1Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 1
March 2019
POLITICAL MONITOR
2Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 2
March 2019
VOTING
INTENTIONS
3Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?.
Voting Intention: March 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+, 15– 19 March 2019; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections = 733 Margin of
error is displayed at +/- 4% All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a
9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points. This is especially
important to keep in mind when calculating party lead figures.
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTION
HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +1
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +4
38%
34%
8%
7%
4%
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
36%
35%
8%
7%
4%
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
4Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?.
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in
General Elections
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May 1
5
Jun
15
Jul 15
Au
g 1
5
Sep
15
Oct
15
No
v 1
5
Dec
15
Jan
16
Feb
16
Mar
16
Ap
r 16
May 1
6
Jun
16
Jul 16
Au
g 1
6
Sep
16
Oct
16
No
v 1
6
Dec
16
Jan
17
Feb
17
Mar
17
Ap
r 17
May 1
7
Jun
17
Jul 17
Au
g 1
7
Sep
17
Oct
17
No
v 1
7
Dec
17
Jan
18
Feb
18
Mar
18
Ap
r 18
May 1
8
Jun
18
Jul 18
Au
g 1
8
Sep
18
Oct
18
No
v 1
8
Dec
18
Jan
19
Feb
19
Corbyn elected
(Sept 15)
May as PM
(July 16)
CONSERVATIVE 38%
LABOUR 34%
GENERAL
ELECTION
%
Mar ‘19
5Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan
04
Ap
r 04
Jul 04
Oct
04
Jan
05
Ap
r 05
Jul 05
Oct
05
Jan
06
Ap
r 06
Jul 06
Oct
06
Jan
07
Ap
r 07
Jul 07
Oct
07
Jan
08
Ap
r 08
Jul 08
Oct
08
Jan
09
Ap
r 09
Jul 09
Oct
09
Jan
10
Ap
r 10
Jul 10
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 11
Jul 11
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 12
Jul 12
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 13
Jul 13
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 14
Jul 14
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 15
Jul 15
Oct
15
Jan
16
Ap
r 16
Jul 16
Oct
16
Jan
17
Ap
r 17
Jul 17
Oct
17
Jan
18
Ap
r 18
Jul 18
Oct
18
Jan
19
Miliband elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn elected
(Sept 15)May as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?.
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – March ‘19
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in
General Elections
Cameron elected
(Dec 05)Brown as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE 38%
LABOUR 34%
UKIP 7%
GREEN 4%
LIB DEM 8%
GENERAL
ELECTION
%
Mar ‘19
6Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 6
March 2019
SATISFACTION
WITH GOVERNMENT
AND PARTY
LEADERS
7Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn The GovernmentVince Cable
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB.
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?.
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government: March 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and
% “dissatisfied”
70%
10%
20%
42%
34%
24%
DISSATISFIED
DON’T KNOW
SATISFIED
-5.5% SWING FROM FEB 2019 +2.5% SWING FROM FEB 2019 -0.5% SWING FROM FEB 2019 -13% SWING FROM FEB 2019
NET=-50 NET=-18 NET=-75NET=-36
65%
6%
29%
11%
3%
86
%
8Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE
LABOUR/LIB DEM PARTY?.
Satisfaction with Party leaders September 2015 – March 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep
15
Oct
15
No
v 1
5
Dec
15
Jan
16
Feb
16
Mar
16
Ap
r 16
May 1
6
Ju
n 1
6
Ju
l 16
Au
g 1
6
Sep
16
Oct
16
No
v 1
6
Dec
16
Jan
17
Feb
17
Mar
17
Ap
r 17
May 1
7
Ju
n 1
7
Ju
l 17
Au
g 1
7
Sep
17
Oct
17
No
v 1
7
Dec
17
Jan
18
Feb
18
Mar
18
Ap
r 18
May 1
8
Ju
n 1
8
Ju
l 18
Au
g 1
8
Sep
18
Oct
18
No
v 1
8
Dec
18
Jan
19
Feb
19
2016 EU Ref
% satisfied
MAY 29%
CORBYN 20%
CABLE 24%
GENERAL
ELECTION
March ‘19
9Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?.
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2019)
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
MAY
CAMERON
BROWN
MAJOR
BLAIR
THATCHER
NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER BECOMING PRIME MINISTER
NET S
ATIS
FA
CTIO
N
May
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
10Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE … PARTY?.
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2019)
Corbyn
NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER BECOMING OPPOSITION LEADER
NET S
ATIS
FA
CTIO
N
CORBYN
BLAIR
SMITH
KINNOCK
MILLIBAND
FOOT
CAMERON
DUNCAN-SMITH
HAGUE
HOWARD
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
11Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY THE GOVERNMENT IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY?
Net satisfaction with the Government (1979 – 2019)
Theresa May’s Government
NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER ASSUMING GOVERNMENT
NET S
ATIS
FA
CTIO
N
MAY’S GOV
BLAIR’S GOV
MAJOR’S GOV
CAMERON’S GOV
THATCHER’S GOV
BROWN’S GOV
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
12Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?.
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
March 2019 August 2016 – March 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Au
g-1
6
Oct
-16
Dec-
16
Feb
-17
Ap
r-17
Jun
-17
Au
g-1
7
Oct
-17
Dec-
17
Feb
-18
Ap
r-18
Jun
-18
Au
g-1
8
Oct
-18
Dec-
18
Feb
-19
65% Dissatisfied
6% Don’t know
29% Satisfied
NET = -36
Satisfaction
DISSATISFIED 65%
SATISFIED 29%
%
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019
13Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?.
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 324 Conservative supporters 18+ 15-19 March 2019
March 2019 August 2016 – March 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Au
g-1
6
Oct
-16
Dec-
16
Feb
-17
Ap
r-17
Jun
-17
Au
g-1
7
Oct
-17
Dec-
17
Feb
-18
Ap
r-18
Jun
-18
Au
g-1
8
Oct
-18
Dec-
18
Feb
-19
32% Dissatisfied
5% Don’t know
63% Satisfied
NET = +31
DISSATISFIED 32%
SATISFIED 63%
Satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters
%
14Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Jeremy Corbyn
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
March 2019 September 2015 – March 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep
-15
No
v-1
5
Jan
-16
Mar-
16
May-1
6
Jul-
16
Sep
-16
No
v-1
6
Jan
-17
Mar-
17
May-1
7
Jul-
17
Sep
-17
No
v-1
7
Jan
-18
Mar-
18
May-1
8
Jul-
18
Sep
-18
No
v-1
8
Jan
-19
Mar-
19
.
SATISFIED 20%
DISSATISFIED 70%
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?.
NET = -50
Satisfaction
70% Dissatisfied
10% Don’t know
20% Satisfied
%
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019
15Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Jeremy Corbyn
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 262 Labour supporters 18+ 15-19 March 2019
March 2019 September 2015 – March 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep
-15
No
v-1
5
Jan
-16
Mar-
16
May-1
6
Jul-
16
Sep
-16
No
v-1
6
Jan
-17
Mar-
17
May-1
7
Jul-
17
Sep
-17
No
v-1
7
Jan
-18
Mar-
18
May-1
8
Jul-
18
Sep
-18
No
v-1
8
Jan
-19
Mar-
19
.
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?.
NET = +2
Satisfaction amongst Labour supporters
40% Dissatisfied
18% Don’t know
42% Satisfied
SATISFIED 42%
DISSATISFIED 40%
%
16Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Vince Cable
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
March 2019 September 2017 – March 2019
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec-
17
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar-
18
Ap
r-18
May-1
8
Jun
-18
Jul-
18
Au
g-1
8
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8
Dec-
18
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
DISSATISFIED 42%
SATISFIED 24%
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?.
NET = -18
42% Dissatisfied
34% Don’t know
24% Satisfied
Satisfaction
%
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019
17Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 17
March 2019
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM
18Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan
-07
Jul-
07
Dec-
07
Ap
r-08
Au
g-0
8
Dec-
08
Ap
r-09
Au
g-0
9
Dec-
09
Ap
r-10
Sep
-10
Jan
-11
May-1
1
Sep
-11
Jan
-12
May-1
2
Sep
-12
Jan
-13
May-1
3
Sep
-13
Jan
-14
May-1
4
Sep
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-15
Oct
-15
Feb
-16
Jun
-16
Oct
-16
Feb
-17
Jul-
17
Jan
-18
Jun
-18
Dec-
18
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE
OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?.
Economic Optimism Index
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
March 2019
EOI = -42
58%20%
16%
6%
GET WORSE
STAY THE SAME
Don’t know
GET BETTER
Stay the same
Get worse
Improve
%
January 2007 – March 2019
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019
Mar-
19
Mar ‘19
19Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE
OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?.
Economic Optimism Index – 1998-2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jan
1998
Oct
1998
Jul 1999
Ap
r 2000
Jan
2001
Oct
2001
Jul 2002
Ap
r 2003
Jan
2004
Oct
2004
Jul 2005
Ap
r 2006
Jan
2007
Oct
2007
Jul 2008
Ap
r 2009
Jan
2010
Oct
2010
Jul 2011
Ap
r 2012
Jan
2013
Oct
2013
Jul 2014
Ap
r 2015
Jan
2016
Oct
2016
Jul 2017
Ap
r 2018
Jan
2019
NET OPTIMISM=-42
Mar
2019
Mar ‘19
20Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 20
March 2019
BREXIT
21Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 1,000 British adults 18+ each month
Britain’s economy over
26%
38%
26%
27%
15%
9%
13%
11%
49%
49%
55%
59%
May 2016
July 2016
Dec 2018
Mar 2019
39%
55%
45%
49%
11%
11%
10%
9%
35%
24%
34%
34%
May 2016
July 2016
Dec 2018
Mar 2019
the next five years
Britain’s economy over
the next ten to
twenty years
NOW THAT BRITAIN HAS VOTED
TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION,
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU THINK
IT WILL BE BETTER OR WORSE FOR
XXX, OR WILL IT MAKE NO
DIFFERENCE?
The impact of
Brexit on the
economy
BETTER WORSEMAKES NO DIFFERENCE
22Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
NOW THAT BRITAIN HAS VOTED TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION, TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU THINK IT WILL BE BETTER OR
WORSE FOR YOUR OWN STANDARD OF LIVING, OR WILL IT MAKE NO DIFFERENCE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 1,000 British adults 18+
WORSE 39%
BETTER 27%
MAKE NO
DIFFERENCE 31%
21%
18%20%
18% 18%
36%
49%
37% 36%
43%41%
39%
24%
40% 41%
32%
37%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Jul-
16
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6
Dec-
16
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar-
17
Ap
r-17
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec-
17
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar-
18
Ap
r-18
May-1
8
Jun
-18
Jul-
18
Au
g-1
8
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8
Dec-
18
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
Impact of Brexit Own standards of living
Mar ‘19
V V V V
23Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 1,000 British adults 18+ each month
Britain’s ability to make
59%
59%
55%
58%
15%
16%
17%
12%
20%
21%
24%
25%
May 2016
July 2016
Dec 2018
Mar 2019
47%
51%
24%
20%
22%
21%
Dec 2018
Mar 2019
decisions in its own best
Britain’s control over
immigration from the
EU
NOW THAT BRITAIN HAS VOTED
TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION,
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU THINK
IT WILL BE BETTER OR WORSE FOR
XXX, OR WILL IT MAKE NO
DIFFERENCE?
The impact of
Brexit on Britain’s
sovereignty
BETTER WORSEMAKES NO DIFFERENCE
interests
24Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Confidence in May to get a good Brexit deal for Britain
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 1,000 British adults 18+ each month
* In December 2018 the question was posed as ‘has got a good deal’’’
NOT CONFIDENT 79%
CONFIDENT 18%
44%
36% 35%37%
34%30%
25%28%
19%
23% 21%
51%
60% 60%59%
63%67%
72%70%
78%
69%
77%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Mar-
17
Ap
r-17
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec-
17
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar-
18
Ap
r-18
May-1
8
Jun
-18
Jul-
18
Au
g-1
8
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8
Dec-
18
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
Mar ‘19
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY HAS GOT/WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN
NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?.
c
25Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
67%
73%
66%67%
56%
47%45%
34%
39%36%
33%
26%
30% 32%
43%
51% 53%
64%
54%
62%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Mar-
17
Ap
r-17
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec-
17
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar-
18
Ap
r-18
May-1
8
Jun
-18
Jul-
18
Au
g-1
8
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8
Dec-
18
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY HAS GOT/WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN
NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?.
Confidence in May to get a good deal for Britain
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 350 Conservative party supporters each month
* In December 2018 the question was posed as ‘has got a good deal’,
NOT CONFIDENT 60%
CONFIDENT 37%
Among Conservative supporters
Mar ‘19
26Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 1,000 British adults, circa 300 Labour party supporters 18+ each month
29%
33%
28%
21%
67%
63%
67%
76%
July 2017
Mar 2018
Sep 2018
Mar 2019
AND IF JEREMY CORBYN WAS PRIME
MINISTER, HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL,
WOULD YOU BE THAT HE WOULD GET A
GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS
WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?
Confidence in Corbyn
to get a good deal
for Britain
CONFIDENT NOT CONFIDENT
GENERAL PUBLIC
57%
63%
59%
49%
40%
33%
39%
46%
July 2017
Mar 2018
Sep 2018
Mar 2019
AMONG LABOUR PARTY SUPPORTERS
27Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
DO YOU THINK EACH OF THE
FOLLOWING HAS DONE A
GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB AT
HANDLING BRITAIN’S EXIT
FROM THE EUROPEAN
UNION?
c
Handling Britain’s
exit from the
European Union
27%
32%
30%
9%
36%
56%
65%
85%
GOOD JOB BAD JOB
THE GOVERNMENT
THERESA MAY
THE EUROPEAN UNION
YOUR LOCAL MP
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019
28Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Handling Britain’s exit from the European Union
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
THERESA MAY
-11%
-20% -16%-27%
-16%
16%
9%
-20%
-23%
-7%
26% 23%
32%
41%
67%
50%
31%
51%
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Mar ‘19
DO YOU THINK XXX HAS DONE A GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB AT HANDLING BRITAIN’S EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION?
c
NO
V ‘16
DEC
‘16
MA
R ‘17
JUL ‘17
MA
R ‘18
MA
R ‘19
NET GOOD JOB
AMONG CONSERVATIVES 19%
THE GOVERNMENT
AMONG CONSERVATIVES -56%
THERESA MAY -35%
THE GOVERNMENT -76%
Base: c. 1,000 British adults, circa 300 Conservative party supporters 18+ each month
29Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
)
32%
16%
10%
9%
29%
3%
AND HOW STRONGLY, IF AT ALL,
WOULD YOU SUPPORT OR
OPPOSE A DELAY OF UP TO XXX
IN BRITAIN’S DEPARTURE FROM
THE EU, IF AN AGREEMENT ON
THE TERMS OF BRITAIN’S EXIT
FROM THE EU IS NOT REACHED
BY THE 29TH OF MARCH?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
TEND TO SUPPORT
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019
Delaying Britain’s
departure from
the EU
STRONGLY SUPPORT
NEITHER SUPPORT NOR
OPPOSE
TEND TO OPPOSE
STRONGLY OPPOSE
DON’T KNOW
THREE
MONTHS
24%
10%
5%
8%
50%
3%
TWO
YEARS
48% SUPPORT
38%OPPOSE
34% SUPPORT
58%OPPOSE
30Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
)
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
*
2%
6%
10%
23%
23%
28%
32%
35%
48%
.
AND IF BRITAIN AND OTHER
EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS FAIL
TO REACH AN AGREEMENT ON
THE NEW TERMS OF BRITAIN’S
FUTURE RELATIONSHIP WITH THE
EU BY THE TIME BRITAIN LEAVES,
WHICH TWO OR THREE OF THE
FOLLOWING, IF ANY, DO YOU
THINK WILL BE THE MOST TO
BLAME?
%
+13
+4 +1p
+5 +1p
-7 -3q
+4
+9
-
-1
-3
-1
CHANGE SINCE DEC ‘18:
Position
EUROPEAN UNION
CONSERVATIVE MPS
THE UK GOVERNMENT
BREXIT CAMPAIGNERS
THE LABOUR PARTY
REMAIN CAMPAIGNERS
OTHER OPPOSITION PARTIES
OTHER
NO-ONE
DON’T KNOW
Attributing blame
in the case of a
no deal Brexit
Base: 1,050 British adults 18+ 15-19 March 2019
31Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 31
October 2018Ipsos MORIMarch 2019 Political Monitor
Gideon Skinner
Research Director
Glenn Gottfried
Research Manager
For more information