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If more were less: How Incremental are Affiliate Sales? @Affwin_Strategy [email protected] Kevin Edwards Strategy Director Matt Swan Client Strategist

If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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What would happen to an advertiser’s online sales if it were to close its affiliate programme tomorrow?This hypothetical scenario often foreshadows questions about the incremental value of affiliate marketing. If sales remained the same but were referred through other channels, what did affiliates add in the multi-channel mix? Would their sales have been made anyway?

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Page 1: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

If more were less: How Incremental are Affiliate Sales?

If more were less: How Incremental are Affiliate Sales?

@Affwin_Strategy @Affwin_Strategy

[email protected] [email protected]

Kevin EdwardsStrategy Director

Matt SwanClient Strategist

Page 2: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

What is ‘Incremental’?

1. Cashback

2. Voucher Codes

3. Behavioural Re-Targeting

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Page 3: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

What is Incremental?

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AFFILIATES

EMAIL

DISPLAY

SEARCH

SOCIAL

Page 4: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

4Milano | 29.03.2012. | Owen Hewitson, Client Strategist, zanox | If More Were Less: Ensuring Your Affiliate Sales Are Truly Incremental

If affiliates were removed a portion of total online marketing sales should be lost

What is Incremental?

Page 5: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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But what if Affiliates were removed and no sales were lost?

What is Incremental?

Page 6: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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What is Incremental? Average Order Value

Upselling

Volume

Profitability

Frequency

Demographics

New vs. Existing

Churn

Page 7: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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De-duplication is not an attribution strategy!

Cross-channel reporting is vital to understanding incrementality

What is Incremental?

Page 8: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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How many channels are Affiliates de-duplicated against?

What is Incremental?

Page 9: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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What channels are de-duplicated against?

What is Incremental?

Page 10: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

Cashback

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Are Cashback customers low earners who will not shop without rewards?

Milano | 29.03.2012. | Owen Hewitson, Client Strategist, zanox | If More Were Less: Ensuring Your Affiliate Sales Are Truly Incremental

\\

Page 11: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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Are Cashback members existing customers already?

Cashback

Page 12: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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Do cashback sites discourage loyalty to advertisers’ brands?

Cashback

Page 13: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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Hugely successful affiliate

Burgeoning sector worth c.£1bn

Over indexes on many customer quality indices

Created powerful retail brand (top 50 UK Hitwise retail sites)

Offers range of promotional opportunities

Focused on demonstrating incremental sales

Multi-channel – 2011 mobile app launched

Instore redemptions, check ins, onsite promotions

Cashback

Page 14: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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Do cashback sites misrepresent advertisers’ brands?

Circulation: 950,000 p/w Cost: £10,500/ €12.000Circulation: 950,000 p/w Cost: £10,500/ €12.000

Cashback

Page 15: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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Do cashback sites misrepresent advertisers’ brands?

Page Views: 800K p/w Cost: £1000/€1.200/WEEKPage Views: 800K p/w Cost: £1000/€1.200/WEEK

Cashback

Page 16: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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For one cashback site, 73% of sales involved no other affiliate... ... And no other channel!

Cashback

Page 17: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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• 31% of affiliate sales involved only affiliates• 92% of affiliate sales involved only one touchpoint• Affiliates lose out on 7% of sales but are assisted 19% of the time

• 31% of affiliate sales involved only affiliates• 92% of affiliate sales involved only one touchpoint• Affiliates lose out on 7% of sales but are assisted 19% of the time

Cashback

Page 18: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

1.Voucher code sites are not just for

voucher codes

2.Voucher codes are not just for Voucher

code sites

3.The type of code is key in encouraging

incremental sales

18Milano | 29.03.2012. | Owen Hewitson, Client Strategist, zanox | If More Were Less: Ensuring Your Affiliate Sales Are Truly Incremental

Voucher Codes

Page 19: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

1. Free delivery codes

2. ‘Quick Expire’ Codes

3. Site abandonment codes

4. Stretch-and-save codes

5. Codes for customer types

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Voucher Codes

Page 20: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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Guarding exclusivity by tracking the voucher code used

Voucher Codes

Page 21: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

Code box either hidden or displayed based on referring URL

Deal ID has to be combined with affiliate ID

Discounted price already applied on site

Voucher Codes: Case Study

Page 22: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

Greater control over authorised use of codes

Reduces abandonment when user sees voucher code box

Fairer to affiliates as cookies not overwritten

Codes can be offered to non-code sites from the Long Tail

Voucher Codes: Case Study

Page 23: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

1. Where are the ads appearing?

2. Which sales are post-click and which are post-view?

3. Are ads above the fold?

4. Are ads frequency-capped?

5. How long is the time between site abandonment and re- targeting?

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Behavioural Retargeting

Page 24: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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New customers by affiliate

Behavioural Retargeting: Case Study

Page 25: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

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Behavioural Retargeting: Case Study

Page 26: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

CROSS-CHANNEL ATTRIBUTION – CLIENT AAFFILIATES CONTRIBUTE TO 57% OF SALES

• 31% of Sales are “truly incremental”• Affiliates lose out on 7% of sales but are “helped” 19% of the time

Page 27: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

ATTRIBUTION WITHIN AFFILIATE CHANNEL92% OF AFFILIATES SALES INVOLVED ONLY ONE AFFILIATE

Page 28: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

61%

32%

7%

Page 29: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

78%

17%

7%5%

Page 30: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

50%

36%

14%

Page 31: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

Aff Channel

Page 32: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

Cashback

Page 33: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

CUSTOMER VALUE VARIES BY AFFILIATECAN NOT TREAT TWO AFFILIATES IN HE SAME SECTOR THE SAME

Page 34: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

1. Assess incrementality in context of changing consumer habits

2. There is no one measure of incrementality: Look beyond volume to value

3. Look at cross-channel paths to purchase and where value is added – A single attribution model does not work for all partners

4. Demand insight into publishers’ audiences or member bases

5. Not all affiliates with the same method of promotion are the same

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Page 35: If more were less - how incremental are affiliate sales? Matt Swan and Kevin Edwards - Affiliate Window

@Affwin_Strategy @Affwin_Strategy

Kevin Edwards, [email protected]

Matt [email protected]

Email us to receive our Incrementality White Paper and to signup to our monthly newsletter: [email protected]

Email us to receive our Incrementality White Paper and to signup to our monthly newsletter: [email protected]

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