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1 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY MARKET MONITOR SPRING 2014 Healthcare Information Technology

Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

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Go to http://www.mossadamscapital.com to learn more about Healthcare Information Technology · A one year delay in ICD-10 implementation was recently approved, to the relief of some and the anguish of others. · Despite the recent selloff, HCIT stocks continue to trade at a healthy premium to the broader market and the industry is still expected to outpace the S&P 500 index in both revenue and EBITDA growth. · M&A activity maintains its upward trend as the fragmented landscape continues to consolidate.

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Page 1: Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

1 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

M A R K E T M O N I T O R

S P R I N G 2 0 1 4

Healthcare Information Technology

Page 2: Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

2 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Contents

MARKET OVERVIEW 3

PUBLIC HCIT VALUATION METRICS 5

HCIT SECTOR TRANSACTION ACTIVITY 7

MOSS ADAMS OVERVIEW 14

SELECT MOSS ADAMS CAPITAL TRANSACTIONS 18

Page 3: Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

3 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Despite ICD-10 Delay, Favorable Industry Dynamics Still Driving Growth Delay in ICD-10

At the end of March, the Senate approved a measure to delay ICD-10 implementation as part of the “doc fix” legislation, pushing the

timeframe back by one year. While this additional time will be helpful to those providers that were not yet prepared for the transition, it

may prove costly to those that were.

Population Health

Population Health has emerged as one of the most popular buzzwords around the HCIT industry lately. While some companies have

introduced new products to address the movement towards a value-based care system, others have opted to do it via acquisitions.

Life sciences software and IT services spend

The software and IT services spend in the life science industry is showing continuous growth with the trend expected to continue as most

processes in the industry still need to be upgraded to newer software. Furthermore, despite the accelerated growth in the global life

sciences market, companies are facing margin pressure given the changes in their pricing, reimbursement challenges and rising costs of

compliance.

Global Life Sciences IT Software & Services Spend

Sources: CMS, Gartner, industry articles and Moss Adams Capital analysis.

$4,541 $4,863 $5,182 $5,514 $5,900 $6,305

$7,410 $7,802

$8,216 $8,643

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E

$ in millions

Life Science MDM Spend

Life Science Content Management Spend

Life Science CRM Spend

Page 4: Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

4 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

U.S. middle market M&A transaction volume in Q1 2014 rose 28% from one year ago but stayed flat compared to the prior quarter.

In deal value terms, U.S. middle market M&A activity in Q1 2014 grew 25% from a year earlier but dropped 22% compared to the prior quarter.

Q1 2014 EBITDA multiples of middle market transactions fell slightly from the prior quarter but increased significantly from year ago levels.

EBITDA valuation levels of middle market deals remain at high levels last seen in Q4’10.

Q1’14 EBITDA margins of reportable transactions showed higher levels vs both last year and quarter.

Middle Market M&A: Continued Flat Volumes, High Deal Valuations

U.S. Middle Market M&A 1 U.S. Middle Market M&A Valuations 2

1) Middle market M&A includes transactions with undisclosed values, and disclosed values where EV < $500 million. 2) Middle market M&A includes transactions with disclosed EBITDA, where EV < $500 million and EV/EBITDA < 10x. Note: transactions with disclosed EBITDA represent <5% of all transactions. Source: S&P Capital IQ.

1,828 1,895

2,011

2,281

2,855 2,953 2,927

3,080 2,984

3,682 3,681

3,852

3,539 3,453

3,622

3,986

3,134

3,319

4,092 4,054 3,997

$21$25

$28

$36$32

$43

$56 $55

$47

$71 $72$70

$52$56

$52

$66

$44

$50

$65

$71

$55

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Tran

saction

Valu

e ($b

n)N

um

ber

of

Tra

nsa

ctio

ns

Number Value

5.7x 5.6x 5.7x

6.4x

4.8x

6.7x

6.4x

7.0x6.7x 6.8x 6.8x 6.9x

5.9x

6.4x6.2x 6.2x 6.4x

6.0x6.2x

7.2x7.0x

18.1%

10.7%11.3%

16.7%

15.0%14.2%

15.3%14.5%

16.7%16.6%16.9%

15.0%

12.4%13.0%

14.6%

16.7%

15.3%14.8%13.7%

10.6%

17.0%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

0.0 x

1.0 x

2.0 x

3.0 x

4.0 x

5.0 x

6.0 x

7.0 x

8.0 x

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

EB

ITD

A M

argin

EV

/Tra

ilin

g E

BIT

DA

Mu

ltip

le

EV/EBITDA EBITDA Margin

Page 5: Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

5 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Healthcare IT stocks took a hit toward the end of the first quarter as several companies announced disappointing numbers and a bill to

delay ICD-10 compliance was passed in the Senate. Despite this pullback, the HCIT index has still outperformed the broader market

over the last three years and all three subcategories within the HCIT sector (Practice Management Software, Data

Analytics/Internet/Niche, and Pharma/Clinical Trials) are still expected to outperform the broader market over the next 12 months.

Note: The Healthcare IT Index is composed of the public companies included on page 5. Source: S&P Capital IQ.

Historical Performance: Healthcare IT vs. S&P Next 12 Months: Estimated Sales & EBITDA Growth

Despite Sell-off, HCIT Still Expected to Outperform the Overall Market

4.5% 5.0%

13.2% 15.3%12.8%

48.8%

109.2%

15.5%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

S&P 500 PMS Data Analytics/Internet/ Niche

Pharma/ ClinicalTrials

Est. NTM Sales Growth

Est. NTM EBITDA Growth

HCIT Index

51%

S&P 500

38%

-25%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Ma

rke

t P

erf

orm

an

ce

Page 6: Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

6 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Note: Not meaningful (NM) if EV/Sales is greater than 10x, or EV/EBITDA is greater than 50x. NA if denominator is 0, for percentages and multiples, or if estimates are not available. NTM figures are based on the median estimate of Wall St. analysts.

Selected HCIT Public Company Valuations

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

($ in millions, except per share amounts)

5/6/14 TTM Data EV Multiple

Company Name

Share

Price

52 Week

High - Low

Market

Cap

Enterprise

Value Sales EBITDA

EBITDA

Margin Sales EBITDA

TTM

Sales

TTM

EBITDA

NTM

Sales

NTM

EBITDA

HCIT - Practice Management Software

Cerner Corporation $50.15 $63.07 - $45.81 $17,220 $16,349 $2,939 $774 26.3% 17.0% 59.8% 5.6x 21.1x 4.8x 13.2x

Allscripts Healthcare Solutions, Inc. 15.06 19.68 - 12.54 2,702 3,201 1,373 10 0.7% 4.3% 2155.3% 2.3x NM 2.2x 14.4x

MedAssets, Inc. 22.02 26.58 - 16.31 1,343 2,119 678 202 29.8% 5.2% 18.4% 3.1x 10.5x 3.0x 8.9x

Omnicell, Inc. 25.52 30.33 - 17.52 933 825 395 58 14.6% 10.1% 48.8% 2.1x 14.3x 1.9x 9.6x

Quality Systems Inc. 14.84 24.15 - 14.10 894 800 441 73 16.5% 5.0% 23.3% 1.8x 11.0x 1.7x 8.9x

Computer Programs & Systems Inc. 61.65 71.89 - 47.23 688 659 203 56 27.3% 4.4% 14.5% 3.2x 11.9x 3.1x 10.4x

Merge Healthcare Incorporated 2.20 4.71 - 1.99 209 418 219 25 11.6% (0.9%) 66.8% 1.9x 16.4x 1.9x 9.8x

Median $825 $441 $58 16.5% 5.0% 48.8% 2.3x 13.1x 2.2x 9.8x

Average $3,482 $893 $171 18.1% 6.4% 341.0% 2.9x 14.2x 2.7x 10.7x

HCIT - Data Analytics/Internet/Niche

athenahealth, Inc. $109.21 $206.70 - $82.01 $4,133 $4,227 $632 $58 9.2% 23.8% 136.0% 6.7x NM 5.4x 30.7x

WebMD Health Corp. 42.42 51.41 - 25.18 1,603 1,777 536 87 16.2% 9.2% 82.3% 3.3x 20.5x 3.0x 11.2x

Healthstream Inc. 23.80 39.77 - 20.76 656 554 141 24 17.0% 24.6% 7.8% 3.9x 23.2x 3.2x 21.5x

Vocera Communications, Inc. 12.29 19.71 - 11.78 309 187 105 (11) NA 7.2% NA 1.8x NA 1.7x NA

Streamline Health Solutions, Inc. 4.95 8.50 - 4.70 86 102 29 1 2.1% 13.2% 860.7% 3.6x NM 3.1x 17.3x

Median $554 $141 $24 12.7% 13.2% 109.2% 3.6x 21.8x 3.1x 19.4x

Average $1,370 $289 $32 11.1% 15.6% 271.7% 3.9x 21.8x 3.3x 20.2x

HCIT - Pharma/Clinical Trials

Catamaran Corporation $41.20 $60.93 - $40.52 $8,523 $10,133 $16,475 $725 4.4% 30.6% 15.5% 0.6x 14.0x 0.5x 12.1x

PAREXEL International Corporation 44.60 57.25 - 37.53 2,537 2,535 1,892 262 13.8% 9.1% 13.5% 1.3x 9.7x 1.2x 8.5x

Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. 50.96 62.50 - 40.55 2,465 2,949 1,174 256 21.9% 12.4% 15.6% 2.5x 11.5x 2.2x 9.9x

Medidata Solutions, Inc. 36.61 68.21 - 32.63 1,980 1,991 290 26 8.9% 23.5% 235.4% 6.9x NM 5.6x 23.1x

Simulations Plus, Inc. 6.07 7.09 - 3.91 98 88 10 4 37.6% 15.3% NA 8.5x 22.6x 7.4x NA

Median $2,535 $1,174 $256 13.8% 15.3% 15.5% 2.5x 12.7x 2.2x 11.0x

Average $3,539 $3,968 $255 17.3% 18.2% 70.0% 4.0x 14.4x 3.4x 13.4x

NTM Est. Growth

Page 7: Healthcare Information Technology Market Monitor - Spring 2014

7 HEALTHCARE INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

The first quarter of 2014 ended with M&A activity continuing

the upward trend that started in the second quarter of last

year and showed a significant improvement over the same

period one year ago. Signs continue to point toward an

increase in activity within the fragmented landscape.

EV/EBITDA multiples for public HCIT companies dropped

significantly as stocks sold-off in response to the news of

another delay in ICD-10 compliance. However, the index

continues to trade at a significant premium to the S&P 500.

HCIT Sector M&A Transactions & Public Valuations

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

HCIT M&A Deal Volume HCIT Public Market Valuations

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Nu

mb

er

of

An

no

un

ced

Tra

nsa

ctio

ns

HCIT Index

18.8x

S&P 500

10.0x

5.0x

7.0x

9.0x

11.0x

13.0x

15.0x

17.0x

19.0x

21.0x

23.0x

25.0x

EV

/ E

BIT

DA