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Ofcom's second public service broadcasting review
Phase 2: Preparing for the digital future
25 September 2008
2
Audiences should have a choice of providers
• Audiences value the BBC
• But they also want PSB alternatives to complement the BBC
• Stakeholder support
• Enhances reach and impact
• Valuable as an end in itself in news and current affairs
• Valuable to audiences, who are willing to pay
3
The current model of ITV1 provision is broken
Current costs soon exceed benefits
2009 2010 2011
ITV WalesCosts > benefits
During 2009
ITV PlcCosts > benefits
Before 2012
stvCosts > benefits
2009 - 2010
Post 2012:• UTV & GMTV: Benefits>costs • Five: Small net benefits
1
2
3
4
Licence handback becomes a rational option for ITV Plc
4
LEK central case LEK low case Current Ofcomanalysis min
Current Ofcomanalysis max
Channel 4 should have a significant role, but it needs an economic model and funding to support this
Note: Forecasts Channel 4’s financial shortfall by 2012. LEK's numbers based on EBITDA. Ofcom based on EBIT, due to differences in methodology
£32 m
£60 m
£100 m£119 m
5
0
100
200
300
400
Likely gap in 2012 Existing regulatory assets Estimate of total fundingrequired
Estimated funding gap - after 2012 considerable uncertainty
£330- 420 m£185 m£145 - 235m
Total funding of £330 - £420m per annum may be needed by 2012
6
Institutions and competition should play important roles
Institutions•Reach•Values
•Independence
•Flexibility•Transparency
•EfficiencyCompetition
Benefits
7
Long term models for PSB in the future need refining
2. BBC only1. Evolution
3. BBC/Channel 44. Broad
competitivefunding
8
All funding options identified in Phase 1 remain credible
• Regulatory assets
• Direct public funding
• Licence fee
• BBC assets
• Levy schemes
9
In the short term commercial PSBs' obligations must set them on a path consistent with the long-term models
• Ofcom’s proposed PSB priorities for ITV1 up to 2014:
– Original British programming, so quotas remain – UK and international news, so requirements unchanged– Peak-time current affairs unchanged but reduced outside peak– Peak-time news for the devolved nations unchanged but non-news minimum reduced– Current affairs in the nations unchanged– Regional news in England that prioritises peak-time over daytime and balances
regional with local
• As part of this re-prioritisation:
- ITV1’s Out of London production quota reduced to 35%, in line with pre-2004 figure
• Ofcom rejected the case for any change in:
– ITV1’s quota of independent productions
10
In the short term commercial PSBs' obligations must set them on a path consistent with the long-term models
• five’s role in PSB up to 2014:
-Original production quota fixed at 50%
-News and current affairs unchanged
-New commitment by five to enhanced delivery of children’s programmes
11
Our core principles for the future
• BBC remains the cornerstone of PSC
• Audiences should have a choice of providers in most areas of PSC
• TV remains essential, but PSC should be delivered across platforms
• Content for the devolved nations remains essential – particularly news
• Institutional & competitive funding could play important future complementary roles
• Channel 4 needs a new economic model to deliver its future public service contribution
• ITV1 and Five retain important PSC roles up to 2014 with re-prioritised focus
• After 2014, the case for obligations on ITV1 & Five is more evenly balanced
• Most of the Phase 1 funding sources are credible - a mix may be needed in future