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Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

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No longer at its origin, though far from maturity, digital media & information technology are in a middle state between these polar extremes. Driven by innovation & establishment in parallel, this state will perhaps be endless & is now perpetuated by the adoption of information technology into other fields. As this occurs, sectors are reshaped & the convergence between previously disparate worlds, with digital media at the center, is in itself a new form of innovation. This environment shapes & is mirrored in financial flows, strategies, structures & valuations, which are important to understand in this context. This presentation illustrates the described trends from a high level, incorporating certain ideas depicted in greater detail in other CoRise reports. It is not a comprehensive review of industry activities or a survey of competitors. Nor is it an analysis or set of recommendations for purposes of assessing any investment, public or private.

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Page 1: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)
Page 2: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

CONVERGENCE AS A LONG-TERM TRENDINNOVATION IN PERPETUAL TRANSITION

MARCH / 2013

No longer at its origin, though far from maturity, digital media & information technology are in a middle state between these polar extremes. Driven by innovation, integration & establishment at once, this will be a long-term trend, now perpetuated by the adoption of information technology into other fields. As this occurs, sectors are reshaped & the convergence between previously disparate worlds, with digital media at the center, is in itself a new form of innovation. This environment shapes & is mirrored in financial flows, structures & valuations, which are important to understand in this context.

This presentation illustrates the described trends from a high level, incorporating some ideas depicted in other CoRise reports in greater detail. It is not a comprehensive review of industry activities or a survey of competitors. Nor is it an analysis or set of recommendations for purposes of assessing any investment, public or private.

Page 3: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

BACKGROUNDFROM POLAR ENDS TO AN ENDLESS CYCLE

MARCH / 2013

Page 4: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

4

AT ORIGINS: VALUE IS BUILT THROUGH EXPERIMENTATION & VOLATILITY, OFTEN VENTURE BACKED

MARCH / 2013

Iteration

Prototype

Beta

A/B testing

Launch

Team building

Traction

Scaling

Partnership

Pricing

Pivoting

Development

VENTURE CAPITAL

ANGELS

SEED FINANCE

SERIES A

INCUBATORSACCELERATORS

MENTORS

ADVISORS

FOUNDERS

Page 5: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

5

AT MATURITY: VALUE IS BUILT THROUGH STABILITY & THE FINANCIAL ENGINEERING THIS ALLOWS, OFTEN DRIVEN BY CONSOLIDATION OF LIKE ASSETS

MARCH / 2013

Competition

Standardization

Reorganization

Productivity Earnings

Price reduction

Market expansion

PRIVATE EQUITY

PUBLIC MARKETS

BANK FINANCE

M&A

VALUATION

COST OF CAPITAL

LAWYERSREGULATION

LBO

REFINANCE ACCOUNTANTS

Page 6: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

6

BETWEEN EXTREMES: PROFILES BLEND & VALUE IS BUILT TO REFLECT OVERLAPPING ELEMENTS IN THE MIDDLE

MARCH / 2013

Competition

Productivity Earnings

Market expansion

Team building

Partnership

Pricing

Pivoting

Development

Scaling

Reorganization

VENTURE CAPITAL

PRIVATE EQUITY

BANK FINANCE

M&A

VALUATION LAWYERS

REGULATION

ACCOUNTANTS

PUBLIC MARKETS

REFINANCE

COST OF CAPITAL

Page 7: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

7

AS A SECTOR, DIGITAL MEDIA/INFO TECH IS IN A PERPETUAL MIDDLE: WELL PAST ORIGIN, NOT QUITE EVER AT MATURITY

MARCH / 2013

ORIGIN MATURITY

GROWTH

EVOLUTION

REINVENTION

Page 8: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

8

THE LONGER THIS JOURNEY CONTINUES, THE MORE THE SECTOR’S FOOTPRINT EXPANDS

MARCH / 2013

GOOGLE

FACEBOOK

AMAZON

APPLE

HEDGE FUNDS

BIG DATA

MEGAFUNDS

MICRO VCs

SECURITY

MOBILITY

Y COMBINATOR

AD NETWORKS APPS

API

INTERNATIONAL

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9

AS IT DOES, EXTERNAL & PREVIOUSLY DISASSOCIATED SECTORS ARE BEING PULLED IN & INTEGRATED...

MARCH / 2013

DIGITAL MEDIA

&INFO TECH

TRADITIONAL MEDIA HARDWARE

COMMERCEFINANCIAL MARKETS

INFRASTRUCTUREHEALTHCARE ,

EDUCATION, OTHERS

Page 10: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

10

... EXTENDING THE SECTOR’S GROWTH & PERPETUATING ITS TRANSITIONAL MIDDLE-STAGE TOWARDS MATURITY

MARCH / 2013

EVOLUTION

REINVENTION

DIGITAL MEDIA

&INFO TECH

TRADITIONAL MEDIA HARDWARE

COMMERCEFINANCIAL MARKETS

INFRASTRUCTUREHEALTHCARE ,

EDUCATION, OTHERS

Page 11: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

THE REINVENTION OF WHOLE SECTORSCONVERGENCE AS INNOVATION FORM

MARCH / 2013

The following slides are a sampling of sector combinations, providing illustrative examples of business & product convergence & the novelty to which this gives rise.

Page 12: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

12

COMBINATIONS WITHIN “NEW” MEDIA

MARCH / 2013

S O C I A LI N F O R M

AT I ON

TR

AN

SA C T I O N A L E N T E R T A I N

ME

NT

I N F O R MAT I O

N

Facebook

I N F O R MAT I O

N

AppleAmazon

I N F O R MAT I O

N

Google

Google + FB Graph Search

iBooks & iTunesKindle Fire

FB Credits

AMZN Reviews/Suggestions

Android

Siri Voice Search

Google Shopping

Kindle Silk

FB Apps

iMessage

Twitter

Tumblr

LinkedIn

MySpace

Friendster

StockTwits

Yelp Flickr

InstagramSkype

Bing

Wikipedia

Quora Yahoo!

WebMDWeather.com

MapQuest

TechCrunch

GigaOm Business Insider

Aol MSN

Netflix

Hulu

Spotify

Pandora

Turntable.fm

Zynga

YouTubeEBay

Groupon

Gilt

Kayak

Etsy

Priceline

Zillow

Foursquare

Hailo

Square

Uber

Craigslist

PayPal

Pinterest

Page 13: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

13

BETWEEN "NEW" & "TRADITIONAL" MEDIA

TRADITIONAL

NEW

MARCH / 2013

INTO NOW / GETGLUE / SHAZAM

GOOGLE /ZAGATS, FROMERS

NETFLIX

Magazines

Television

Music

Radio

Books

Movies

Newspapers

Cable

Mobile

Digital

StreamingSocial

Interactive

Broadband

APPLE TV / HBO GO

SPOTIFY

iBOOKS / KINDLE

Page 14: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

14

INTEGRATING SOFTWARE & HARDWARE

SOFTWARE

HARDWARE

3-D PRINT MICROSOFT TABLET

ANDROID

MARCH / 2013

GOOGLE GLASS

INTERNET OF THINGS

Page 15: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

15

INTRODUCING INFRASTRUCTURE INTEGRATION

MEDIA/TECH

INFRASTRUCTURE

AMAZON WEB SERVICES

VERIZON FIOS

MARCH / 2013

GOOGLE FIBER

Page 16: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

16

COMBINING MEDIA & COMMERCE

MEDIA

COMMERCE

EBAY/PAYPALAMAZON

GROUPON

MARCH / 2013

ETSY

BITCOIN FOURSQUARE

Engagement

Community

Access

Distribution

Merchandise

Promotion

Payments

Brand

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17

OFFLINE

ONLINE

SQUARE / STARBUCKS

B&NNOOK

APPLE STORE

MARCH / 2013

BLENDING ONLINE & OFFLINE RETAIL

UBER &HAILO

AMAZON PRIME

GOOGLE SHOPPING EXPRESS

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18

COMBINING MEDIA & FINANCIAL MARKETS

MARCH / 2013

MEDIA

MARKETS

SECOND MARKET

LENDING CLUB

ANGEL LIST CB INSIGHTS

STOCKTWITS

Information

Distribution

Content

Capital

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19

AT THE INTERSECTION OF MEDIA & HEALTH

MARCH / 2013

HEALTHCARE

MEDIA/TECH

WEBMDFITBIT BLUEPRINT HEALTH

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20

INTRODUCING NEW FORMS OF (& FACILITATING) EDUCATION

MARCH / 2013

EDUCATION

MEDIA/TECH

LYNDACODECADEMY KHAN ACADEMY

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REFLECTING OVERLAPPING NEEDS & STYLES OF CONSUMERS & THE ENTERPRISE

MARCH / 2013

CONSUMER

ENTERPRISE

IPAD BLOOMBERGLINKED IN

Page 22: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

SECTOR STATUS MIRRORED IN FINANCEWHERE STRATEGIES LEADCAPITAL FOLLOWS *

MARCH / 2013

The following slides illustrate ways in which capital flows & funding sources have started to reflect the blend & integration themes highlighted. As in prior slides, this is only an illustrative sampling, not a survey or database.

* Though sometimes vice-versa

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23

OVERLAP BETWEEN EQUITY INVESTOR TYPES IN PURSUIT OF DIGITAL MEDIA ASSETS

MARCH / 2013

VENTURE CAPITAL

PRIVATE EQUITY

HEDGE FUNDS

STRATEGIC CAPITAL

TIGER GLOBAL

SPECTRUM A16ZGOOGLE

BAIN KLEINERINTEL

VALIANT CAPITAL

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24

MIX OF FUNDING SOURCES WITHIN CAPITAL STRUCTURES

MARCH / 2013

PE/VC/HEDGE FUNDS

INSTITUTIONS

BANKS / FINANCE CO’S

MUTUAL FUNDS

EVERNOTEPINTEREST BOX TWITTER

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BLENDING OF DEBT FINANCE INTO EQUITY-BASED MODELS

MARCH / 2013

EQUITY

DEBT

SURVEY MONKEY

DELL

MICROSOFT

FACEBOOK

Page 26: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

PICTURE OF A SEGMENT IN TRANSITIONALWAYS ON ITS WAYNEVER SETTLED

MARCH / 2013

Page 27: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

27 MARCH / 2013

VENTURE CAPITAL

PRIVATE EQUITY

BANK FINANCE

M&APUBLIC

MARKETS

REFINANCE

DIGITAL MEDIA

&INFO TECH

TRADITIONAL MEDIA HARDWARE

COMMERCEFINANCIAL MARKETS

INFRASTRUCTURE

GROWTH

EVOLUTION

REINVENTION

ORIGIN MATURITY

COST OF CAPITAL

HEALTHCARE , EDUCATION,

OTHERS

Page 28: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

WHERE ARE YOU IN THIS LANDSCAPE?WHERE ARE YOU HEADING?

MARCH / 2013

Page 29: Convergence as a Long-Term Trend: Innovation in Perpetual Transition (Mar/2013)

29www.coriseco.com

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MARCH / 2013