Globalization: an Introduction
Lecture 15
Some Simple Facts About the Global Economy
In 2000:• World Trade Totaled $7.6 Trillion.• About 63,000 Multi-National Corporations (MNCs)
Operate in the Global Economy– Controlling About 690,000 Foreign Affiliates– Employing About 86 Million People.
• Foreign Direct Investment Totaled $1.3 Trillion.• About 30 Countries in Western Europe, North
America, and Asia Account for About 75% of this International Economic Activity.
Causes and Consequences
• The Political and Economic Structure of the Global Economy– What Does the Global Economy Look Like?
– How Did We Get Here?
• The Consequences of Economic Globalization– Who Wins, Who Loses?
• Within the United States; Advanced Industrial Economies More Broadly: MNCs vs. Labor?
• Within the World Economy: Capitalist Countries vs. Developing Countries?
International Trade
Growth of World Trade
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Vo
lum
e
Industrial Revolution
GATT-Based System
World Trade, 1968-1997
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993
$U
S B
illio
ns
Growth of World Output and Trade
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
1951
1954
1957
1960
1963
1966
1969
1972
1975
1978
1981
1984
1987
1990
1993
1996
1999
Per
cen
t C
han
ge
GDP Growth Trade Growth
Distribution of World Trade
Rest of the World
12.8%
North America
5.3%
Asia/Pacific
9.6%
EU
21.2%
6.0%
4.4%6.2%
6.3%
10.7%
17%
60% of All Trade Among the Advanced Industrialized Countries
The Multilateral Trade The Multilateral Trade System: GATT and the WTOSystem: GATT and the WTO
• GATT:GATT: General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade: General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade: Created in 1947.Created in 1947.– An Agreement (legal text specifying rules)An Agreement (legal text specifying rules)– An Organization (a body that facilitated trade An Organization (a body that facilitated trade
negotiations).negotiations).
• WTO:WTO: World Trade Organization: Established in World Trade Organization: Established in 19941994– An International Organization Charged with:An International Organization Charged with:
• Monitoring Compliance with rules (including GATT)Monitoring Compliance with rules (including GATT)• Resolving Trade Disputes Resolving Trade Disputes • Facilitating Trade NegotiationsFacilitating Trade Negotiations
Why Trade? Comparative Advantage
• Simple Concept, Widely Misunderstood.• U.S. Can Make Two Products:
– Computer Chips– Clothing (Apparel)
• Assume U.S. Has an Absolute Advantage in Both.
• The U.S. Should Produce and Export Chips and Clothes, Right?
• David Ricardo asked, How Many Chips Do We Give Up?• Produce Clothes at Home,
– Give up 10 Chips for Every 1,000 Shirts. – Thus, 1 Chip “Buys” 100 Shirts.
• Buy Clothes from Foreign Country– We Give up 5 Chips for Every 1,000 Shirts. – Thus, 1 Chip “Buys” 200 Foreign Shirts.
• We are Better Off—Can Consume More Chips and Shirts—if We Produce Only Chips and Exchange these Chips For Shirts Produced in Other Countries.
• Thus, Even though the US Has an Absolute Advantage in Both Goods, it Has A Comparative Advantage in Semiconductor Chips.
• The U.S. Gains By Specializing in Chips and Importing Shirts.
Factor Endowments: The Basis of Comparative Advantage
• Factors of Production: Capital and Labor• Factors Held in Different Amounts in Different Countries.
– Capital Abundant: Lots of Capital and Little Labor– Labor Abundant: Lots of Labor and Little Capital
• Production of Different Goods Uses Factors in Different Amounts.• Capital-intensive Goods
– Production Relies relatively more on Capital than Labor (Autos)– Comparative Advantage in capital abundant countries.
• Labor-intensive Goods – Production Relies Relatively more on Labor (Apparel)– Comparative Advantage in labor abundant Countries.
• Capital-intensive goods traded for labor- intensive goods.
Factor Endowments and the International Economy
• Capital-Abundant Industrialized “Core” countries—the U.S., Western Europe, Japan, the NICs (Newly Industrializing Countries).
• Labor-Abundant “Periphery” Countries—Latin America, Africa, parts of Asia.
• Global Division of Labor in the International Economy between North and South
Four Central Points
• Historically Unprecedented Growth of World Trade in Postwar Period.
• Trade dominated by Industrialized World, and developing countries play much less important role.
• Trade Based on Comparative Advantage is Mutually Beneficial
• Result Has Been Deepening of Economic Integration Among the Advanced Industrialized Countries--Globalization
Questions:
• How Did We Get Here?
• What are the Implications of Being Here?
• Who Wins and Who Loses?
• Is Globalization “Good” or “Bad?”
• What Role does the World Trade Organization Play in the System?
• What About Developing Countries?