The Next Pacific Islands Regional
Climate Assessment
Webinar & Meeting | October 4, 2016 | East-West Center, Honolulu
Zena Grecni | [email protected] Program Specialist, Pacific RISA
Sustained Assessment Specialist, PIRCA
Webinar Road Map
• Intro to PIRCA & the U.S. National Climate Assessment
• The Second PIRCA
• The Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4)
• Timelines for NCA4 and PIRCA
• Next Steps
• Your input: Topics, Case Studies, Formats
2012 PIRCA Products Climate Change and Pacific Islands: Indicators and Impacts
• Full Report
• Case Studies
• Executive Summary
• NCA Pacific Islands chapter (2014)
www.eastwestcenter.org/PIRCA
Perceived credibility of the PIRCA
Source: S. Moser, 2013
Comparison of media coverage for NCA
technical input reports
Comparison of All Reports (A) and Regional and Sectoral Reports (B), in Descending Order
(Source: Combined data of tracked news by E. Cloyd and S. Moser for the PIRCA)
The 2nd PIRCA
• Updated scientific knowledge
– New key findings
• Responsive to user input and newly available information
• Key findings in sectors of interest
• Online formats; easy to access
• A draft will serve as a technical input to the U.S. Nat. Climate Assessment (due Jan. 15)
PIRCA Survey http://www.surveygizmo.com/s3/3054997/Nominate-PIRCA-Author
Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services
and Biodiversity (47%)
Ocean and Marine Resources (47%)
35%
29%
Indigenous Communities (28%)
n = 111
Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4)
• Mandate for national report every 4 years
• Led by United States Global Change Research Program (USGCRP)
• NCA4 due in 2018 (last report published May 2014)
Link to NCA3: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/
NCA4 Regional Chapters
9
• The “main course” of NCA4
• ~20 pages/region, with region-specific sectoral focus areas, case studies, etc.
• Overseen by a Federal Coordinating Lead Author (CLA)
• Driven by non-fed Regional Chapter Leads
NCA4 Chapters • I: Overview
• II: Our Changing Climate
• III: National Analyses • Water
• Energy
• Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services, and Biodiversity
• Oceans and Marine Resources
• Coastal Effects
• Agriculture and Food Production
• Forests
• Land Cover and Land Use Change
• Transportation
• Built Environment, Urban Systems, and Cities
• Human Health
• Air Quality
• Energy, Water, Land Nexus
• Tribal and Indigenous Communities
• North American and Other International Effects
• IV: Regional Analyses • Northeast
• Southeast and Caribbean
• Midwest
• Northern Plains
• Southern Plains
• Northwest
• Southwest
• Alaska
• Hawai`i and Pacific Islands
• V: Response • Near-term Adaptation Needs and Increased Resiliency
• Mitigation: Avoiding and Reducing Long-term Risks
10
11
20
16
Sep: Call for Authors
Sep: Fed Chapter Lead Authors Selected
Oct: Non-Fed Regional Chapter Leads Selected
Oct-Dec: Author Meetings/Drafting
20
17
Jan: Release Chapter Outlines
Jan: Technical Inputs are Due
Jan-Mar: Regional Engagement Workshops
Jan-Jun: Drafting and Internal Reviews
Jul-Dec: Report Aggregation and Reviews
20
18
Public and National Academies Reviews and Response
Layout and Production
Release and Engagement
12
20
16
Sep: Call for Authors
Sep-Oct: PIRCA Call for Authors (due Oct 15)
Sep: Fed Chapter Lead Authors Selected
Oct: Non-Fed Regional Chapter Leads Selected
Oct: Lead Authors Invited; First Author Meeting
Oct-Dec: Author Meetings/Drafting
Nov-Dec: Drafting Technical Input
20
17
Jan: Release Chapter Outlines
Jan: Submit Technical Input (Outline for PIRCA)/ Technical Inputs are Due
Jan-Mar: Regional Engagement Workshops
Jan-Jun: Drafting and Internal Reviews
Jan-Sep: PIRCA Drafting and Internal Reviews
Jul-Dec: Report Aggregation and Reviews
Dec-early 2018: Release and Engagement
20
18
Public and National Academies Reviews and Response
Layout and Production
Release and Engagement
NCA4 | PIRCA
13
Nominate PIRCA Authors
http://www.surveygizmo.com/s3/3054997/Nominate-PIRCA-Author
Take the survey http://pacificrisa.us6.list-
manage1.com/track/click?u=85fbb6c4d2e0cfa07c10fbc88&id=0b85691
1dd&e=f948db74de
Submit case study ideas via survey or
send to us
Questions?
Please introduce yourself through phone or computer audio, or type your question into the
chat box
What do you think?
• Which topics or sectors would be most useful to you if included in the next climate assessment?
• Which formats do you prefer/use for getting information? – Briefs or executive summaries (1-2 pages)
– Reports (hard copy or pdf)
– Websites
– Email newsletters
– Blogs
– Social media posts
Zena Grecni, MEM Project Specialist, East-West Center +1 808 944 7242 [email protected]
Victoria Keener, PhD Principle Investigator for Pacific RISA, East-West Center +1 808 944 7220 [email protected]
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