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Desk and Derrick Region VII Evening Keynote Speech Gordon M. Groat , PhD (abd) , MSc (hon), BGS, Asc (hon)

Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

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Desk and Derrick Region VII Conference in Edmonton, Alberta. Evening keynote speech, May 29, 2010.

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Page 1: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Desk and Derrick

Region VII

Evening Keynote SpeechGordon M. Groat , PhD (abd) , MSc (hon), BGS, Asc (hon)

Page 2: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Global Climate ChangeCO2

Orbital Eccentricity

Axial TiltPrecisionVolcanic ActivityAerosolsCloudsVapourMethane

32 tera FLOPS – i.e. 32 trillion floating point operations per second

One of the biggest Supercomputer Farms is NEC’s Earth Simulator

Page 3: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Another look at Earth Simulator

Page 4: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Solar activity & Orbital Centricity

Page 5: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Eccentricity Axial Tilt Precession

Milankovitch Cyclesand Glaciation

Page 6: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Volcanic Activity

Page 7: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

NASA image 3 years after eruption

Page 8: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Glacial Deterioration

Page 9: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

South Cascade Glacier

Glacial Deterioration

Page 10: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Grinnell Glacier in 1940

BEFORE: Grinnell Glacier taken from the Grinnell Glacier Overlook off the Highline Trail, Glacier National Park. The view of Grinnell Glacier taken circa 1940 shows the early formation of Upper Grinnell Lake, a pro-glacier lake visible at the terminus of the glacier.

Glacial Deterioration

Page 11: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Grinnel Glacier in 2005AFTER: The lake continues to enlarge as the glacier recedes. Icebergs can be seen floating in Upper Grinnell Lake in this photo taken in 2005.

Glacial Deterioration

Page 12: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Polar Deterioration

Page 13: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

CO2 is a greenhouse gas

Page 14: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

CO2 Ice Core Data

Page 15: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Image of Global Carbon Sinks

Page 16: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Why is this important for Canada and the United States?

USA

Canada

ChinaAll Earth Emissions

(after top 10 countries)

Page 17: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

2007 Emissions Per Capita

Why China, Russia, and India talk “per capita”

They’re not on the list!

Gross Tonnageas of 2006

#1 – China#2 - USA#3 - Russia#4 – India#5 - Japan

Page 18: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

GHG Global Emissions

Page 19: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Canada and AlbertaLargest Scale CO2 Facility in Canada

Alberta Investment•431 million over the next 15 years•$5 million for front-end engineering and design

Government of Canada investment• $343 million

Page 20: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Canada and AlbertaLong Term Plans

•1.1 million tonnes of CO2 sequestered at Scotford Upgrader•(865 million investment by Alberta – EOR value add)

•Alberta will sequester 140 million tonnes of CO2 by 2050•Canada will sequester 600 million tonnes of CO2 by 2050

Page 21: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

CO2 footprint reductionAlberta Synthetic Crude produced with a smaller footprint than a barrel of Saudi Light

Page 22: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

CO2 Sequestration

Alberta Carbon Trunk Line

40,000 tonnes per day of capacity

330,000 cars off the road up front2,600,000 cars off the road at capacity

Page 23: Desk and Derrick Region VII Keynote Speech

Desk and Derrick

Region VII

Thank You