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Economic Indicators: An Update for the 7 Rivers Region

October 2015 Economic Indicators

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Page 1: October 2015 Economic Indicators

Economic Indicators: An Update for the 7 Rivers Region

Page 2: October 2015 Economic Indicators

Who Pays?

Page 3: October 2015 Economic Indicators
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Table 6: Expenditure per Person Expenditures in ($)

Food and Beverages 77.99Overnight Accommodations (Hotel or Motel)

27.27

Souvenirs 10.11Local Restaurants 23.93Music 1.20Other events in La Crosse 7.91Retail Stores 9.59Public Transportation 1.47Local Grocery Store 25.20Gasoline 17.87Total: 202.54

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Table 8: Economic Impact

     

Impact Type Employment Labor Income

Output

Direct Effect 170 $3,362,305 $10,227,194

Indirect Effect 21.7 $755,134 $ 2,520,367

Induced Effect 19.8 $658,563 $ 2,252,625

Total Effect 211.5 $4,776,001

$15,000,186

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Page 8: October 2015 Economic Indicators

Who Pays?

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Proposed Overtime Pay Rules Expand coverage of FLSA to salaried

employees making $455 and $970 week ($23,660 to $50,440 per year)

Expands group who received premium pay (time and a half) for hours in excess of 40 in a week.

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Two Competing Outcomes

No Effect Reduced OT

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Outcome A: No Effect Firm Reduces Straight Time Wages

Example: BEFORE: 50 hours per/week at $800 weekly salary. About

$40,000 per year. Effective hourly rate: $16/hr.

AFTER: 40 hours plus 10 hours at time and a half. The hourly wage rate is lowered to $14.55 at 50 hours per week with overtime pay means $800 per week.

“Employment Contract Model” or sometimes “Fixed

Job Model”.

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Outcome B: Compensation Rises Straight Time pay is not adjusted, but

hours are.

“Labor Demand Model” or “Fixed Pay Model”

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Outcome B: Compensation Rises Labor Demand bites.

Labor Demand

Wages

Hours of Labor

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Data: National 130 million people employed 16+ About 41% or 53 million salaried. Of salaried workers who about 17.6

million (33.6% of salaried workers) make between $455 and $970 week.

About 3.0 million of those or (5.7% all salaried) currently work more than 40 hours.

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Data: La Crosse WI-MN MSA 73,490 people employed 16+ Of those workers about 35,275 make

between $455 and $970 week. If 41% of those are salaried, then14,463

are subject to new rules. About 17% currently work more than 40

hours. So about 2,386 will be bound by the rule.

Page 16: October 2015 Economic Indicators

Empirical Evidence

Trejo (2003) Outcome A. Despite changes to who is covered, no

effect to number of OT hours. Hamermesh and Trejo (2000) Outcome

B. Finds large reduction in overtime hours

among California males. Trejo (1991) Outcome A.

Finds mixed results.

Page 17: October 2015 Economic Indicators

Consensus Straight time wages are not fully

adjusted. There is some reduction in overtime

hours. Larger reductions where min wage binds Smaller reductions where non wage

comp is relatively large.

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Who Pays?

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H I G H E REDUCATION

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$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$20.00

$25.00

$30.00

$35.00

$40.00Real Hourly Wages by Education (2012)

Advanced Degree

College

SomeCollegeH.S.Less thanH.S.

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30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%College Wage Premium

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1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2004

2005

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Unemployment Rate By Education

High School

College

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1947

1951

1955

1961

1966

1970

1974

1978

1982

1986

1990

1994

1998

2002

2006

2010

2014

2018

2022

0

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

Total fall enrollment in degree-grant-ing postsecondary institutions

Forecast

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70Percent Female Fall Enrollment

Forecast

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Public

Private Nonprofit

Private For-Profit

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

My education from [University Name] was worth the cost.

Percent Who Agree

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Strongly Agree

Agree

Disagree

Strongly Disagree

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

The current state of financial aid is a problem for enrollment.

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Strongly Agree

Agree

Disagree

Strongly Disagree

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

The current way that colleges and universities are doing business is sus-

tainable for the long-term future.

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Fundraising!

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Fundraising!

Friendraising

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Endowments 2014

School EndowmentHarvard $ 36,000 MillionYale $ 24,000 MillionU of Minnesota $ 3,200 MillionUW - Madison $ 2,300 MillionUW – La Crosse $ 24 MillionNorth Iowa Area Community College

$ 19 Million

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Strongly Agree

Agree

Disagree

Strongly Disagree

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Changes in technology will greatly change the way in-stitutions offer/run their classes in the future.

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MOOCs

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Thanks.

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Brent P. Smith, J.D.University of Wisconsin Board of Regents, 2004-2013

Page 48: October 2015 Economic Indicators

Laura Milner Dean of the College of Business Administration

Tim Kotnour President and CEO of State Bank Financial

Mike Burns Publisher of the La Crosse Tribune and River Valley Media Group

New Leadership

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As the publishing business continues to experience rapid transformation, how do you plan to lead your organization through these challenges and how can the higher education institutions in our community help?

Mike Burns

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As an important community bank headquartered in a town with a lot students, How can the higher education institutions help with the talent pipeline, and how can you play a role in talent attraction?

Tim Kotnour

Page 51: October 2015 Economic Indicators

Laura Milner

Your national accrediting agency is making a big push to see colleges of business engage and have an impact on the community. How do you see your role in that and how do you hope to work with the Tribune and State Bank?