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The Prospect of Democracy 2.0
David Wood @dw2
Principal, Delta Wisdom Chair, London Futurists londonfuturists.com deltawisdom.com
Why everyone interested in the future of business should be paying
attention to the future of politics
@dw2 Page 2
Exponential Technologies
Business disruption
Development
& Deployment
Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations
Politics
N B I C R G …
@dw2 Page 3 http://uber-troubles.silk.co/
Over 65 conflicts or controversies for Uber to date worldwide
In Dec 2014, the Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office issued a legal indictment against Uber (and against CEO Travis Kalanick) for violating a Korean law prohibiting individuals or firms without appropriate licenses from providing or facilitating transportation services.
@dw2 Page 4 http://www.fda.gov/ICECI/EnforcementActions/WarningLetters/2013/ucm376296.htm
“Most of the intended uses for PGS listed on your website, a list that has grown over time, are medical device uses under section
201(h) of the FD&C Act. Most of these uses have not been classified and thus require premarket approval or de novo
classification, as FDA has explained to you on numerous occasions.”
@dw2 Page 5 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-32919063
Deaths from ‘legal highs’ have more than doubled in the UK in the past four years
‘Legal highs’ ban plan criticised by drugs charities
Seven-year jail terms under ‘blanket ban’… applies to “any substance intended for human consumption
that is capable of producing a psychoactive effect”
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32919712
@dw2 Page 6
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/energy/windpower/11685082/Wind-farm-subsidies-axed-to-stop-turbines-
covering-beautiful-countryside.html
Wind farm subsidies axed 'to stop turbines covering beautiful countryside'
Fossil fuels subsidies of $5.3 trillion in 2015 (IMF) – greater than the total health
spending of all the world’s governments
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/may/18/fossil-fuel-companies-getting-10m-a-
minute-in-subsidies-says-imf
@dw2 Page 7 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/07/drone-near-miss-passenger-plane-heathrow
Drone ‘near miss’ with passenger plane close to
Heathrow airport investigated
Incident risk rating of A – the highest of five categories – defined as a
“serious risk of collision”
@dw2 Page 9 http://fbheron.org/2014/03/15/in-case-you-missed-it-investing-giving-for-good/
I liked it better when
our bank was just a bank
@dw2 Page 10 https://www.laprogressive.com/obamas-regulatory-brain/
@dw2 Page 11
Exponential Technologies
Business disruption
Development
& Deployment
Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations
Politics
Necessary part of society
Regulations often out-dated
Regulators often “captured”
Politicians out of their depth
@dw2 Page 12
Exponential Technologies
Political disruption
Development
& Deployment
Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations
Politics
Necessary part of society
Regulations often out-dated
Regulators often “captured”
Politicians out of their depth
Politics 2.0
@dw2 Page 13
Web 1.0 Web 2.0
1996 2006
“the mostly read-only Web” “the wildly read-write Web” 80,000,000 sites 250,000 sites
45 million global users 1 billion+ global users
centrally published content
user generated
content
centrally published content
user generated
content
collective intelligence
Source: http://web2.wsj2.com/ (Dion Hinchcliffe)
@dw2 Page 14
Web 1.0 focus (Politics 1.0)
• Information distributed through the network to the edges
• Readable web: Library
• A few, fixed wise oracles
• Publishing & retrieval
• User consumption
• Company-driven innovation
• HTML, HTTP…
Web 2.0 focus (Politics 2.0?)
• Harnessing of intelligence residing in the network, including at its edges (P2P)
• Writable web: Conversation
• User reputation systems
• Collaboration & interaction
• User-generated content
• User-driven innovation
• AJAX… Asynchronous JavaScript and XML
Enabled by smart technology
@dw2 Page 15
Politics 1.0
Regulations often out-dated
Regulators often “captured”
Politicians out of their depth
Real wisdom of crowds
Real-time fact-checking
AI supplementing HI
Mass surveillance
Mass distraction (soma)
Gov’t by 1% for 1%
Politics 2.0
?
Politics 0.0
?