Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
The 24/7 Internet of Everything Everywhere (a.k.a. Internet of Things)
EST
Hosted by the Durham Personal Computer Users' Club Oshawa, Ontario, Canada www.durhampc-usersclub.on.ca
NanoCV: Prof Emeritus (Econ) and Senior Scholar, York University: Research & projects in Information and Communication Technology (ICT) for development (ICT4D): in education, health, tourism, science and technology, and economic development.
Work Focus: Getting the policy and implementation context right. Blending expertise with local knowledge, with a preferential option for greater social justice.
This Presentation: The Internet of Things as a tsunami disrupting every aspect of the human ecosystem, with collateral impacts on the natural ecosystem.
Will Not Focus On: Benefits, Privacy, Security, or Supportive Public Policy.
For those standard concerns see:
www.internetsociety.org/sites/default/files/ISOC-IoT-Overview-20151014_0.pdf
-or-
http://www2.datainnovation.org/2015-national-iot-strategies.pdf
The Roots of the Scale and Scope of the IoT Tsunami
IPv4 addresses are size 32 bits. IPv6 addresses are size 128 bits. IPv6’s effectively unlimited IP addresses mean anything can address everything, and everything can address anything. IPv6 opens up a vast literally unlimited playing field
The Roots of the Scale and Scope of the IoT Tsunami
Moore's Law: chip size and device scaling
1. For Big Data: Computation Power and Energy Usea. More computing power in less space b. Less energy use and heat generation
1. For IoT Devices: Minimal Computational and Energy Usea. Nano scale device size and energy useb. Nano scale device costs
1. IoT Applications: Ease of Development and Ease of Usea. Easy control devices: smart phone, etc.b. Issue: App compatibility (own Ford, rent GM Volt)c. Issue: System compatibility (nested Fracticality) d. Monitor, Evaluate, Research, Learn, Do (MERLDo)
• Horizontal and vertical systems compatibility– Nested Systems [Fractal nature of systems]
The Future: Unlimited IoT players on an unlimited IoT playing field
Data Clouds
NanoScale
AppsAppsApps
AppsAppsApps
Apps
The Speed of the IoT Tsunami
1. Land line phones [History]a. Invented in the late 1800s b. Deployed in the early 1900s
1. Hand held mobile phones [History]a. Invented in the 1970sb. Mass deployment by the 1990s
1. Nigerian phone use [Recent]a. 100 years to reach land line use of 7 per 1000 populationb. 10 years to reach cell phone use of 95 per 100 population
1. Myanmar (Burma) cell/Internet access [Now]a. 2009 SIM card cost: ~$US 2,300b. 2012 cell use/Internet access: 2 per 100,000 populationc. 2015 SIM card cost: ~$US 1.501. 2015 cell use/Internet access: 50 per 100 populationa. 18 months to go from near zero to 50% cell/Internet use
Moor’s Law like IoT Implementation Rate Trajectory [Tomorrow][ Watching Cuba’s ETECSA Cell/Internet Rollout at the moment ]
Devices and Processes: The Pervasive Nature of Disruption
IP enabled devices may be new, may be retrofitted old devices, may be complementary to, or substitutes for existing devices.
IP enabled processes may be new, may be retrofitted old processes or may be complementary to, or substitutes for, existing processes.
No device or process will be an island unto itselfDevice application, design and use will have to be integrated into networks of devices and processes, and do so at various levels of aggregation and disaggregation.
[Suggestion: Nested Fractacality]
• Individual and community human objectives will remain pretty much as they have always been,. The context in which they are pursued will alter significantly and continuously.
a. Initial consumer focus: Products & Servicesb. Longer term major impacts
i. Structures: Communities, Business, Gov’t, etc.ii. Processes: Business, Gov’t social, etc.
• This will require new skills and new attitudes toward:• Workstyle,• Lifestyle • (and) Citizenship.
Technology StructuresProcesses
The Biggest Tsunami Impacts the Context
My IoT Ecosystem
Global IoT Ecosystem
My Data Cloud
Global Data Cloud
HouseHealth
Vehicle(Transport)
Traffic Weather
Commerce
Processing
ME UP! DataMining
DOWN! DataGleaning
Data Mining Issues:• Stability• Security• Privacy• Technical
• Protocols• Nesting
e.g. vehicle/driving data• Driver• Traffic system• Uber/Lyft• Insurance
User/Apps Issues• Stability• Security• Privacy
• Ease of Use• Ease of Control• App Integration
e.g. Solar Panel Apps• User interface• Control features
The Double Data Funnel
Systems within Systems (Fractal Nesting?)
Technical protocols: Horizontal: within layers of systems Vertical: between layers of systems
Everything needs to be able to “talk” to Anything. Anything needs to be able to “talk” to Everything.
Control needs to be secure and strongly restricted.
My faint hope: “Fractacality” and ease of nesting
http://www.wired.com/2015/07/hackers-remotely-kill-jeep-highway/
Brakes disabled from10km away
Cross “Thing” Security: Hacking and the Digital Camel’s Nose in the IoT Tent
Tsunami of Disruption
Business/Personal: Insurance (Health/House)
1. Healtha. Lifestyle/Vital Stats monitoring
i. Lifestyle feedback loopii. Insurer monitoring (frig & eggs)iii. Travel Insurance (FitBit veto)iv. Polled risk and a “cohort of one”
1. Housea. Monitoring Smart House Data Flow
i. House use feedback loopb. Monitoring House Use/Occupancy
i. Scope, Cost, and \Variability of coverage
?
Tsunami of Disruption
Business/Personal: Insurance (Transportation)
1. Personal Transportation: Owned Vehiclea. User feedback loop & use based ratesb. Insurer monitoring (use and driving record)c. Polled risk and a “cohort of one”
1. Public, Private & “Shared” Transportationa. New actuarial approaches to premiums
i. Cloud-based use and user dataii. Cloud-based accident costs
b. Fewer single-user vehiclesi. Rates based on use data or driver data
c. Fleet-based autonomous vehicle rates
1. Where goes the Insurance Broker? – Where goes the car dealership and Salesperson?
Workplace Skills & Education
House Construction: Compatible Service Levels
a. Housei. Design: Lifestyle functionality ii. Power/fuel: voltages, Amps, & other fuel sourcesiii. Plumbing: Water Use / Waste disposal
a. EcoHousei. Design: lifestyle including EcoHouse Propertiesii. Power: sustainable with autonomous control systemsiii. Plumbing: EcoFriendly water use & waste disposal
a. SmartHousei. Design: Active House Properties (new and anticipated)ii. Power: multi-sourced and integrated with wired/
wireless LAN, storage, security, and control systemsiii. Plumbing: Integrated with the IoT monitoring and
control Systems.
Questions, Questions and Questions of Questions
How should I prepare to keep and give my insurance business to my children?
What skills do I need as a plumber and what trades to I need to work with?
I run a garage, how to I get access to the skills, and technical data to deal with smart vehicles (or tractors).
I drive my own taxi and have a taxi medallion (license) which I intended to leave to my kids. Will I have a job, and will my medallion be worth anything?
I am an electrician and can install individual stand alone “smart devices” (lights, thermostats, motion detectors, smoke/CO2 alarms, but know nothing about how to network them together into a single control app, and my customers do not want 10-20 household apps on their smart phone. Where do I turn?
BIGGER QUESTIONS: What do we want the networked world to look like? What kind of humans will we become?
