Presentation available at scottlay.com
Looking AheadJoint Special Populations Advisory Committee
December 5, 2012
Topics
•Looking Back
•Looking Ahead
•Discussion
1910Fresno becomes first
junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer
postsecondary courses
1917Legislature enacts Junior College Act, extends courses of study to:
•mechanical and industrial arts
•household economy
•agriculture
•civic education and
•commerce.
1921Legislature authorizes creation of local districts
•Organized under K-12 laws
•locally-elected governing boards
•State Department of Education to monitor
•Creation of Junior College Fund
•Nation’s first state funding
1960• formally
recognized the three systems
• CCC mission: transfer, vocational and general ed
• 56 locally governed districts; 380,000 students
1967
•Dept of Ed oversight deemed weak
•Board of Governors created
•“Bilateral governance”
•76 colleges, 610,000 students
1970s - 1980s•1976 - Education Employment
Relations Act
•1978 - Proposition 13
•1984 - first enrollment fee
•1988 - AB 1725
•1988 - Proposition 98
The Era of Change
1990s-2000s
•1991-94: Recession caused fee increases, cuts.
•1994-2000: Strong revenue growth increased Prop 98 guarantee, fast CCC growth.
•2001: Stock market collapse
•2008: Real estate, banking collapse
•Time of significant change.
198061% white
CCC
201269%
non-white
CCC
ShiftHappens.Are we shifting accordingly?
Three Years of Change
•Dramatic changes in adult and noncredit education.
•Significant reduction in “recreational” courses or “lifelong learning.”
•Limits on community college repeatability.
•Priority registration (forthcoming).
CCC Enrollment
K-12 Graduates Change
Proposition 30“Yes” votes by age:
•18-29: 69%
•25-29: 61%
•30-39: 53%
•40-49: 47%
•50-64: 48%
•65+: 48%
Yes: 55.3%, No: 44.7%
Budget Outlook
Proposition 983.4%-5.3% increase per year
Looking Ahead• State’s outlook is moderately strong.
• K-12 graduates 4% lower in 2020-21 than in 2009-10.
• Students will choose employment over education.
• Fixed and accrued costs will escalate as % of district budgets.
• PERS, STRS, Retiree Health, “deferred” maintenance
• Low demand will give “catch up” time.
• Opportunities, and challenges ahead with divergent district needs.
Looking Ahead for CTE
•Modest Prop. 98 funding increases will strain budgets and pressure “low cost” programs.
•High demand in high cost programs --how to fund?
•Increased federal accountability likely with Perkins reauthorization.
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