Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Workshop on
Hydrolysis
Route
for Cellulosic
Ethanol
from
Sugarcane
Subsidies for the Brazilian Subsidies for the Brazilian BioethanolBioethanol
AgendaAgenda
Campinas, February
10th
2009
Lucia Carvalho Pinto de MeloPresident
of
CGEE
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 2
Center for Strategic Studies and Management in Center for Strategic Studies and Management in Science, Technology and Innovation (CGEE)Science, Technology and Innovation (CGEE)
Scope and Objectives
studies and prospective analysis in the field of science and technology and its relation with the productive sectors
evaluation activities regarding economic and social analysis as well as impact of policies and programs on science, technology and innovation
information, experiences and projects to society
dialogue, articulation and interaction between the science-technology and productive sectors
technical and logistical support activities to public and private institutions
services related to its area of competence
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 3
CGEE: Institutional Competencies CGEE: Institutional Competencies
FORESIGHTFORESIGHT EVALUATIONEVALUATION
INFORMATIONINFORMATION
St&iSt&i
ENVIRONMENTENVIRONMENT
ARTICULATIONARTICULATION
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 4
FORESIGHT METHDOLOGY APPROACHCGEECGEECGEE
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 5
National Institutes for Science and Technology Program
Evaluation Commission Meeting, Brasília: October 27, 2008
National Institutes for Science and Technology Program
Evaluation Commission Meeting, Brasília: October 27, 2008
CGEE: Evaluation focus on program impacts
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 6
StrategicStrategic
DimensionDimension
Generating subsidies for public policy decision making process
Opportunities and Threats for the Country
Comparative Advantages
Barriers or Obstacles
Future Vision
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 7
Bioethanol
as a priority
on
the
Agenda
CGEE’s
working agenda is aligned with the Ministry of Science
and Technology's priorities defined by the ST&I National Plan,
being the “BioEthanol”
theme inserted in this context as highly
strategic.
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 8
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 9
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 10
CGEE CGEE studiesstudies relatedrelated
to to
BioethanolBioethanol
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 11
More than 20 countries have set goals for the introduction of Bioethanol in the fuel matrix, which lead to an annual consumption of around 80
billion liters in 2010
Some estimations indicate that world trade in Bioethanol
will grow six times by 2015
The European bloc imports currently around 500 million liters and it is estimated that should import more than three billion liters of Bioethanol
by 2015
The Latin American nations, led by Brazil, may register a surplus of more than six billion liters of Bioethanol
by 2015
Most
of this production will be exported to European, Asian and American countries
Global perspectives Global perspectives onon
BioethanolBioethanol
as as anan
opportunityopportunity
Sources: Estudo CGEE/Nipe-Unicamp
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 12
Brazil
is a relevant
actor
on
the
world scenarium
of
biofuels
(ethanol)
The
great extension
of
land
and
the
climate
and
soil
conditions
are
adequate
to biomass
production
The
oilseed
crop
and
the
sugarcane
crop
are possible
in a large
part of
the
Brazilian
territory
The
world demand
for biofuels
has
been
growing
Brazil
is still an
importer
of
diesel oil
The
ethanol
production
is alrealdy
consolidated
and
the
biodiesel
production
is considered
strategic
for the
country
BrazilBrazil
andand
BiofuelsBiofuels
Source: Study
by
CGEE/Nipe-Unicamp
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 13
Sources: IEA –
International Energy Agency (2005) e MTEC
Ethanol yieldsLiters per hectare
Fonte: UNICA, 2008
BrazilianBrazilian
BioethanolBioethanol: : highhigh
productivityproductivity
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 14
The
energy
balance of
Brazilian
sugarcane-based
ethanol
is 4,5 times greater than
the
wheat-based
and
almost
7 times greater
than
the
corn-based.
Fonte: UNICA, 2008
BrazilianBrazilian
BioethanolBioethanol: : energyenergy
balance balance
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 15
Evolution of agricultural, industrial and Evolution of agricultural, industrial and agroindustrialagroindustrial productivity in sugar and ethanol plants in Brazilproductivity in sugar and ethanol plants in Brazil
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 16
Sources: NIPE-Unicamp, IBGE and
CTC
SugarcaneSugarcane
cultureculture
in in BrazilBrazil
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 17
Source: Study
by
CGEE/Nipe-Unicamp
PotentialPotential
expantionexpantion
ofof
sugarcanesugarcane
cultureculture
With irrigation“salvation”(< 2.000 m3/ha.year)
Soil & climate aptitudefor sugar cane culture
Amazon RainforestPantanalAtlantic Forest
Other important preservation areas
Above 12% slope area (75 Mha)
Without
irrigation
High Good Medium Inadequate(> 80 t/ha)(> 80 t/ha) (> 70 t/ha)(> 70 t/ha) (> 60 t/ha)(> 60 t/ha)
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 18
TechnologicalTechnological
routesroutes
for for ethanolethanol
productionproduction
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 19
Source: http://www.ifpri.org/2020/focus/focus14/focus14.pdf
BioenergyBioenergy
supplysupply
routesroutes
andand
technologytechnology
optionsoptions
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 20
Conventional genetic improvement and genetic engineering
Production models and infrastructure
Biotechnologies, agriculture of precision and optimization of inputs
Mechanical harvest, without burning and with straw collecting
Pre-processing and stock of bagasse
and straw
Fermentation, grinding and distillation improvements
Management and automation (advanced system)
Reduction of water and energy consumption and recycle of effluents
Increase of the excess power generation
Alcohol-chemistry, sugar-chemistry and biorefinery
Hydrolysis and gasification (F-T) of bagasse
and straw
Sugar-cane of high biomass (Energy cane)
R&DR&D&I &I prioritiespriorities
for for EthanolEthanol
Source: Study
by
CGEE/Nipe-Unicamp
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 21
For a For a BrazilianBrazilian
ResearchResearch
Agenda in Agenda in BioethanolBioethanol
In the country there
are some opportunities for cost lowering
and sustainability improvement
in the Bioetanol productive chain which have to be
studied and analyzed in order to make possible the incorporation of innovative technologies
which may keep and improve Brazil’s competitive
advantages.
The
control
of
first
and
second
generation
technologies
requires
the
national development
of
a research
agenda. This
one
have
to integrate, in a sinergical
way, the
national
efforts
(in public
and
private
research
centers), to value
and support
the
existent
iniciatives
and
goes
for a strongh
content
of
basic
knowledge
in frontiers
areas.
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 22
CGEE CGEE publicationspublications relatedrelated
to to
BioethanolBioethanol
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 23
CGEE studies related to CGEE studies related to BioethanolBioethanol
NAE Journals: BiofuelsStudy commissioned by the Nucleus of Strategic Issues of the Presidency of the RepublicCoordination: Isaías Macedo & Luiz A. Horta Nogueira
Study on the role of State Agricultural Research Organizations (OEPAs)Study under the Management Contract signed between MCT and CGEE
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 24
Studies for the MCT in partnership with Nipe/Unicamp, CTC, Transpetro
and
CeneaCoordination: Rogério Cezar de Cerqueira Leite / Luís Augusto Barbosa CortezSupervision: CGEE
CGEE studies related to CGEE studies related to BioethanolBioethanol
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 25
Studies for the MCT in partnership with Nipe/Unicamp, CTC and
CeneaCoordination: Rogério Cezar de Cerqueira Leite / Luís Augusto Barbosa CortezSupervision: CGEE
CGEE studies related to CGEE studies related to BioethanolBioethanol
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 26
Publication in four Publication in four languages launched during languages launched during the International the International Conference on Conference on BiofuelsBiofuels, , held in São Paulo held in São Paulo (November/2008)(November/2008)
www.bioetanoldecana.orgwww.bioetanoldecana.orgwww.bioetanoldecanadeazucar.orgwww.bioetanoldecanadeazucar.orgwww.sugarcanebioethanol.orgwww.sugarcanebioethanol.orgwww.bioetanoldecanne.orgwww.bioetanoldecanne.org
PartnershipPartnership: BNDES, CGEE,: BNDES, CGEE,
Cepal e FAOCepal e FAOCoordinationCoordination: Luiz A. Horta Nogueira: Luiz A. Horta Nogueira
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 27
Documents to guide the Documents to guide the interventions in the interventions in the International Conference International Conference on on BiofuelsBiofuels
SupervisionSupervision: CGEE: CGEECoordinationCoordination: L. A. Horta Nogueira: L. A. Horta Nogueira
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 28
BioethanolBioethanol ON GOING STUDIESON GOING STUDIES
Technical
Subsidies to the
Brazilian
Agenda of
Bioethanol
Objectives
To Support
the
CTBE implementationTo Study
the
local agro-ecological
linkages
of
the
sugarcane-based
ethanol
productionTo analyse
both
socio-economic
and
environmental
routes
of
the
sugarcane-
based
ethanol
productionTo subsidy
both
national
and
international
agenda of
bioethanol
products
and
process
certificationTo study
the
effects
of
greenhouse
gases emissions
on
the
productive
chain
of
Bioethanol
first
and
second
generations
Partnership: Nipe/Unicamp, CTBE, NREL, USP and
others[Contrato de Gestão supervisionado pelo MCT]
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 29
Final Final RemarksRemarks
Opportunities
(oil
perspectives; global warming)
Advantages
(land; knowledge)
Threats
(technological
control; degree
of
business competition;economic crisis)
Challenge
To take
advantage
of
the
window
of
opportunity:TO ACT AS A GLOBAL PLAYER
The
role of
CTBE (a future vision...)
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 30
Shakespeare...
TheThe
differencedifference
betweenbetween ComedyComedy
andand
TragedyTragedy
is...is...
In a In a ComedyComedy, , youyou
discoverdiscover reality in time to do reality in time to do somethingsomething
aboutabout
it,it,
In a In a TragedyTragedy, , youyou
dondon’’t!t!
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 31
Thank you!
Lucia Melo [email protected]
http://www.cgee.org.br
Center for Strategic Studies and ManagementScience, Technology and Innovation
Slide 32
NewNew
publicationspublications
ofof
CGEECGEE Available
in http://www.cgee.org.br