Click here to load reader

Shipping cycles

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Presentacin de PowerPoint

Shipping CycleMembers:Mnica GonzlezIsaac GranjaLecturer:Mr. Max Galarza

Grade 10Logistics II B06 de Junio del 2016

Shipping CycleThe shipping cycle is an economic concept that explains how shipping companies and freight charges respond to supply and demand. It examines how and why ships build up in sea trading ports. The cycle also seeks to explain what affects the selling price of ship fleets and what types of ships sell during slow business periods.

The 4 stages of Shipping cycle1. TROUGH

The first stage of the shipping cycle is called a trough. An excess in capacity characterizes a trough. Ships begin to accumulate at trading ports, while others slow down shipments by delaying their arrivals at full ports.

2. RECOVERY

Recovery is the second stage of the shipping cycle. In this stage, supply and demand move toward equilibrium, meaning both supply and demand levels match each other closely. Freight charges begin to increase, eventually surpassing operating costs.

3. PEAK

The shipping cycle's third stage is a peak or plateau. At this point, the shipping freight rates become quite high - often double or triple the amount of fleet operating costs. The levels of supply and demand are almost completely equal.

4. COLLAPSE

The fourth stage of the shipping cycle, collapse, occurs when supply levels begin to exceed demand. Freight rates begin to decline during a collapse. Shipping containers and fleet begin to accumulate in trading ports once again.

The role of Cycles in ShippingEconomicsMarket cycles are the driving force behind shipping investment and chartering.They are the heartbeat of the shipping market, pumping cash in and out of the business.

Is Puerto Limon a Real Lemon ?

Year of publication:2011

Authors: Kent, Paul; Fox, Alan K. Published:International handbook of maritime economicsLanguage: English

Type of Publication: Article

This paper presents a comparative analysis of the inefficient Puerto Limon in Costa Rica and the efficient port of Cartagena in Colombia, illustrating the influence of port efficiency on the costs of maritime transport and the damaging impact this has upon trade.

An attempt is made to identify the underlying causes of disaggregated disparities in cost efficiency and to arrive at an aggregate cost of inefficiency. This is then treated as a tax in the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model to quantify the impact that port inefficiency has had on trade and welfare.Is Puerto Limon a Real Lemon ?

The conclusions reveal that Central America's high freight rates cannot be solely attributed to low cargo volumes, as is sometimes claimed; port inefficiencies are also a culprit in that they exert a significant influence in terms of additional fuel costs, as well as the number of ships which carriers deploy, through overly long loading and discharging times.

While the difficulties in doing so are acknowledged, the authors propose that inducing competition, particularly port privatization, is the way towards port reform that will advance Central American nations, such as Costa Rica, whose economies are suffering as a result of an inefficient port sector.

http://www.ehow.com/info_8466520_four-stages-shipping-cycle.htmlhttp://lawexplores.com/shipping-market-cycles/http://marketrealist.com/2014/06/ship-order-strength-a-must-follow-for-dry-bulk-shipping-investors/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xMa1vevj1kA https://trid.trb.org/view/1118972https://www.econbiz.de/Record/is-puerto-limon-a-real-lemon-port-inefficiency-and-its-impact-paul-kent/10011179476

SOURCES: