Reflecting on the 30 Years of
MD&M East and Predicting the Next 30
Years of Medical Technology
June 20, 2013
Stephen B. Wilcox, Ph.D., FIDSA
Design Science | Philadelphia, PA
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1983
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1983
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1983: Introduction of…
Music CD Camcorder
Motorola DynaTAC
8000X
Lotus 1-2-3Microsoft Word
Apple IIe and Lisa
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1983: Arpanet split
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1983: HIV identified
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1983: No…
Laparoscopic surgery ICDsInfusion pumps
Genetically-engineered drugsDual-chamber pacemakers
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1983: No…
Steve Wilcox
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1979: Founding of Canon/
Introduction of MD+DI
Van Sears’ Vision:
Creating a bridge between device
manufacturers and FDA
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Standards & Regulations:
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1983—2013:
Enabling technologies
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Stem-cell therapy
Genetically-engineered drugs
DNA testing
Microbiology
1983—2013: Enabling technologies
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ICDs
Pacemakers
Insulin pumps
Miniaturization & computing power
1983—2013: Enabling technologies
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MIS surgery
Catheter-enabled procedures
Miniaturization & camera/imaging technology
1983—2013: Enabling technologies
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Visual-display & sensor technology
1983—2013: Enabling technologies
Monitoring
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Visual-display & sensor technology
1983—2013: Enabling technologies
Monitoring
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Industrial design and human factors
1983—2013: Enabling technologies
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2013—2043:
Enabling technologies
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“Lost in Space”1965’s portrayal of life in 1997 (looking 32 years into the future)
Actual image from the 1960s Concept of 30 years into the future
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“Lost in Space”1965’s portrayal of life in 1997 (looking 32 years into the future)
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“Lost in Space”1965’s portrayal of life in 1997 (looking 32 years into the future)
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“Lost in Space”1965’s portrayal of life in 1997 (looking 32 years into the future)
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“Lost in Space”1965’s portrayal of life in 1997 (looking 32 years into the future)
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“Lost in Space”1965’s portrayal of life in 1997 (looking 32 years into the future)
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2013—2043:
Enabling technologies
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Microbiology
The Future: Enabling technologies
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Miniaturization
The Future: Enabling technologies
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Wireless technology
The Future: Enabling technologies
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Computing power
The Future: Enabling technologies
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Sensing technology
The Future: Enabling technologies
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Battery technology
The Future: Enabling technologies
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Systems theory
The Future: Enabling technologies
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Scenarios
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Wearable closed-loop “artificial organs”
The Future: Scenarios
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Implanted artificial organs
The Future: Scenarios
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Grown real replacement organs
The Future: Scenarios
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Smart therapy with remote monitoring
The Future: Scenarios
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Remote surgery
The Future: Scenarios
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Personalized medicine
The Future: Scenarios
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Remote therapy & monitoring
The Future: Scenarios
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The Future: What are
the unknown unknowns?
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PsychologyPredicting behavior
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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NutritionPredicting long-term outcomes
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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NanotechnologySensing & providing therapy at the molecular level
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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NanotechnologyNano drones
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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FitnessMaking fitness easier to attain
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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Diagnostic algorithmsDiagnosing with great accuracy
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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Drug-interaction algorithmsPredicting the effect of multiple drugs
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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Transmitted powerProviding permanent power for implants
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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Drone technologyInteracting with patients, delivering drugs, & devices
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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Science of symbiosisUsing external organisms in therapy
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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GerontologyReally figuring out what causes aging
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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Sleep studyFully understanding sleep and its problems
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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NeuropsychologyUnderstanding the nervous system
The Future: Unknown unknowns
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Anyway, congratulations,
UBM Canon for 30
remarkable years
of MD&M East.
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And it’s about time you moved
it to the Garden of Eden, i.e.,
Philadelphia.
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