ELD in Niger
Bokar MoussaEphraim Nkonya
The Sun is Rising in Niger
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990 1995 2000 2005 2013
GH
I (in
dex)
, IM
R (%
)
GHI IMR
Why is the sun rising?
There is significant improvement in Government effectiveness
-1.40
-1.20
-1.00
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.001996 1998 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Niger, Government Effectiveness Trend
GE Index: -2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong)
Niger’s investment in natural resource & production increasing but expenditure on markets is low
Ag expenditure as % of agGDP National Agricultural Investment (NAI) allocation, % of total NAI
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
20032004200520062007200820092010
05
101520253035
Niger, Forest Planted Area Increasing
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1990 2000 2005 2010
000
ha
Planted forest (000ha)
Planted forest (000ha)
Comparison of Niger and other countries
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Niger
Kenya
Nigeria
Uganda
Deforestation rate (%), 2000-10 Deforestation rate (%), 1990-00% planted forest, 2000-10
Cost of land degradation as % of GDP>8%0.11
2.1
2.71
2.91
Rice Millet Overgrazing Sorghum
Challenges• Decentralization still relatively weak
Source: Nkonya et al 2013
GDP consistently growing, but long-term per capita GDP falling
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
196019621964196619681970197219741976197819801982198419861988199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012
Per capita GDP GDP constant 2005 US$billion
Challenges• Market connectivity is low
– Logistics performance index of Niger among the lowest in the world
• Low adoption of agricultural production technologies
Kenya Niger% of farmers
ISFM 33.0 0Manure 68.0 1.0Fertilizer 36.4 0.1Improved fallow 4.9 0.6Rotational grazing 7.5 0.4Water harvesting 17.2 0.4
Recommended
