The Election:Implications for Policy Change?
Menzie D. ChinnUniversity of Wisconsin, Madison
Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs
Madison, WI
November 1, 2016
Macro/International Issues
Fiscal policy- short run- long run Labor markets Trade policy- tariffs- sanctions Immigration
2
Summary
3“Trump vs Clinton: Polarization & uncertainty,” Research Briefing (Oxford Economics, 19 Sept. 2016)
4Oxford Economics, Global scenarios service: Q3 2016.
Macroeconomic Effects (static)
5“Trump vs Clinton: Polarization & uncertainty,” Research Briefing (Oxford Economics, 19 Sept. 2016)
Clinton Tax Plan
6AN UPDATED ANALYSIS OF HILLARY CLINTON’S TAX PROPOSALS (October 18, 2016)
Clinton Tax Plan
7AN UPDATED ANALYSIS OF HILLARY CLINTON’S TAX PROPOSALS (October 18, 2016)
Clinton Tax Plan (omits spending)
8AN UPDATED ANALYSIS OF HILLARY CLINTON’S TAX PROPOSALS (October 18, 2016)
Trump Tax Plan
9AN ANALYSIS OF DONALD TRUMP’S REVISED TAX PLAN (October 18, 2016)
Trump Tax Plan
10AN ANALYSIS OF DONALD TRUMP’S REVISED TAX PLAN (October 18, 2016)
Trump Tax Plan (omits spending)
11AN ANALYSIS OF DONALD TRUMP’S REVISED TAX PLAN (October 18, 2016)
Differential Impact of Plans
12October 26, 2016
Trade War (Trump – adverse)
13Oxford Economics, Global scenarios service: Q3 2016.
Trade War (Trump –adverse)
14Oxford Economics, Global scenarios service: Q3 2016.