can

adia

nM

alar

tic

Cas

aB

erar

di

New

Aft

on

Ho

lt-

Ho

llaw

ay

Seab

ee

Tim

min

s-B

ell

Co

mp

lex

Canadian Gold Mines - Reserve Life (years)1

Page 20: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Fosterville Royalty

Overview

Royalty 2% NSR

Location Victoria, Australia

Operator Newmarket Gold

Asset Overview Underground mine

2016E Production 110-120Koz

Reserves & Resources

P&P: 388Koz M&I: 1,878Koz Inferred: 665Koz

20

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Q1

20

12

Q2

20

12

Q3

20

12

Q4

20

12

Q1

20

13

Q2

20

13

Q3

20

13

Q4

20

13

Q1

20

14

Q2

20

14

Q3

20

14

Q4

20

14

Q1

20

15

Q2

20

15

Q3

20

15

Q4

20

15

Newmarket Gold’s Flagship Mine

2015 was 3rd consecutive year of record production

Significant exploration success in 2015 (e.g. Eagle Fault)

Significant increase in 2015 reserves and reserve grade

Record Annual Gold Production up 17% in 2015 to 123,095 ozs

Gold Ounces Produced (‘12 – ’15)

Page 21: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Hemlo – Williams Royalty

Overview

Royalty 0.25% NSR

Location Ontario, Canada

Operator Barrick Gold

Asset Overview Underground and Open Pit mine

2016E Production1 200 – 220Koz

Reserves & Resources

P&P: 917Koz M&I: 1,451Koz Inferred: 306Koz

21

Q4/15 production of 74Koz at Hemlo

Hemlo in operation since 1985 and has produced over 24Moz

Strong history of reserve replacement

Exploration ongoing (promising results outlined in 2015)

Recent Production History

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 22: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Eagle River Royalty

Overview

Royalty 0.5% NSR

Location Ontario, Canada

Operator Wesdome Gold Mines

Asset Overview Underground

2016E Production 43 – 47Koz

Reserves & Resources

P&P: 300Koz Inferred: 170Koz

22

2015 production of 41Koz (at 7.8g/t)

Continuous production since 1995 (over 1Moz produced)

Long history of reserve replacement

Significant upside from continued exploration of identified ore zones including 300 zone

Recent Production History

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 23: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Other Royalties

23

Kemess (Potential)

David Bell (1.5% NSR)

Stawell (1% NSR)

Leviathan (1% NSR)

Page 24: Ami corporate update   may 2016

24

2016 Outlook

Royalty revenue: US$6.6M – US$7.1M

After-tax: US$5.7M – US$6.1M

Assumes gold price of US$1,150/oz; Every $50/oz change in gold price has US$0.3M impact on revenue

G&A: ~US$2.5M (excluding stock based compensation)

Kemess Care and Maintenance: ~US$4.5M

Targeting a reduction of annualized C&M to US$3M or below by year-end

Kemess project expenditures: US$1.5M – US$2.5M

KUG FS update, KE resource update, EA, permitting, and First Nations activities

Kemess East exploration: US$1.7M

Expect to be FCF positive in 2017 following completion of this year’s investments and with cost cutting measures being pursued at Kemess

Page 25: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Kemess: Low Capital Intensity

25

• Potential to add additional low-cost ounces at KUG and Kemess East

Source: Canaccord Genuity (March 23, 2016).

Page 26: Ami corporate update   may 2016

26

Mineral Reserve Estimates - Gold

Category Tonnes (000's) Grade (g/t) Ounces (000's)

Kemess Underground

Proven - - -

Probable 107,381 0.54 1,868

Total Kemess Underground P&P 107,381 0.54 1,868

Mineral Resource Estimates - Gold

Category Tonnes (000's) Grade (g/t) Ounces (000's)

Kemess Underground

Measured - - -

Indicated 139,019 0.33 1,460

Total Kemess Underground M&I 139,019 0.33 1,460

Inferred 21,600 0.40 277

Kemess East

Measured - - -

Indicated 39,200 0.50 627

Total Kemess East M&I 39,200 0.50 627

Inferred 109,600 0.38 1,331

Mineral Reserve and Resource Estimates – Copper and Silver

Grade Contained Metal

Category Tonnes (000’s) Ag (g/t) Cu (%) Ag (000’s) oz Cu (000’s) lbs

Kemess Underground

Probable Reserves 107,381 2.0 0.27 6,878 629,595

Indicated Resources 139,019 1.6 0.18 6,988 565,705

Inferred Resources 21,600 1.7 0.22 1,179 104,700

Kemess East Indicated Resources 39,200 2.0 0.40 2,512 344,000

Inferred Resources 109,600 2.0 0.37 6,994 888,000

Kemess Reserves & Resources

Page 27: Ami corporate update   may 2016

Endnotes

27

Slide 3 – AMI Recent Developments – 1) AuE calculated on basis of $1,250/oz Au and $2.50/lb Cu Slide 4 - Market Overview

1) Converted to C$ at 0.78:1; Adjusted for C$2M in CDE financing that closed on April 14 2) Per Scotia, Sedi, and company filings

Slide 7 - Royalty Portfolio Overview: 1) Reserves and resources per most recent resource updates from asset owners; Assumes annual production levels for YD, Fosterville,

Hemlo, Eagle River, Kemess UG and East, and Stawell of 200Koz, 115Koz, 200Koz, 50Koz, 140Koz, and 30Koz respectively and recoveries of 90%, 88%, 95%, 95%, 90%, and 90% respectively

2) Annual production assumptions per mid-point of guidance; For Kemess UG, the copper price is being adjusted up/down by the same percentage, i.e. the parallel copper price assumptions for the gold price range of $1,100 - $1,600/oz is $2.54, $2.77, $3.00, $3.23, $3.46, $3.69

Slide 8 - Kemess Overview: AuE ounces calculated on the basis of $1,250/oz Au and $2.50/lb Cu Slide 9 – Kemess Feasibility Study Update

1) All figures sourced from press release dated March 23, 2016 entitled “AuRico Metals Announces Positive Feasibility Study Update for the Kemess Underground Gold – Copper Project” 2) All-in sustaining costs (“AISC”) is a non-GAAP measures that does not have a standardized meaning 3) Pre-commercial production capital represents total capital expenditures required to achieve commercial production including capitalized pre-commercial operating costs less revenue from pre-commercial production (at pricing used in Feasibility Study)(See note 1)

Slide 12 (Kemess East): 1) AuE calculation assumes Au price of $1,250/oz and Cu price of $2.50/oz

Slide 15 – Kemess Embedded Royalty Value 1) Per 2016 Feasibility Study update

Slide 19 - YD Royalty: 1) Scotia analysis

Slide 21 - Hemlo - Williams Royalty 1) Total 2015 production for Hemlo Complex per Barrick disclosure; not 100% attributable to Williams mine