Transcript
Page 1: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

WEC Bulgarian Energy Day

18th June 2010

Climate change policybeyond 2012

Page 2: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

The WEC 3 A’s

WEC: To promote the sustainable supply

and use of energy for the greatest

benefit of all

• Energy Accessibility

• Energy Availability

• Energy Acceptability

The 3 As are influenced by

by several issues. In recent

WEC studies we highlighted

Market design, Carbon

trading, Vulnerability.

Page 3: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Main sectors in EU-27:

Energy supply and transport

Page 4: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

European share on global GHG-emissions

USA21%

OECD-Europe15%

Japan4%

Russia9%

China21%

India4%

Other Asia5%

Middle East5%

Africa3%

Latin America3%

Rest10%

Page 5: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Comparison of the electricity generation

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

USA EU-27 China India World

Indexed kWh/capita (World=1) Indexed g CO2/kWh (World=1) Indexed (World = 1)

Page 6: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Key messages:

• GHG emissions are globally still rising

• Major contributor is the fossil fuel combustion,especially for electricity production.

• Technological solutions are present, but need time until they will contributelargely to a further GHG reduction

• Europe will be part of the solution mainlyin terms of clean technology development.

• An effective combat against climate changeneeds a global solution. Europe can show the wayand demonstrate efforts, but other important regionsshould move and establish their pathways.

Page 7: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Technology contributions

Page 8: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Scenario results for 2030

Page 9: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Power Sector Investments

Page 10: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Cost implications

Page 11: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Climate change has in the end to be solved by technology

- There is a huge portfolio of technologies at demand and supply side that have the potential to reach deep cuts in GHG emissions;

- Technology must be accompanied by life style changes;

- All these technologies must be accessible without exclusion;

- Electricity is the only energy vector that can be further decarbonised in the foreseeable future through a range of technologies and offers the prospect of low carbon road transport through the hybrid and electric vehicle and of contributing to low carbon heating through heat pump systems.

- Technology diffusion will not come by itself, there is a need for a whole range of policy measures including education and information, providing a long term price signal for GHG emissions, efficiency standards, R&D, incentives and support schemes;

Page 12: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

Conclusions and recommendations

- We need a global price on CO2 emissions

- We need more support for climate friendly technologies

- Investments are key – longer horizons needed

- Re-balancing necessary: Security of supply and Affordable energy

Page 13: WEC Bulgarian Energy Day 18 th June 2010 Climate change policy beyond 2012

• Funded by Member Committee annual subscriptions

• Subscriptions set by EA-approved formula

• Based on energy consumption, production, GNI

• Additional funding:• Congress• Direct corporate contributions• Patrons Programme - WEC Foundation• Publication sales• Partnership royalties

World Energy Council1-4 Warwick Street, London W1B 5LT

Tel: 020-7734 5996 Fax: 020-7734 5926

E-mail: [email protected]

Website: www.worldenergy.org