Mike TraugottCenter for Political Studies

University of Michigan

Wolverine Caucus September 20, 2016

Polarization in the Electorate(Disapprove of a child marrying across parties)

22%

27%

82%

Clinton 273 (201 solid, 72 leaning) Trump 191 (158 solid, 33 leaning) Tossup 111 (8 states)

Clinton 272 (190 solid, 82 leaning) Trump 163 (127 solid, 36 leaning) Tossup 103 (7 states + 2 EV’s)

8 pp. diff 12 pp. diff 15 pp. diff

Goldstein, Bloomberg Politics

New York Times, September 20