ELD in Niger

Bokar MoussaEphraim Nkonya

The Sun is Rising in Niger

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1990 1995 2000 2005 2013

GH

I (in

dex)

, IM

R (%

)

GHI IMR

Why is the sun rising?

There is significant improvement in Government effectiveness

-1.40

-1.20

-1.00

-0.80

-0.60

-0.40

-0.20

0.001996 1998 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Niger, Government Effectiveness Trend

GE Index: -2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong)

Niger’s investment in natural resource & production increasing but expenditure on markets is low

Ag expenditure as % of agGDP National Agricultural Investment (NAI) allocation, % of total NAI

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

20032004200520062007200820092010

05

101520253035

Niger, Forest Planted Area Increasing

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1990 2000 2005 2010

000

ha

Planted forest (000ha)

Planted forest (000ha)

Comparison of Niger and other countries

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Niger

Kenya

Nigeria

Uganda

Deforestation rate (%), 2000-10 Deforestation rate (%), 1990-00% planted forest, 2000-10

Cost of land degradation as % of GDP>8%0.11

2.1

2.71

2.91

Rice Millet Overgrazing Sorghum

Challenges• Decentralization still relatively weak

Source: Nkonya et al 2013

GDP consistently growing, but long-term per capita GDP falling

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

196019621964196619681970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012

Per capita GDP GDP constant 2005 US$billion

Challenges• Market connectivity is low

– Logistics performance index of Niger among the lowest in the world

• Low adoption of agricultural production technologies

Kenya Niger% of farmers

ISFM 33.0 0Manure 68.0 1.0Fertilizer 36.4 0.1Improved fallow 4.9 0.6Rotational grazing 7.5 0.4Water harvesting 17.2 0.4