Energy Social Dimension

@FutureLab

10065

1.

2.

•

• 40%

2/3 1/51/3

•

•

2014->2016

107

26

• 2025

•

• 90%

28

CONSUMPTION

28

CONSUMPTION

T O T A L F I N A L C O N S U M P T I O NWorld

Other4

Natural gasBiofuels and waste3Coal2

ElectricityOil

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

World1 total final consumption from 1971 to 2013 by fuel (Mtoe)

1973 and 2013 fuel shares of total final consumption

1. World includes international aviation and international marine bunkers.2. In these graphs, peat and oil shale are aggregated with coal.

3. Data for biofuels and waste final consumption have been estimated for a number of countries.4. Includes geothermal, solar, wind, heat, etc.

1973 2013

Coal²13.6%

Oil48.3%Natural gas

14.0%

Biofuels andwaste³

13.1%

Electricity9.4%

Other4

1.6%

Biofuels andwaste³

12.2%

Electricity18.0%

Other4

3.3%Coal²11.5%

Oil39.9%

Natural gas15.1%

4 667 Mtoe 9 301 Mtoe

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5

OECD, IEA, 2015

OECD60.3%

Middle East 0.7%

Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia13.6%

China 7.9%

Asia² 6.3%

Non-OECDAmericas 3.6%

Africa 3.7% Bunkers³ 3.9%

Bunkers³ 3.8% Africa 6.0%

Non-OECDAmericas 5.0%

Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia 7.6%

Asia² 12.6%

China21.0%

Middle East4.9%

OECD39.1%

30

CONSUMPTION

World

4 667 Mtoe 9 301 Mtoe

1. Data for biofuels and waste final consumption have been estimated for a number of countries. 2. Asia excludes China.

3. Includes international aviation and international marine bunkers.

1973 2013

T O T A L F I N A L C O N S U M P T I O N

Non-OECD Europe and EurasiaAsia2

Middle EastChinaOECD

Bunkers3AfricaNon-OECD Americas

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

1973 and 2013 regional shares of total final consumption1

World total final consumption1 from 1971 to 2013 by region (Mtoe)

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5

OECD, IEA, 2015

3

33

Oil

0 500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

Other1 TransportIndustry Non-energy use1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Total final consumption from 1971 to 2013 by sector (Mtoe)

1973 and 2013 shares of world oil consumption

2 252 Mtoe 3 716 Mtoe

1. Includes agriculture, commercial and public services, residential, and non-specified other.

1973 2013

BY SECTOR

Industry19.9%

Transport45.4%

Other1

23.1%

Non-energy use11.6%

Non-energy use16.2% Industry

8.4%

Transport63.8%

Other1

11.6%

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5

OECD, IEA, 2015

34

CONSUMPTION

Natural gas

0

300

600

900

1 200

1 500

Other1 TransportIndustry Non-energy use1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Total final consumption from 1971 to 2013 by sector (Mtoe)

1973 and 2013 shares of world natural gas consumption

652 Mtoe 1 401 Mtoe

1. Includes agriculture, commercial and public services, residential, and non-specified other.

1973 2013

Industry54.7%

Transport 2.7%

Other1

39.8%

Non-energy use2.8%

Non-energy use11.1%

Other1

44.8%

Transport 6.9%

Industry37.2%

T O T A L F I N A L C O N S U M P T I O N

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5

3

35

Electricity

Other1 TransportIndustry

0 200 400 600 800

1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Total final consumption from 1971 to 2013 by sector (Mtoe)

1973 and 2013 shares of world electricity consumption

440 Mtoe 1 677 Mtoe

1. Includes agriculture, commercial and public services, residential, and non-specified other.

1973 2013

Industry53.4%

Transport2.4%

Other1

44.2% Other1

56.2%

Industry42.3%

Transport1.5%

BY SECTOR

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5Includes agriculture, commercial and public services, residential, and non-specified other.

OECD, IEA, 2015

EMISSIONS

CO2 Emissions by fuel

1973 and 2013 fuel shares of CO2 emissions from fuel combustion²

15 515 Mt of CO2 32 190 Mt of CO2

1. World includes international aviation and international marine bunkers. 2. CO2 emissions from fuel combustion are based on the IEA energy balances

and on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, excluding emissions from non-energy. 3. In these graphs, peat and oil shale are aggregated with coal. 4. Includes industrial waste and non-renewable municipal waste.

1973 2013

44

EMISSIONS

World¹ CO2 emissions from fuel combustion² from 1971 to 2013 by fuel (Mt of CO2)

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Natural gasOilCoal3 Other4

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

Natural gas19.8%

Oil33.6%

Coal346.0%

Natural gas14.4%

Oil49.7%

Coal335.9%

Other4

0.6%

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5

OECD, IEA, 2015

61973 and 2013 regional shares of

CO2 emissions from fuel combustion²

15 515 Mt of CO2 32 190 Mt of CO2

1. World includes international aviation and international marine bunkers, which are shown together as Bunkers.

2. CO2 emissions from fuel combustion are based on the IEA energy balances and on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, excluding emissions from non-energy.

3. Asia excludes China.

Non-OECDAmericas

2.5%

Non-OECDAmericas 3.5%

Asia3 3.0%

Asia3

11.2%

Non-OECD Europe

and Eurasia15.9%

Non-OECD Europeand Eurasia 8.0%

Middle East 0.8%

Middle East 5.1%

OECD 66.3% OECD

37.4%

China6.0%

China28.0%

Africa1.8%

Africa 3.4%

Bunkers 3.7%

Bunkers 3.4%

CO2 Emissions by region

45

6

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Non-OECD Europe and EurasiaNon-OECD Americas Asia3

Middle EastChinaOECDBunkers

Africa

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

1973 2013

World¹ CO2 emissions from fuel combustion² 1971 to 2013by region (Mt of CO2)

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5

OECD, IEA, 2015

OECD, IEA, 2015

7

(Source: IEA WEO 2006)

47

7

(Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2014)

NPS: New Policies Scenario (based on policies under consideration)

450S: 450 Scenario3

(based on policies needed to limit global average temperature increase to 2 °C)

TPES Outlook by region

1990 2012 NPS2020

450S NPS2030

450S NPS2040

450S0

2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000

10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000

20 000 18 000

OECD China Asia1 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia

Middle East Africa Non-OECD Americas Bunkers2

CO2 emissions by region in 2040

38 037 Mt of CO2 19 300 Mt of CO2

1. Asia excludes China.2. Includes international aviation and international marine bunkers.

3. Based on a plausible post-2014 climate-policy framework to stabilise the long-term concentration of global greenhouse gases at 450 ppm CO2-equivalent.

CO2 emissions are from fossil fuel combustion only.

New Policies Scenario 450 Scenario

OECD25.0%

China26.3%

Asia1

21.1%

Non-OECD Europeand Eurasia

7.8%Middle

East6.5%

Africa4.8%

Non-OECD Americas

4.3%

Bunkers2 4.0%

OECD25.5%

China18.8%

Asia1

21.4%

Non-OECD Europeand Eurasia

9.9%Middle East

8.1%Africa5.6%

Non-OECD Americas4.8%

Bunkers2 5.9%

T O 2 0 4 0

(Mtoe)

© O

ECD

/IEA

, 201

5

1973 10OPEC

19733 13

1978

50013

34

1990 8

42

COP3, 1997

•

• 901990 55%

20112012

COP21 Paris, 2015UNFCCC

COP21 2015 11 301997 12

1.2.3.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVj8sjgC1Sw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlP17PObxUQhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PyU-VL2SGE8

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v91U6yvLiSA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v91U6yvLiSA

http://www.ettoday.net/news/20151211/611841.htm