x
x
it
稳定压倒⼀切
⼈民日报 日⼈民报 日⼈民报没有⼈民愿意看的日报 新闻内容与观点通常与⼤众的认知成颠倒状态⼈民日报,胡说⼋道!⼈民日报,暴日⼈民!
1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 20061945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 20050.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
Prop
ortio
n of
Aut
ocra
cies
with
Give
n In
stitu
tions
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
Prop
ortio
n of
Gov
ernm
ents
as
Auto
crac
y
Nominally Democratic Institutions
Single Party Regime
Banned Political Parties
t − 1t
i
t−1
−240 −180 −120 −60 −30 0 30Days Until Election
0.06
0.10
0.14
0.18
0.22
Rat
e of
Pro
test
1946 1952 1958 1964 1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 20061945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 20050
5
10
15
20
Num
ber o
f Exi
ts
Coups and AssassinationsRevolts, Elections, Term Limits, and Resignations
I FoundationsPersuasion and DominationA Theory of Autocratic PropagandaA Global Dataset of Autocratic Propaganda
II The Political Origins of Propaganda StrategiesThe Politics of Pro-Regime PropagandaNarrating the DomesticNarrating the WorldThreatening Citizens with Repression
III The Propaganda CalendarThe Propagandist's DilemmaMemory and Forgetting
IV Propaganda, Protest, and the FuturePropaganda and ProtestConclusionAppendix: Supporting Tables and FiguresAppendix: Newspaper SummariesAppendix: Identifiers by Country