Upload
aurore-cassin
View
126
Download
2
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Travaux dirigés de simulation de vente d'Alexion à Roche. Cours de M&A de M. Pierre CASANOVA à l'I.A.E. d'Aix-en-Provence.
Citation preview
Martin Alnes
Aurore Cassin
Daria Chebatarova
Indra Pratama
Qiong Qi
STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES
1. 81,735 employees present in 108 countries
2. The 2 divisions (Pharmaceuticals and Diagnostics)
add up to their efficiency in decision-making
process by working under one command.
3. It is one of the world’s leading supplier of cancer
medicines and the number one in vitro diagnostics
company (20% share)
4. Innovation through a focus on R&D (23% of
employees) on pharmaceuticals and diagnostics.
5. Focused on value strategy (i.e. oncology products)
rather than on volume strategy.
6. By acquiring American biotech company Genentech
and Japanese company Chugai pharm, Tucson,
Ventana, exclusive marketing possibilities for the
products have arisen.
1. Some drugs that are patent to Roche are
massively produced in developed countries and
are not efficiently distributed in the third world
countries (like in the case of Tamiflu), thus
licensing is not fairly utilized.
2. Imitation of products, e.g. fake medicines
supplied under brands name affect the brand.
OPPORTUNITIES THREATS
1. Strategic agreements with other pharmaceutical
companies and organizations to develop its
research as well as significant budget setting for
R&D
2. Global penetration through mergers and
acquisitions
3. Growth in demand for quality healthcare solutions
1. Risk of unsuccessful launch of new products
2. Regulatory environment is becoming more
severe
3. Competitors, incl. Siemens, Abbott, Sanofi who
are developing too.
Strengths
•Consistent Financial Performance
•Strong Patent Base
•Lead Product Soliris
•Wide GeographicalPresence
Weaknesses
•Involvement in LegalProceedings
•Third Party Dependency For Vial Filling
Opportunities
•Pipeline Products & deals
•InorganicGrowthStrategies
•DemographicTrends
•Orphan Drugsdesignation
•EmergingMarkets
Threats
•StringentGovernmentRegulations
•Uncertainties in R&D
• (CompetitivePressures)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012ERevenu
e
$72.041
Million
$259.09
9
Million
$386.8
Million
$540.95
7
Million
$775.3
Million
$1
Billion
Net
Income
-$92.29
Million
$33.149
Million
$295.16
6
Million*
$97.030
Million
N/A N/A
EPS -$2.54 $0.39 $3.26* $1.04 $1.30 $1.67
Revenu
e
Growth
N/A 259.65
%
49.29% 39.85% 43.32% 28.98%
EPS
Growth
N/A N/A 735.90
%
-68.1% 25% 28.46%
Net
Cash
-
$87.288
Million
-$1.511
Million
$166.30
2
Million
$357.88
7
Million
$444.47
Million
(Q3
2011)
N/A
Alexion will finance Enobia with cash and
$300 million of debt.
Even if it seems as a big warning sign on the
surface, it isn’t so. Alexion has good cash flows.
The stock trades at over 98x trailing
earnings, and 61x forward earnings.
Few companies are growing as fast as
Alexion is, and Soliris is approved for new
treatments, and new therapies are released,
growth will accerlerate from here.
Alexion bough Taligen to gain rights to
their experimental ophthalmology drug for
the treatment of Age related muscular
degeneration
Alexion bought Enobia to gain rights to
investigative treatment for HPP
(hypophosphatasia)
If Alexion or their third-party
providers, including their product
vialers, packagers and labelers, fail to compluy full with
regulations,
Government-enforced
shutdown of production facilities
Product shortages
On January 26, 2011 Novartis
Vaccines & Diagnostics Inc filed a
civil action against Alexion
Claims willful infringement by Alexion of
U.S. Patent Novartis seeks monetary
damages.
Conductadditional
studies
Failure to comply with
the laws
Administrative sanctions
Interruption of production
Approval for Soliris
Revenue Enhancement
Commercial rights on existing orphan drugs, Soliris, in40 Countries for Paroxysmal Nocturnal Hemoglobinuria(PNH) treatment & in US and EU for Atypical HemolyticUremic Syndrome (aHUS)
Potential treatments using “Soliris” for another 8 severe& ultra-rare diseases beyond PNH & aHUS
Patents on new & existing orphan drugs; Soliris,Asfotase Alfa, cPMP Replacement Therapy, ALXN1102/ALXN 1103, ALXN 1007
Cost Savings
Using Roche’s existing global distribution network.
Administrative cost reduction
Alexion’s SG&A for 2011: USD 308.18 million
Synergy will provide additional value (assuming WACC of
8.12% & growth rate of 3.00%) :
𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝟑𝟎𝟖.𝟏𝟖 𝐦𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧
𝟖.𝟏𝟐% − 𝟑.𝟎𝟎%= 𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝟔,𝟎𝟏𝟗.𝟏𝟒 𝐦𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧